On 2/7/2020 5:57 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Sat, Feb 8, 2020 at 12:28 PM Lawrence Crowell <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    On Friday, February 7, 2020 at 7:10:54 PM UTC-6, Bruce wrote:

        On Sat, Feb 8, 2020 at 11:51 AM Lawrence Crowell
        <[email protected]> wrote:

            On Friday, February 7, 2020 at 6:16:45 PM UTC-6, Bruce wrote:

                On Sat, Feb 8, 2020 at 4:33 AM Stathis Papaioannou
                <[email protected]> wrote:

                    On Fri, 7 Feb 2020 at 15:59, Bruce Kellett
                    <[email protected]> wrote:


                        This argument from Kent completely destroys
                        Everett's attempt to derive the Born rule from
                        his many-worlds approach to quantum mechanics.
                        In fact, it totally undermines most attempts
                        to derive the Born rule from any branching
                        theory, and undermines attempts to justify
                        ignoring branches on which the Born rule
                        weights are disconfirmed. In the many-worlds
                        case, recall, all observers are aware that
                        other observers with other data must exist,
                        but each is led to construct a spurious
                        measure of importance that favours their own
                        observations against the others', and  this
                        leads to an obvious absurdity. In the
                        one-world case, observers treat what actually
                        happened as important, and ignore what didn't
                        happen: this doesn't lead to the same difficulty.


            Carroll and Sebens worked a paper a year ago illustrating
            how MWI was consistent with Born rule. They did have to
            restrict paths or states that were too far removed from
            being a good Bayeisan prior, so it is a bit loose.
            However, it was not bad.


        Not bad!!!! I suppose if you feel justified in just throwing
        away anything that does not suit your favourite theory, then
        you can get away with anything.  It is the fact that these
        'worlds' that are far removed from what one wants to see
        cannot just be "thrown away" that destroys MWI. Given that the
        probability of particular outcomes no longer has meaning when
        all outcomes necessarily occur, one cannot use any observed
        data to justify any theory about the probabilities. All
        theories are just as good, or just as bad. Consequently,
        assuming probabilities for particular outcomes no longer makes
        any sense.


    The set of amplitudes or paths thrown away is a small measure. The
    bounds are not entirely certain, but they are comparatively small.



The problem is to justify that the paths thrown away do, in fact, have small measure. The proof given by Kent shows that, whatever result you obtain, you can argue that contrary results have "small measure", and can be thrown away.

But that is answering the inverse problem.  It's showing that there are experimenters who will verify wrong theories and would throw away many values in the MWI from the God's eye view.  But they don't know of those values.  The point is that the experimenters who do this and accept the wrong theory are small in number.  So we may rationally expect to be among those who are right.

There is nothing that picks out one particular set of paths as preferred in the many-worlds situation.

Sure you can.  For example you can pick out the set of paths whose statistics are within some bounds of the mean.

One can only get that in a stochastic one-world model.

All paths occur in a stochastic one-world model too.  The only difference is that some probability measure is assumed as part of the model.

Brent

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