Estimates & promise dates.

Anytime someone is doing something new, producing an estimate of when it
will be done is tough.  How do you know how long it will take to do
something you've never done before?

Then if you include the fact that your suppliers have the same problem
(unable to accurately predict completion dates) you begin to see how
tough it is.

Now, add to that a customer base (or management base) who wants you to
DELIVER ON TIME and is constantly pressing you with questions like "how
soon can you have it done".  Suddenly, you're giving optimistic
estimates based on optimistic estimates from your suppliers.  Meeting
these dates is nearly impossible.

In the end, it will take what it takes.  You can stand there and watch
the kettle boil but you won't get your tea any sooner that way and if
you keep taking off the stove the measure the temperature, it just might
take longer.

I'm glad to see that I'm not the only one having these sorts of issues
at work :-)

- Keith N1AS -
- K2 5411.ssb.100 - 

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