Dear Mike,

>By the way I've seen from an AOPA committee member some material suggesting
that for pilots with more than 400 hours the BFR has NO effect on safety.

Very interesting, do you have any document references for this?

How was this shown?

How would you prove the converse?

(A case control study is required, i.e. pilots with 400 hours or more
experience, randomly split into 2 groups, with group 1) no BFR, group 2)
BFR. Since safety breaches are rare events, large group sizes are needed.
How long would the pilots go without BFRs. What is the endpoint of the
study?)

Who would be game to do this?

Remembering that association does not imply causality (an argument used by
cigarette manufacturers regarding the links between smoking and lung
cancer). Other confounding factors maybe about!

A counter argument is that pilots with higher hours may become more
complacent and hence the accident rate for this stage may be higher than for
lower hour pilots, the accidents will happen despite having a BFR.

Just some thoughts,

cheers,

Michael Texler







--
  * You are subscribed to the aus-soaring mailing list.
  * To Unsubscribe: send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  * with "unsubscribe aus-soaring" in the body of the message
  * or with "help" in the body of the message for more information.

Reply via email to