Steve, The theory on waiting till the night before and checking then has a name.
Its been proven and works well most of the time. Its officially called the "Ray Nagin" Approach and has always been proven accurate in his city of New Orleans, except for once, about five years ago this week. But nothings perfect, right? I just saw it hit Cat Four. I am a chcken sailor and pilot. As one of my IFR trainers taught, "There are old Pilots, and there are Bold PIlots, But there are no Old Bold Pilots!" <grin> We checked a marina and were told that they have a policy that all must move off moorings if there is a storm! What wimps. Ed On Mon, Aug 30, 2010 at 6:09 PM, Steve Weinstein <[email protected]> wrote: > Okay, I just heard the 6/p news and it's now "official" according to the > local NBC weather guru and, presumably, the NWS and NOAA. > > Anyone living on the coastline from the mid-Atlantic region up through Maine > and New Brunswick is warned to "carefully monitor the forecasted tracks of > the storm" between now and Friday. > > So I guess this isn't really an amendment of my earlier post this afternoon. > Watch and monitor through Friday..... > > Hopefully this will be one of those no-big-deals as it swings away from the > coastline. > > Although, to tell the truth, if I were anywhere between Jax and Maryland I'd > probably be making "just-in-case" plans right about now! > > > Steve Weinstein > S/V CAPTIVA > 1997 Hunter 376, Hull #376 > Sailing out of Oyster Bay, NY > > All outgoing mail protected by VIPRE A/V > > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Steve Weinstein" <[email protected]> > To: <[email protected]> > Sent: Monday, August 30, 2010 3:51 PM > Subject: Re: [Liveaboard] Earl Too Close > > >>I looked at the NOAA site and also this morning's news carried a short >> segment on it. I doubt we'll see much of anything up hear in the NY, Long >> Island Sound area other than a few showers and some mild gusting on Friday >> and possible Saturday morning. >> >> According to the NWS, at this point in time, all 6 or 7 computer models >> show >> that puppy heading back northeast into the Atlantic by the time it comes >> close to our latitudes. The mid-Atlantic states might get some strong >> wind >> and rain bands but they're also supposed to miss the brunt of the storm. >> >> On the other hand, all the computer models in the world don't mean squat >> if >> the storm decides to change it's mind and double back on itself. It's >> happened before! Wasn't there a hurricane about 5 or 6 years ago which >> was >> supposed to veer out to see and not be a threat and then it did a 180, >> doubled back on itself, and hammered South Florida? >> >> But as far as Earl is concerned for the NY/Long Island area, I'm not >> planning on removing anything from the boat until I check the forecasts >> again on Thursday night. If, by that time, it looks like the same >> forecast >> (some rain and a few gusts of wind) then I'm going to ignore it... >> >> >> Steve Weinstein >> S/V CAPTIVA >> 1997 Hunter 376, Hull #376 >> Sailing out of Oyster Bay, NY >> >> All outgoing mail protected by VIPRE A/V >> >> >> ----- Original Message ----- >> From: "spetri" <[email protected]> >> To: <[email protected]> >> Sent: Monday, August 30, 2010 10:09 AM >> Subject: [Liveaboard] Earl Too Close >> >> >>> http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/windSpeeds.asp?storm=Earl >>> >>> -- >>> Stephen Petri >>> S/V Witchcraft, Ranger 33 No. 161 >>> http://www.teamwitchcraft.com >>> >>> >>> _______________________________________________ >>> Liveaboard mailing list >>> [email protected] >>> To adjust your membership settings over the web >>> http://liveaboardonline.com/mailman/listinfo/liveaboard >>> To subscribe send an email to [email protected] >>> >>> To unsubscribe send an email to [email protected] >>> The archives are at http://www.liveaboardonline.com/pipermail/liveaboard/ >>> >>> To search the archives >>> http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected] >>> >>> The Mailman Users Guide can be found here >>> http://www.gnu.org/software/mailman/mailman-member/index.html >> >> _______________________________________________ >> Liveaboard mailing list >> [email protected] >> To adjust your membership settings over the web >> http://liveaboardonline.com/mailman/listinfo/liveaboard >> To subscribe send an email to [email protected] >> >> To unsubscribe send an email to [email protected] >> The archives are at http://www.liveaboardonline.com/pipermail/liveaboard/ >> >> To search the archives >> http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected] >> >> The Mailman Users Guide can be found here >> http://www.gnu.org/software/mailman/mailman-member/index.html > > _______________________________________________ > Liveaboard mailing list > [email protected] > To adjust your membership settings over the web > http://liveaboardonline.com/mailman/listinfo/liveaboard > To subscribe send an email to [email protected] > > To unsubscribe send an email to [email protected] > The archives are at http://www.liveaboardonline.com/pipermail/liveaboard/ > > To search the archives > http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected] > > The Mailman Users Guide can be found here > http://www.gnu.org/software/mailman/mailman-member/index.html > -- Ed Kelly sailing vessel ANGEL LOUISE - Catalac 12m Skype Cell telephone: 202-657-6357 [email protected] _______________________________________________ Liveaboard mailing list [email protected] To adjust your membership settings over the web http://liveaboardonline.com/mailman/listinfo/liveaboard To subscribe send an email to [email protected] To unsubscribe send an email to [email protected] The archives are at http://www.liveaboardonline.com/pipermail/liveaboard/ To search the archives http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected] The Mailman Users Guide can be found here http://www.gnu.org/software/mailman/mailman-member/index.html
