I'm wondering how the emergence of cell phones as the primary telephone for many households will affect polling. I checked in my stats classes and 2 of my 40 students have no land line, only a cell phone for their only and primary telephone.
Cell phones are often on unique exchanges. Does Gallup use them also? Or, does Gallup still treat cells as 'business exchanges.' How will this omission affect polling accuracy as it increases? Currently, this phenomenon will tend to be concentrated among younger persons who are, as a group, less likely to vote. Therefore, for now, it probably has no real effect... but wait... Paul . . ================================================================= Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at: . http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ . =================================================================
