It's very unlikely he's telling what happened. That doesn't mean he's
lying. He's probably misinterpreting his experience.
Brent
On 8/16/2022 1:53 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:
Brent; what are your priors? I am interested in your inferences. AG
On Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:38:44 PM UTC-6 [email protected] wrote:
That's not my prior.
Brent
On 8/15/2022 12:20 AM, Alan Grayson wrote:
Since we have zero information whether the guy is lying or not,
we have to assume a 50% probability that he's telling the truth.
Is there any "scientist" here willing to go that far? AG
On Thursday, August 4, 2022 at 3:45:43 PM UTC-6 Alan Grayson wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xk0INH_DI1M
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