On Sat, Dec 4, 2010 at 6:40 PM, Nathan <[email protected]> wrote: > I know many of you have snubbed Amazon and other stores thinking the > Android Tablet market isn't big enough to bother with.
FWIW, a million Galaxy Tabs sold, and IMHO they're overpriced (even though I still bought one, and it's nice). If we start seeing Android tablets more in the nookCOLOR range ($250) with capacitive screens and decent CPU/GPUs, the segment will do reasonably well. I'm guessing it'll be smaller than Android smartphone market but still worth spending time to target. Besides, it's a whole crop of new OEM deals for talented developers and marketers to go after. > Do you think the Google TV market will be bigger? I expect that, inside of a decade, all new TVs outside of the budget category will be Internet-capable in some form or fashion. Mostly, that's because stuff like Google TV is pushing the incremental up-front development cost closer to $0, meaning "it's a no-brainer" to just toss it in as a feature. The incremental parts (CPU/GPU, RAM, flash storage, WiFi or Ethernet) are relatively inexpensive, particularly if the MIPS port of Android gains some momentum. The most expensive component might be the advanced QWERTY-capable remote. Unless Apple changes their licensing model, Apple TV will not come baked into existing TVs, but will remain an add-on box. That means these Internet-capable TVs will be based on: -- Google TV -- another current smaller player (e.g., Boxee, Roku) -- somebody new (Meego? Microsoft? somebody not yet invented?) -- proprietary stuff (like the pre-Google TV Internet-capable TVs) The latter seems relatively unlikely, for much the same reason Android is crowding out proprietary mobile OSes -- lower development costs for a more powerful platform. I think that it is too early to predict how much market share Google TV will have. But a fair number of TVs get sold, so even a modest percentage (say, 10%) will still be millions of devices. However, this market will take time. I don't expect tons of people to rush out to replace their TV or buy an add-on box from anyone, though some certainly will. And I don't get the impression that people replace their TVs as frequently as they replace their phones, particularly in the US (courtesy of subsidy phones). Once more and more TVs have this sort of stuff built in, though, it'll be a common feature request for people buying TVs when they do buy them. -- Mark Murphy (a Commons Guy) http://commonsware.com | http://github.com/commonsguy http://commonsware.com/blog | http://twitter.com/commonsguy _The Busy Coder's Guide to Android Development_ Version 3.3 Available! -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Android Discuss" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/android-discuss?hl=en.
