On Tue, Jun 25, 2019, at 00:38, Bruce Kellett wrote:
> On Tue, Jun 25, 2019 at 6:24 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]> wrote:
>> 
>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:00, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List 
>> <[email protected]> a écrit :
>>> On 6/24/2019 12:56 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 20:52, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List 
>>>> <[email protected]> a écrit :
>>>>> 
>>>>> What is "ordered"? A sample is just a sample, it has no order. If quantum 
>>>>> immortality is true, then you must exist at all ages. And a sample from 
>>>>> that distribution is unlikely to find you young. Sure, if you condition 
>>>>> on being young, then you will see young people around you...because 
>>>>> whether you are young or not you will see young people around you. The 
>>>>> problem is that YOU are most likely to be old.
>>>> 
>>>> The thing is you had to be young first. You're talking with ASSA in mind. 
>>>> ASSA is nonsense.
>>> 
>>> So if I go on a thousand mile journey I'm most likely to find myself within 
>>> a mile of my starting point. I think THAT's nonsense.
>> 
>> 
>> You're not talking about mwi but a theory where moments exist by themselves 
>> and are selected randomly... That's nonsense.
> 
> On the theory of quantum immortality, you have many more old moments than 
> young moments. 

I disagree. Assuming that our timelines are constantly branching and that for 
every amount of time t that we live there is some p probability that we die for 
some reasons, and worst yet, this probability increases as we get older, this 
tree will become sparser the deeper you go.

If you apply self-sampling reasoning to the observer moments contained in that 
tree, even though it may contain very deep branches, the probability of finding 
oneself at such as depth becomes astronomically low.

I would claim that the very assumptions that quantum immortality rests on make 
it nonsensical to restrict self-sampling to a single timeline.

Telmo.

> If it is nonsense that this means that you are more likely to find yourself 
> old, then this is the same nonsense that underlies any account of quantum 
> phenomena in terms of self-location on some branch of the wave function or 
> the other.
> 
> 
> Bruce
> 

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