> -----Original Message-----
> From: Gruss Gott [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: Tuesday, December 28, 2004 12:26 PM
> To: CF-Community
> Subject: Global Warming (Re: Epic devestation in Asia)
> 
> > Brian wrote:
> > The way I see it, sometimes nature just happens.
> >
> > We seem to think we have some sort of control, for better or worse, over
> > everything.  It reminds me a little bit of the global warming debate. I
> seem
> > to recall the earth experienced a massive case of "global warming"
> thousands
> > of years ago when it came out of the Ice Age....I wonder if we caused
> that
> > one too?

Just because we didn't cause ALL of the warming events doesn't mean that we
aren't causing this one.  That logic is completely twisted.  (Can a rapist
use the defense that he didn't commit the last rape investigated so he must
not have committed this one?)

The warming after an ice age is caused for much the same reason: an usually
large release of CO2 in a short (geologically) time span (several thousand
years).  As the ice receded it exposes thousands of square miles of dead
organic matter which (as organic matter tends to do) rotted.

The current case has additional problems.  We're releasing vast amounts of
CO2 (in this case from fossil fuel consumption) AND we're destroying the
available CO2 sinks (the forests and jungles, especially in the Amazon and
green ocean algae) which means more of that CO2 ends up in the atmosphere
than ever before.

The fossil fuel resources that we're expending actually represent former CO2
sinks (forests) as well, so we're not only destroying the current sinks, but
we're "unlocking" ancient ones as well.

We're also doing things faster than ever.  The glaciers of the last ice age
took thousands of years to recede and release that CO2 - we're set to match
that output in much less time (perhaps much, much less time). 

Lastly the damage to the ozone still has to figure in completely, but it
seems more and more likely that allowing more energetic radiation in through
the atmosphere will act as an accelerating factor.

It's also becoming quite clear that relatively minor changes in global
climate has tremendously vast implications over the long term.  Most models
are now showing, to circle around, that the last ice age was the result of
very small global temperature changes.

(As an aside this affects another hobby of mine, the search for intelligent
life in the universe.  Unfortunately the evidence that small changes create
huge implications could also mean that the chances for planets to form in
the possibly rather thin "hospitable" zone around a star are very small.
Then again atmospheric composition could also play a much larger regulating
role and the zone could be quite broad.  Anyway... it's not really part of
the discussion.)

So, is man the only cause of Global Warming?  No, of course not.  But is he
the cause of THIS global warming?  Most scientists would agree that in large
part, yes he is.  At the very least he's a major contributing factor.

Jim Davis



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