On Thu, Mar 5, 2020 at 9:46 PM Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:

> On 5 Mar 2020, at 01:40, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> On Thu, Mar 5, 2020 at 10:39 AM Stathis Papaioannou <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>> On Thu, 5 Mar 2020 at 09:46, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> The greater problem is that any idea of probability founders when all
>>> outcomes occur for any measurement. Or have you not followed the arguments
>>> I have been making that shows this to be the case?
>>>
>>
>> I think it worth noting that to some people it is obvious that if an
>> entity is to be duplicated in two places it should have a 1/2 expectation
>> of finding itself in one or other place while to other people it is obvious
>> that there should be no such expectation.
>>
>
>
> Hence my point that intuition is usually faulty in such cases -- the
> straightforward testing of any intuition with repeated trials shows the
> unreliability of such intuitions.
>
>
> It did not. You were confusing the first person account with the third
> person account.
>

Bullshit. There is no such confusion. You are just using a rhetorical
flourish to avoid facing the real issues.



> QM predicts that all measurement outcome are obtained, and by linearity,
> that all observers obtained could not have predicted it, for the same
> reason nobody can predict the outcome in the WM self)duplication
> experience. Those who claim the contrary have to say at some point that the
> Helsinki guy has died, but then Mechanism is refuted.
>


Of course no one can predict the outcome of a quantum spin measurement on a
random spin-half particle. Just as no one can predict the his 1p outcome in
WM-duplication. That  is the point I have been making -- there is no useful
notion of probability available in either case.

Bruce

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