On Sun, Feb 9, 2020 at 3:26 PM Stathis Papaioannou <[email protected]>
wrote:

> On 9 Feb 2020, at 13:42, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
> No. For to make such a guess would be to assume a dualist model of
> personal identity: viz., that I have an immortal soul that is not
> duplicated with my body, but assigned at random to one of the duplicates. I
> do not believe this, nor do I believe that any concept of probability is
> relevant to your presumed scenario.
>
>
> Strange that you should say that, since in the philosophical literature
> (eg. Derek Parfit) the position you describe as dualist is called
> “reductionist”, assuming there is no soul and the mind is duplicated along
> with the body. Anyway, you would not do well if you assumed this in a world
> where duplication occurred commonly. If you were rewarded if you bet
> correctly and punished if you bet incorrectly, the world would come to be
> dominated by people who assume in the above scenario they have a 99.9%
> chance of finding themselves at A.
>


They may end up dominating -- but possibly that is only because, by
construction, there are more going to A. As with Bruno's W/M duplication,
there is an unresolved question of personal identity at stake here, and
your solution is not necessarily correct.

Bruce

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