I think a lot of you are being short sighted.  Just my opinion.

I lived through the mini-computer era, using Digital Equipment mini-computers 
with RT-11 and VMS - both really good operating systems, and thought at the 
time if they started selling VMS for a few $100 rather than thousands they may 
have captured the mini-computer market as it was way superior to MS-DOS, 
instead they didn't adapt and got clobbered by Microsoft to the extent the 
company and the platform does not even exist now.

Its a less certain thing as its still the future, but its my guess likely in 5 
years netbooks/laptops and mobile and phone OS will largely kill desktop PCs 
and in time likely Windows too, as there is not much sign they will be the 
leading candidate for mobile devices in 5 years.  Hence the more cross platform 
and new UI (read touchscreen) enabled a language is the better positioned it 
will be.

Also apps are moving more to be web enabled, where the UI is done by the 
browser instead, so this also is not really tied to one OS.  There are only a 
few good frameworks that run across many OS's - think Firefox/Thunderbird (XUL) 
and Safari/Itunes etc.  As far as I can gather none of these are remotely easy 
for new programmers to jump into.

Thats why I reckon Delphi as a cross platform simple UI language could be a 
killer, and why its worth doing even if it is not too easy.

John
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