Yeah.... I want a plugin that I can drive from Seattle to Chicago without
stopping, nevermind that a human can't drive that long without a few hours
for recharging...  :p

The price of lithium has already dropped to half of what it used to be....
I priced out a lithium bank for my truck back in 2009 and it's half what it
was then, now.   And probably better batteries too.  Still a little much
for me, but if it goes to half again, I might just replace the nicads and
go lithium (and suddenly have a truck that could go to town and back,
instead of just errands around the house).

Z


On Wed, Oct 2, 2013 at 9:35 AM, Bruce EVangel Parmenter <
[email protected]> wrote:

> [ref
>
> http://electric-vehicle-discussion-list.413529.n4.nabble.com/EVLN-Pack-prices-likely-to-plummet-halve-the-cost-within-6yrs-tp4665474.html
> ]
>
> There are many of these pontificating pieces, that I usually pass on, as
> they seem to all talk, talk, & talk about the future, and not much
> tangible meat to make what they say viable. Six years is a bit too far
> in the future for my liking. But occasionally, I like to throw one of
> these out there for people to chew on.
>
> I was thinking, if today the price of a li-ion pack dropped to half the
> cost, yes that would drop the purchase price of a 100mi plugin.
> But it would make a 200mi plugin about the same price as we are paying
> today. Then the media could say, well, 200 miles is nice, but people
> will want a 400 mile range before they would buy one (% You can never
> satisfy the media %).
>
>
> {brucedp.150m.com}
>
>
>
> -
> On Wed, Oct 2, 2013, at 05:54 AM, tomw wrote:
> > If battery costs decrease to half of present costs, say e.g. $10k down to
> > $5k, the vehicle cost should decrease by $5k.  Saying it won't due to
> > "complex electronics" means the costs of those electronics would have to
> > increase from their present cost to eat up part or all of that $5k.
> >
> > I think either that is a smoke screen to cover up the fact that the car
> > companies plan to add most of that $5k to their margins and not pass it
> > on
> > to consumers, or maybe the method used to reduce costs will be to loosen
> > the
> > specs for cells so they are not as closely matched in capacity and ir
> > (increasing manufacturing yield), and this requires a more complex bms
> > than
> > the big manufacturers presently use - moving more toward a Tesla type
> > pack.
> -
>
> --
> http://www.fastmail.fm - Access all of your messages and folders
>                           wherever you are
>
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