[ref
http://electric-vehicle-discussion-list.413529.n4.nabble.com/EVLN-Pack-prices-likely-to-plummet-halve-the-cost-within-6yrs-tp4665474.html
]
There are many of these pontificating pieces, that I usually pass on, as
they seem to all talk, talk, & talk about the future, and not much
tangible meat to make what they say viable. Six years is a bit too far
in the future for my liking. But occasionally, I like to throw one of
these out there for people to chew on.
I was thinking, if today the price of a li-ion pack dropped to half the
cost, yes that would drop the purchase price of a 100mi plugin.
But it would make a 200mi plugin about the same price as we are paying
today. Then the media could say, well, 200 miles is nice, but people
will want a 400 mile range before they would buy one (% You can never
satisfy the media %).
{brucedp.150m.com}
-
On Wed, Oct 2, 2013, at 05:54 AM, tomw wrote:
> If battery costs decrease to half of present costs, say e.g. $10k down to
> $5k, the vehicle cost should decrease by $5k. Saying it won't due to
> "complex electronics" means the costs of those electronics would have to
> increase from their present cost to eat up part or all of that $5k.
>
> I think either that is a smoke screen to cover up the fact that the car
> companies plan to add most of that $5k to their margins and not pass it
> on
> to consumers, or maybe the method used to reduce costs will be to loosen
> the
> specs for cells so they are not as closely matched in capacity and ir
> (increasing manufacturing yield), and this requires a more complex bms
> than
> the big manufacturers presently use - moving more toward a Tesla type
> pack.
-
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