I agree at this point that the AP by itself has no predictive power.  My 
view is that a predictor that currently works in a given universe - say the 
AP plus other stuff - can not be considered to continue to work.  Any 
universe is subject to true noise either because its rules allow it [type 
2] or the Everything imposes it [type 1].

The effect of a true noise event is to replace the subject universe with a 
new one.

Hal  

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