Agreed.

Apple has a solid track record of trying to push as hard as they can and see
what they can get away with. It started with the NeXt (the floptical drive
and Jobs' insistance that they didn't need a floppy because the Cube was so
revolutionary that people would come to them instead of the other way
around).

This strategy has worked pretty well for them over the past few years but we
started seeing some softening, such as the recent relaxation of the App
Store rules. The thing is, Apple doesn't relent because of user pressure:
they cave when they feel they are about to lose.

Overall, I stand by what I wrote some time
ago<http://beust.com/weblog/2010/05/20/one-steve-jobs-down-one-to-go/>:
Apple got too arrogant too soon. They could have waited a bit longer,
maintain their headstart on Android and they would have owned the market and
dictated all their terms, no matter how unreasonable, but they assumed they
owned the market just a few months too early, and their latest decisions
contributed to making Android a credible rival much faster than anyone
expected.

Every month that goes by confirms me in my prediction of last year, that the
market will consolidate around something like 70% market share for Android,
25% shared between Apple and an undetermined rival (maybe Microsoft) and the
rest to minor players.

-- 
Cédric


On Wed, Feb 16, 2011 at 12:01 AM, Casper Bang <[email protected]> wrote:

> > These new resolutions are no exception and they fall right in line with
> this
> > ideology.
>
> Eventually this strategy will fail and terms of conditions will be
> lifted to allow for a bit more leniency - just as what happened with
> section 3.3.1, 3.3.2 and 3.3.9 [http://www.apple.com/pr/library/
> 2010/09/09statement.html]. Besides, the more shackles Apple conjures
> up, the more attractive competitive platforms becomes. Who knows,
> someday the brainwashed disciple like Gruber will wake up and smell
> the coffee.
>
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-- 
Cédric

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