In order to give response to this question I wrote this approach:
http://theremedyforit.com/2012/07/estimating-the-required-number-of-licenses/


That was my idea for a paper for the WWRUG12. And to develop the calculator
in a web application of free use. But, now I know I won't go, I publish it
on my blog.

Any feedback would be appreciated.

Regards,

Jose Huerta



On Fri, Jun 29, 2012 at 10:45 PM, Mauricio M. <mau.rem...@gmail.com> wrote:

> ** I guess the first approach and easiest way to proceed is to estimate a
> 3:1 ratio or 5:1 ratio according to the "book", maybe applying some % up,
> and providing with two or three scenarios. After that, more precise
> measurment should be done, we need to measure the actual license usage over
> a period of time, using any tool available in the market or custom method
> and adjust the count, but in order to this to happen, the application
> should have been previously approved and minimum licenses provisioned and
> management would like to know how we are estimating the floating count,
> with a more solid argument than the standard ratio recommended by the book,
> which is not general law ...if I say 100 licenses, why 100? why 80? why not
> 70? - I guess a raw formula could be used based on some criteria, again, it
> will not be perfect but certainly more accurate
>
> What do you think?
>
>
> 2012/6/29 Misi Mladoniczky <m...@rrr.se>
>
>> Hi,
>>
>> In that case they need to spend much more money, as they have to spend
>> according to the budget instead of their actual need.
>>
>> I understand that you NEED a budget, but that does not mean that you have
>> to SPEND the whole budget.
>>
>> And I also understand that sales reps might have a different idea on how
>> to proceed, as this way of doing it invariably saves the customer money...
>>
>>        Best Regards - Misi, RRR AB, http://rrr.se
>>
>> > I think that the problem is that he can't buy extra licenses. I mean, He
>> > needs to provide a budget to assist the decision of buying Remedy. To
>> buy
>> > a
>> > minimum number of licenses and then increase as needed, is to make the
>> > decision without known the final TCO.
>> >
>> >
>> > Jose M. Huerta
>> > Project Manager**
>> >
>> > Movil: 661 665 088
>> >
>> > Telf.: 971 75 03 24****
>> >
>> > Fax: 971 75 07 94****
>> >
>> >  <http://www.sm2baleares.es/>****
>> >
>> > SM2 Baleares S.A.
>> > C/Rita Levi ****
>> >
>> > Edificio SM2 Parc Bit****
>> >
>> > 07121 Palma de Mallorca****
>> >
>> >           <http://es-es.facebook.com/pages/SM2-Baleares/158608627954>
>> >   <http://twitter.com/#!/SM2Baleares>
>> >      <http://www.linkedin.com/company/sm2-baleares>
>> >
>> > La información contenida en este mensaje de correo electrónico es
>> > confidencial. La misma, es enviada con la intención de que únicamente
>> sea
>> > leída por la persona(s) a la(s) que va dirigida. El acceso a este
>> mensaje
>> > por otras personas no está autorizado, por lo que en tal caso, le
>> rogamos
>> > que nos lo comunique por la misma vía, se abstenga de realizar copias
>> del
>> > mensaje o remitirlo o entregarlo a otra persona y proceda a borrarlo de
>> > inmediato.****
>> >
>> > P Por favor, no imprima este mensaje ni sus documentos adjuntos si no es
>> > necesario.
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > On Fri, Jun 29, 2012 at 10:55 AM, Misi Mladoniczky <m...@rrr.se> wrote:
>> >
>> >> Hi,
>> >>
>> >> I would divide it into two things. One is budget, and the other thing
>> >> how
>> >> you actually do when you buy your licenses.
>> >>
>> >> Budget:
>> >> 1. Look into the sky and figure out your concurrent user count
>> >> 2. Do a 1:1 ratio (50% fixed 50% floating) and use that as a basis for
>> >> your budget
>> >>
>> >> Buying licenses:
>> >> 1. Buy a minimum number of licenses
>> >> 2. Buy RRR|License <--- ADV
>> >> 3. Increase the license count on your server as dictated by RRR|License
>> >> for a month or three
>> >> 4. Pay BMC for the number of extra licenses that you figured out that
>> >> you
>> >> REALLY need
>> >>
>> >> This goes for new ITSM systems or custom systems, or as in your case a
>> >> new
>> >> custom application that rides beside an existing system.
>> >>
>> >>        Best Regards - Misi, RRR AB, http://www.rrr.se (ARSList MVP
>> 2011)
>> >>
>> >> Products from RRR Scandinavia (Best R.O.I. Award at WWRUG10/11):
>> >> * RRR|License - Not enough Remedy licenses? Save money by optimizing.
>> >> * RRR|Log - Performance issues or elusive bugs? Analyze your Remedy
>> >> logs.
>> >> Find these products, and many free tools and utilities, at
>> >> http://rrr.se.
>> >>
>> >> > Hi Misi,
>> >> > But in your experience how do you do when it is for budgeting
>> >> purposes,
>> >> > these are custom applications that have not been used before and they
>> >> need
>> >> > to provision the licenses needed for the future load ... you say the
>> >> only
>> >> > way to have a number close to reality is based only in previous usage
>> >> > analysis?
>> >> > Regards,
>> >> > Mauricio
>> >> >
>> >> > 2012/6/28 Misi Mladoniczky <m...@rrr.se>
>> >> >
>> >> >> Hi,
>> >> >>
>> >> >> I would say that there is no rule of thumb.
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Even if you have historical data, you could come up with 5:1 or 1:5,
>> >> all
>> >> >> depending how your system is used.
>> >> >>
>> >> >> One days worth of data will give you some information, and one week
>> >> will
>> >> >> give you a very good estimate.
>> >> >>
>> >> >> You can even try the free version of RRR|License, and it will tell
>> >> you
>> >> >> the
>> >> >> ratio that is optimum for you. You can even use the change planner
>> in
>> >> >> the
>> >> >> test version, where you can put in a future number of expected
>> users:
>> >> >> http://rrr.se/tmp/rrrLicChangePlanner.html
>> >> >>
>> >> >>        Best Regards - Misi, RRR AB, http://www.rrr.se (ARSList MVP
>> >> 2011)
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Products from RRR Scandinavia (Best R.O.I. Award at WWRUG10/11):
>> >> >> * RRR|License - Not enough Remedy licenses? Save money by
>> optimizing.
>> >> >> * RRR|Log - Performance issues or elusive bugs? Analyze your Remedy
>> >> >> logs.
>> >> >> Find these products, and many free tools and utilities, at
>> >> >> http://rrr.se.
>> >> >>
>> >> >> > Hi Jose,
>> >> >> >
>> >> >> > So in order to simplify a model, don´t you think you can compare
>> >> this
>> >> >> > distribution to the behaviour of ocassional users logging in and
>> >> >> updating
>> >> >> > records? because RRRLicense measures over a period of time and I
>> do
>> >> >> not
>> >> >> > have historical data and no window frame to measure from this
>> >> present
>> >> >> time
>> >> >> > into the future
>> >> >> >
>> >> >> > Thank you!!!
>> >> >> >
>> >> >> > Mauricio
>> >> >> >
>> >> >> > 2012/6/28 Jose Huerta <jose.hue...@sm2baleares.es>
>> >> >> >
>> >> >> >> ** Erlang formulas assume Poisson distribution. Your team won't
>> be
>> >> >> >> distributed in any computable wat. So I recommend you to study
>> the
>> >> >> use.
>> >> >> >> Maybe you can try the RRR|License tool.
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> Jose M. Huerta
>> >> >> >> Project Manager**
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> Movil: 661 665 088
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> Telf.: 971 75 03 24****
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> Fax: 971 75 07 94****
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >>  <http://www.sm2baleares.es/>****
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> SM2 Baleares S.A.
>> >> >> >> C/Rita Levi ****
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> Edificio SM2 Parc Bit****
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> 07121 Palma de Mallorca****
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >>           <
>> http://es-es.facebook.com/pages/SM2-Baleares/158608627954
>> >> >
>> >> >> >> <http://twitter.com/#%21/SM2Baleares>
>> >> >> >>      <http://www.linkedin.com/company/sm2-baleares>
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> La información contenida en este mensaje de correo electrónico es
>> >> >> >> confidencial. La misma, es enviada con la intención de que
>> >> únicamente
>> >> >> >> sea
>> >> >> >> leída por la persona(s) a la(s) que va dirigida. El acceso a este
>> >> >> >> mensaje
>> >> >> >> por otras personas no está autorizado, por lo que en tal caso, le
>> >> >> >> rogamos
>> >> >> >> que nos lo comunique por la misma vía, se abstenga de realizar
>> >> copias
>> >> >> >> del
>> >> >> >> mensaje o remitirlo o entregarlo a otra persona y proceda a
>> >> borrarlo
>> >> >> de
>> >> >> >> inmediato.****
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> P Por favor, no imprima este mensaje ni sus documentos adjuntos
>> si
>> >> no
>> >> >> es
>> >> >> >> necesario.
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> On Thu, Jun 28, 2012 at 9:23 PM, Mauricio M.
>> >> <mau.rem...@gmail.com>
>> >> >> >> wrote:
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >>> ** Hello All,
>> >> >> >>>
>> >> >> >>>
>> >> >> >>> I know this is and old age question but it continues to be
>> >> relevant
>> >> >> on
>> >> >> >>> how you estimate the appropiate number of floating licenses that
>> >> >> will
>> >> >> >>> be
>> >> >> >>> needed in the near future for a given application, but not
>> taking
>> >> >> into
>> >> >> >>> account any past behaviour, I mean, suppose that we do not have
>> >> >> >>> historical
>> >> >> >>> data to reference, but only an expected behaviour in regards to
>> a
>> >> >> total
>> >> >> >>> number of users, total number of tickets, etc. As a rule of
>> thumb
>> >> we
>> >> >> >>> might
>> >> >> >>> use a given proportion, 3:1 or 5:1 but how you normally manage
>> to
>> >> >> hold
>> >> >> >>> up a
>> >> >> >>> more solid number? I was wondering if anyone has used Erlang
>> >> >> formulas
>> >> >> >>> to
>> >> >> >>> get a more solid number?
>> >> >> >>>
>> >> >> >>> Thank you and Regards,
>> >> >> >>>
>> >> >> >>> -Mauricio
>> >> >> >>> _attend WWRUG12 www.wwrug.com ARSlist: "Where the Answers Are"_
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >>
>> >> >> >> _attend WWRUG12 www.wwrug.com ARSlist: "Where the Answers Are"_
>> >> >> >
>> >> >> >
>> >> >>
>> >>
>> _______________________________________________________________________________
>> >> >> > UNSUBSCRIBE or access ARSlist Archives at www.arslist.org
>> >> >> > attend wwrug12 www.wwrug12.com ARSList: "Where the Answers Are"
>> >> >> >
>> >> >>
>> >> >>
>> >> >>
>> >>
>> _______________________________________________________________________________
>> >> >> UNSUBSCRIBE or access ARSlist Archives at www.arslist.org
>> >> >> attend wwrug12 www.wwrug12.com ARSList: "Where the Answers Are"
>> >> >>
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >>
>> _______________________________________________________________________________
>> >> > UNSUBSCRIBE or access ARSlist Archives at www.arslist.org
>> >> > attend wwrug12 www.wwrug12.com ARSList: "Where the Answers Are"
>> >> >
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> _______________________________________________________________________________
>> >> UNSUBSCRIBE or access ARSlist Archives at www.arslist.org
>> >> attend wwrug12 www.wwrug12.com ARSList: "Where the Answers Are"
>> >>
>> >
>> >
>> _______________________________________________________________________________
>> > UNSUBSCRIBE or access ARSlist Archives at www.arslist.org
>> > attend wwrug12 www.wwrug12.com ARSList: "Where the Answers Are"
>> >
>>
>>
>> _______________________________________________________________________________
>> UNSUBSCRIBE or access ARSlist Archives at www.arslist.org
>> attend wwrug12 www.wwrug12.com ARSList: "Where the Answers Are"
>>
>
> _attend WWRUG12 www.wwrug.com ARSlist: "Where the Answers Are"_
>

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