> From: Richard Baker <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

> The Fool said:
> 
> > Processing at the same bitrate and simulate the human mind are
> > different things. What they have to do to simulate a human mind is to
> > simulate it's, connectivity, its network. 
> 
> Well, what do you mean by processing at the same bit rate then? It's
> been a long time since I made the calculations that came up with 2020-5
> as the time when our computers are powerful enough to simulate a mind,
> but I definitely took into account having to handle the many
> connections between neurons.

To process the same amount of information.  Simulating a mind would
require substantiall more data processing than a real mind processes.

I'm not saying that it would be able to do everything that a human mind
would be able to do at that point.

> > The real interesting bit is that the singularity theory is one of the
> > better explanations for Fermi's paradox.
> 
> I don't think it is. I think the only real explanation for Fermi's
> Paradox is that we've massively underestimated the likelihood of
> evolution of cultural toolmakers. I don't think the Singularity is a
> sufficiently strong attractor that all technological civilisations fall
> into it, and if cultural toolmakers are common then there will be at
> least some that don't. It only takes one to colonise the galaxy with
> self-replicating machines and it would be entirely obvious to us.

So where are they?

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