The Fool said: > By 2015 a typical Beowulf supercomputer will probably process at the > same bitrate as the human mind.
This very much depends on how much computation a human brain does, and that in turn depends on how much a single neuron does. My cognitive scientist friends tell me that nobody really knows at the moment. In any case, my guess and your guess differ only by ten years, or 6 2/3 Moore periods, or a factor of 100. That's not really a very big error. And even if I'm being optimistic by a factor of a hundred and you by a factor of ten thousand, that still means we can expect supercomputers powerful enough to simulate a human brain by 2035. That's not so far away. Oh, and thanks for the link - it looks very interesting. Rich GSV Humans Are Overrated
