Thanks to Rabin for the explanation. I shall need more time to understand and digest the information. From his e-mail I understand that he is quite good at interpreting birth rate and population growth. In this regard I have a question:
Print as a well digital publication is full of population growth in Assam. But I have not come across any number. It is taken for granted that this growth is due to illegal immigration from Bangladesh. My question is: is it also not possible that a part of this growth is due to the early marriage of Bengali girls? In spite of the fact that we have a law which prohibits child marriage, in my recent trip to Assam, I was informed that 15/16 years old girl also get married and after a year becomes mother. Their children then again get married at an yearly age. A grand mother at around 40 years is no exception. I may be wrong. But is it not possible that this also is another reason of population growth in Assam ? Is there any where this type of data available? Regards, Wahid --- "rabindeka" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: At last, I have looked at the Census of India data as Sanjoy Hazarika asked. see - http://groups.yahoo.com/group/assamonline/message/2721 He has asked other member(s) too, to look at the Census of India data see e.g. - http://groups.yahoo.com/group/assamonline/message/2746 It seems here too Sanjoy got Nagaland Birth Rate and Population Growth numbers wrong. As I wrote before, I have asked the question, "What is the Birth Rate of Nagaland?" Because population growth may not always be tied up to Birth Rate, and Naga race is a rare bran of Mongoloid - not highly fertile due to the biogenetic recipes in their body. see - http://groups.yahoo.com/group/assamonline/message/2877 Now I see Nagaland has much better Birth Rate in comparison to Sri Lanka India and Bangladesh. So the high population-growth in Nagaland is because of Immigrants. Not because of Nagaland Birth Rate - one should look at the numbers. How to look at the numbers: (a) Live population of Nagaland in year 2001 = 1,988,636 Re - http://cyberjournalist.org.in/census/cenindia.html (b) Live population of Nagaland in year 1991 = 1,209,000 Re - http://www.censusindia.net/data.html Therefore, Nagaland population-growth ratio in 10 years = (a b)/b = 0.64486 This gives population-growth ratio per year = 0.064486 How to convert the population-growth ratio per year = 0.064486 to Crude Birth Rate (CBR)? By definition, CBR is "number of live birth" per 1000, so you need to multiply 0.064486 with 1000. This gives CBR = 64.45 ("each year flat" for 10 years during 1991 to 2001) In year 1991 Nagaland CBR was 18.5 NOT 64.45 Re - http://www.censusindia.net/data2.html Similarly, in year 1992 Nagaland CBR was 19.2 NOT 64.45 in year 1993 Nagaland CBR was 20 NOT 64.45 in year 1994 Nagaland CBR was 20 NOT 64.45 Re - http://www.censusindia.net/data/ngl.pdf In year 2004 Nagaland CBR was 13.9 much better than past years Re - http://www.censusindia.net/vs/srs/bulletins/SRS_Bulletin-April_2006.pdf Now if you compare CBRs of Bangladesh, India, Nagaland and Sri Lanka for year 2004 you see that Nagaland has the best CBR and Bangladesh has worst. Nagaland CBR = 13.9 http://www.censusindia.net/vs/srs/bulletins/SRS_Bulletin-April_2006.pdf Sri Lanka CBR = 15.88 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=ce&v=25 India CBR = 22.8 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=in&v=25 Bangladesh CBR = 30.03 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=bg&v=25 What can be concluded? (a) Nagaland has much better CBR in comparison to Bangladesh (b) Nagaland's high population growth is because of Immigration (c) ... ... ... This completes my review for Nagaland CBR, any question or "critical question" feel free to ask. Hello Sanjoy, If you want people to understand all about it you must write an article with facts and publish in your Statesman newspaper. Regards, Rabin More about CBR that I wrote in the past: >From the following sources, Bangladesh possesses higher CBR compared to India, >and India possesses higher CBR compared to Sri Lanka. Also Bangladesh CBR >continued to increase since 2000 while both India CBR and Sri Lanka CBR >continued to decrease since 2000. Bangladesh is third among Bangladesh, India >and Sri Lanka while South Asia has more countries to compare. Crude Birth Rate (CBR) of Bangladesh: for CBR 1911-91 http://banglapedia.search.com.bd/HT/F_0061.htm source BBS - Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics BSS study sponsored by United States Agency for International Development for CBR 2000-2005 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=bg&v=25 Source: CIA World Factbook (CIA source : BSS) Crude Birth Rate (CBR) of India: CBR 1971-2000 http://www.censusindia.net/results/eci13_page1.html CBR 2003 http://demotemp257.nic.in/httpdoc/vital_statistics/Vital_Rates/Vital_rates.html for CBR 2000-2005 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=in&v=25 (Source: CIA World Factbook) Crude Birth Rate (CBR) of Sri Lanka: CBR 1936-2001 http://www.statistics.gov.lk/population/tables.pdf (Department of Census and Statistics Sri Lanka) for CBR 2000-2005 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=ce&v=25 (ource: CIA World Factbook) World Countries' CBR: https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/rankorder/2054rank.html (CIA records - Niger has the highest CBR and Hong Kong lowest)
