Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:50, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
[email protected]> a écrit :

>
>
> On 6/24/2019 1:24 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>
>
>
> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:00, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
> [email protected]> a écrit :
>
>>
>>
>> On 6/24/2019 12:56 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 20:52, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>> [email protected]> a écrit :
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 6/24/2019 11:08 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 19:30, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>> [email protected]> a écrit :
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 6/24/2019 2:29 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 11:18, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> a
>>>> écrit :
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 24 Jun 2019, at 05:55, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 6/23/2019 5:40 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 21 Jun 2019, at 21:49, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 6/21/2019 5:35 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 21 Jun 2019, at 09:04, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 4:26 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> To disconfirm MWI you'd have to observe statistics far from the
>>>>>> expected value,
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> To make my point more strongly, that is the wrong way round.
>>>>> Observation of statistics far from the expected value is what would be
>>>>> required to confirm MWI.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> I don’t see this at all.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> The fact that we don't observe such results is the strongest possible
>>>>> case against MWI!
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> ?
>>>>>
>>>>> The probability to see a deviation is the same in both Everett, and
>>>>> Copenhagen. The deviation expected is the same, so if there is a 
>>>>> deviation,
>>>>> it can hardly be used to claim one theory is more correct than the other.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> But as Bruce points out Tegmark's machine gun experiment is
>>>>> effectively being carried out by each of us.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> That is quantum immortality. On this list I have defend this, but
>>>>> Tegmark rejected it, and claimed that the survival to quantum suicide does
>>>>> not entail quantum immortality. He might have changed his mind since,
>>>>> perhaps.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> So if each of us lives on a million years in some branch of the MW,
>>>>> then each of us will experience 99.9% of our life as a very old person
>>>>> among people younger than 100yrs.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Unless there are intimidate realities in between Earth and Heaven.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> It would still imply that each person would experience only a small
>>>>> part of their existence surrounded by other persons whose age differed by
>>>>> less that 120yr from their own.  And so each of us should be surprised 
>>>>> that
>>>>> we find ourself in exactly that kind of world.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Using some anthropoid argument, but like fine tuning, I tend to agree
>>>>> with Vic that is is not really convincing, and should be handled
>>>>> mathematically. Only progress in the mathematical theology will show if
>>>>> this threat Mechanism or not.
>>>>>
>>>>> Bruno
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> The thing is we should first be born before being 1000000 years... so
>>>> it seems not surprising finding yourself "young", that you are with other
>>>> "young" people.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> That's seems to implicitly assume that everybody starts at the same
>>>> time, so they are young together and then old together (in the branches
>>>> they survive).  I see no justification for conditioning on being young,
>>>> since the point of the argument is that given quantum immortality the time
>>>> you are young is of measure zero.
>>>>
>>>> Brent
>>>>
>>>
>>> You have to be young first, your actual moment is not randomly sampled
>>> from all possible you moments, it is ordered. As very old is very unlikely,
>>> when in your first years, you should not find yourself around very old
>>> people.
>>>
>>>
>>> What is "ordered"?  A sample is just a sample, it has no order.  If
>>> quantum immortality is true, then you must exist at all ages.  And a sample
>>> from that distribution is unlikely to find you young.  Sure, if you
>>> condition on being young, then you will see young people around
>>> you...because whether you are young or not you will see young people around
>>> you.  The problem is that YOU are most likely to be old.
>>>
>>
>> The thing is you had to be young first. You're talking with ASSA in mind.
>> ASSA is nonsense.
>>
>>
>> So if I go on a thousand mile journey I'm most likely to find myself
>> within a mile of my starting point.  I think THAT's nonsense.
>>
>
>
> You're not talking about mwi but a theory where moments exist by
> themselves and are selected randomly... That's nonsense.
>
>
> Can you explain why it's nonsense.  Can you explain why I must find myself
> on the first mile of my journey?
>

I don't know for you but when I make a thousand mile journey, i'm living
every miles of it, not a random last portion of it, and it starts with the
first mile.

>
> Brent
>
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