I looked at the NOAA site and also this morning's news carried a short 
segment on it.  I doubt we'll see much of anything up hear in the NY, Long 
Island Sound area other than a few showers and some mild gusting on Friday 
and possible Saturday morning.

According to the NWS, at this point in time, all 6 or 7 computer models show 
that puppy heading back northeast into the Atlantic by the time it comes 
close to our latitudes.  The mid-Atlantic states might get some strong wind 
and rain bands but they're also supposed to miss the brunt of the storm.

On the other hand, all the computer models in the world don't mean squat if 
the storm decides to change it's mind and double back on itself. It's 
happened before!  Wasn't there a hurricane about 5 or 6 years ago which was 
supposed to veer out to see and not be a threat and then it did a 180, 
doubled back on itself, and hammered South Florida?

But as far as Earl is concerned for the NY/Long Island area, I'm not 
planning on removing anything from the boat until I check the forecasts 
again on Thursday night.  If, by that time, it looks like the same forecast 
(some rain and a few gusts of wind) then I'm going to ignore it...


Steve Weinstein
S/V CAPTIVA
1997 Hunter 376, Hull #376
Sailing out of Oyster Bay, NY

All outgoing mail protected by VIPRE A/V


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "spetri" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, August 30, 2010 10:09 AM
Subject: [Liveaboard] Earl Too Close


> http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/windSpeeds.asp?storm=Earl
>
> --
> Stephen Petri
>   S/V Witchcraft, Ranger 33 No. 161
>   http://www.teamwitchcraft.com
>
>
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