Jim Bromer wrote:
> The question was asked whether, given infinite resources could Solmonoff 
>Induction work.  I made the assumption that it was computable and found that 
>it 
>wouldn't work.  

On what infinitely powerful computer did you do your experiment?

> My conclusion suggests, that the use of Solmonoff Induction as an ideal for 
>compression or something like MDL is not only unsubstantiated but based on a 
>massive inability to comprehend the idea of a program that runs every possible 
>program. 

It is sufficient to find the shortest program consistent with past results, not 
all programs. The difference is no more than the language-dependent constant. 
Legg proved this in the paper that Ben and I both pointed you to. Do you 
dispute 
his proof? I guess you don't, because you didn't respond the last 3 times this 
was pointed out to you.

> I am comfortable with the conclusion that the claim that Solomonoff Induction 
>is an "ideal" for compression or induction or anything else is pretty shallow 
>and not based on careful consideration.

I am comfortable with the conclusion that the world is flat because I have a 
gut 
feeling about it and I ignore overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

> There is a chance that I am wrong

So why don't you drop it?

 -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected]




________________________________
From: Jim Bromer <[email protected]>
To: agi <[email protected]>
Sent: Tue, July 20, 2010 3:10:40 PM
Subject: Re: [agi] Comments On My Skepticism of Solomonoff Induction


The question was asked whether, given infinite resources could Solmonoff 
Induction work.  I made the assumption that it was computable and found that it 
wouldn't work.  It is not computable, even with infinite resources, for the 
kind 
of thing that was claimed it would do. (I believe that with a governance 
program 
it might actually be programmable) but it could not be used to "predict" (or 
compute the probability of) a subsequent string given some prefix string.  Not 
only is the method impractical it is theoretically inane.  My conclusion 
suggests, that the use of Solmonoff Induction as an ideal for compression or 
something like MDL is not only unsubstantiated but based on a massive inability 
to comprehend the idea of a program that runs every possible program.  

 
I am comfortable with the conclusion that the claim that Solomonoff Induction 
is 
an "ideal" for compression or induction or anything else is pretty shallow and 
not based on careful consideration.
 
There is a chance that I am wrong, but I am confident that there is nothing in 
the definition of Solmonoff Induction that could be used to prove it.
Jim Bromer
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