From: "Tom Adams" <[email protected]>
Newsgroups: gmane.science.general.global-change
To: "globalchange" <[email protected]>
Sent: Sunday, January 10, 2010 11:24 AM
Subject: [Global Change: 3445] Re: Future population plateau
On Jan 10, 10:57 am, "Don Libby" <[email protected]> wrote:
but if you extrapolate the trend you get a plateau
at 9Billion or so starting mid-Century. That's the consensus view among
professional demographers, as far as I know.
The UN report featured in wikipedia puts the 2100 population between 5
and 14 billion by 2100:
Okay, but (14+5)/2 = 9.5, not a near certainty but a best guess. I think
that's close to what IPCC assumed in emissions scenarios iirc.
-dl
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