Le mar. 25 juin 2019 à 08:28, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
[email protected]> a écrit :

>
>
> On 6/24/2019 9:58 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>
>
>
> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:50, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
> [email protected]> a écrit :
>
>>
>>
>> On 6/24/2019 1:24 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:00, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>> [email protected]> a écrit :
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 6/24/2019 12:56 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 20:52, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>> [email protected]> a écrit :
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 6/24/2019 11:08 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 19:30, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>>> [email protected]> a écrit :
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 6/24/2019 2:29 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 11:18, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> a
>>>>> écrit :
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 24 Jun 2019, at 05:55, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 6/23/2019 5:40 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 21 Jun 2019, at 21:49, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 6/21/2019 5:35 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 21 Jun 2019, at 09:04, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]>
>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 4:26 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> To disconfirm MWI you'd have to observe statistics far from the
>>>>>>> expected value,
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> To make my point more strongly, that is the wrong way round.
>>>>>> Observation of statistics far from the expected value is what would be
>>>>>> required to confirm MWI.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I don’t see this at all.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> The fact that we don't observe such results is the strongest possible
>>>>>> case against MWI!
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> ?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> The probability to see a deviation is the same in both Everett, and
>>>>>> Copenhagen. The deviation expected is the same, so if there is a 
>>>>>> deviation,
>>>>>> it can hardly be used to claim one theory is more correct than the other.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> But as Bruce points out Tegmark's machine gun experiment is
>>>>>> effectively being carried out by each of us.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> That is quantum immortality. On this list I have defend this, but
>>>>>> Tegmark rejected it, and claimed that the survival to quantum suicide 
>>>>>> does
>>>>>> not entail quantum immortality. He might have changed his mind since,
>>>>>> perhaps.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So if each of us lives on a million years in some branch of the MW,
>>>>>> then each of us will experience 99.9% of our life as a very old person
>>>>>> among people younger than 100yrs.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Unless there are intimidate realities in between Earth and Heaven.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> It would still imply that each person would experience only a small
>>>>>> part of their existence surrounded by other persons whose age differed by
>>>>>> less that 120yr from their own.  And so each of us should be surprised 
>>>>>> that
>>>>>> we find ourself in exactly that kind of world.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Using some anthropoid argument, but like fine tuning, I tend to agree
>>>>>> with Vic that is is not really convincing, and should be handled
>>>>>> mathematically. Only progress in the mathematical theology will show if
>>>>>> this threat Mechanism or not.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Bruno
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> The thing is we should first be born before being 1000000 years... so
>>>>> it seems not surprising finding yourself "young", that you are with other
>>>>> "young" people.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> That's seems to implicitly assume that everybody starts at the same
>>>>> time, so they are young together and then old together (in the branches
>>>>> they survive).  I see no justification for conditioning on being young,
>>>>> since the point of the argument is that given quantum immortality the time
>>>>> you are young is of measure zero.
>>>>>
>>>>> Brent
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> You have to be young first, your actual moment is not randomly sampled
>>>> from all possible you moments, it is ordered. As very old is very unlikely,
>>>> when in your first years, you should not find yourself around very old
>>>> people.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> What is "ordered"?  A sample is just a sample, it has no order.  If
>>>> quantum immortality is true, then you must exist at all ages.  And a sample
>>>> from that distribution is unlikely to find you young.  Sure, if you
>>>> condition on being young, then you will see young people around
>>>> you...because whether you are young or not you will see young people around
>>>> you.  The problem is that YOU are most likely to be old.
>>>>
>>>
>>> The thing is you had to be young first. You're talking with ASSA in
>>> mind. ASSA is nonsense.
>>>
>>>
>>> So if I go on a thousand mile journey I'm most likely to find myself
>>> within a mile of my starting point.  I think THAT's nonsense.
>>>
>>
>>
>> You're not talking about mwi but a theory where moments exist by
>> themselves and are selected randomly... That's nonsense.
>>
>>
>> Can you explain why it's nonsense.  Can you explain why I must find
>> myself on the first mile of my journey?
>>
>
> I don't know for you but when I make a thousand mile journey, i'm living
> every miles of it, not a random last portion of it, and it starts with the
> first mile.
>
>
> But why does that change the probability of me being on mile 50 or mile
> 900?  You seem to be claiming that because they are ordered I can never be
> on the last part...
>

Not that's your point, you are claiming I should find myself in the last
part... but any precise part has measure 0... and life *is not* a sequence
picked up at random... not mine and if your theory is that it is, then it
fails. I always find myself in the present and nowhere else, and this
present follow a previous moment logically connected, I don't fall into
existence in the last part of my life, so there is absolutely *no wonder*
as to why I experience being young, it's mandatory before being old.

Quentin


> which of course then means I couldn't be on the next to last part either.
> In fact I apparently couldn't even be on any part, because that would be
> later than some earlier part.
>


>
> Brent
>
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-- 
All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. (Roy
Batty/Rutger Hauer)

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