On Mon, 2010-02-01 at 11:21 -0800, Robert Indigo Ellison wrote:
> There is a lot of evidence for abrupt climate change - by definition
> change that is disproportionate to the forcing - a nonlinear response
> that is a characteristic of complex systems.

Sure. But the vast majority of climate change doesn't seem to be abrupt.
It is quite possible that the abrupt climate change we do see is due to
abrupt forcing and/or unusual events, not internal variability.

Younger Dryas period, for example, is very likely caused by the draining
of a vast lake of fresh water on North America. This lake existed
because of climate change, but there is nothing like this anywhere in
the world today. While the broadest definition of the climate system
would include it, our current climate system has no such feature.


> I don't know what to say about the last glacial max. Models with fixed
> ice sheets can't possibly be used for modelling glacial
> conditions.

Why not? Change the fixed ice sheets to match LGM conditions.


-- 
Phil Hays <[email protected]>

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