On Jan 10, 7:43 am, Tom Adams <[email protected]> wrote:
> Gore in his new book "Our Choice" seems to take it for granted that
> world population will plateau at a bit above 9 billion in 2050 and
> stay there till 2100. He seems to think this will happen because girls
> will be educated, women will be empowered, and children will survive
> as in the current 1st world.
>
> I wonder why he adopts such a rosy senario in this one area.
>
> There seems to be a consensus that population will reach 9 billion
> around 2050. But after that, the estimates run up to 14 billion.
The 1998 UN report gave five scenarios. The middle one was basically
as you describe, reach 9 billion by mid-century and level off.
However, the other scenarios created a huge variance:
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/File:Global_Population_png
-Robert Rohde
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