Okay, I just heard the 6/p news and it's now "official" according to the 
local NBC weather guru and, presumably, the NWS and NOAA.

Anyone living on the coastline from the mid-Atlantic region up through Maine 
and New Brunswick is warned to "carefully monitor the forecasted tracks of 
the storm" between now and Friday.

So I guess this isn't really an amendment of my earlier post this afternoon. 
Watch and monitor through Friday.....

Hopefully this will be one of those no-big-deals as it swings away from the 
coastline.

Although, to tell the truth, if I were anywhere between Jax and Maryland I'd 
probably be making "just-in-case" plans right about now!


Steve Weinstein
S/V CAPTIVA
1997 Hunter 376, Hull #376
Sailing out of Oyster Bay, NY

All outgoing mail protected by VIPRE A/V


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Steve Weinstein" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, August 30, 2010 3:51 PM
Subject: Re: [Liveaboard] Earl Too Close


>I looked at the NOAA site and also this morning's news carried a short
> segment on it.  I doubt we'll see much of anything up hear in the NY, Long
> Island Sound area other than a few showers and some mild gusting on Friday
> and possible Saturday morning.
>
> According to the NWS, at this point in time, all 6 or 7 computer models 
> show
> that puppy heading back northeast into the Atlantic by the time it comes
> close to our latitudes.  The mid-Atlantic states might get some strong 
> wind
> and rain bands but they're also supposed to miss the brunt of the storm.
>
> On the other hand, all the computer models in the world don't mean squat 
> if
> the storm decides to change it's mind and double back on itself. It's
> happened before!  Wasn't there a hurricane about 5 or 6 years ago which 
> was
> supposed to veer out to see and not be a threat and then it did a 180,
> doubled back on itself, and hammered South Florida?
>
> But as far as Earl is concerned for the NY/Long Island area, I'm not
> planning on removing anything from the boat until I check the forecasts
> again on Thursday night.  If, by that time, it looks like the same 
> forecast
> (some rain and a few gusts of wind) then I'm going to ignore it...
>
>
> Steve Weinstein
> S/V CAPTIVA
> 1997 Hunter 376, Hull #376
> Sailing out of Oyster Bay, NY
>
> All outgoing mail protected by VIPRE A/V
>
>
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "spetri" <[email protected]>
> To: <[email protected]>
> Sent: Monday, August 30, 2010 10:09 AM
> Subject: [Liveaboard] Earl Too Close
>
>
>> http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/windSpeeds.asp?storm=Earl
>>
>> --
>> Stephen Petri
>>   S/V Witchcraft, Ranger 33 No. 161
>>   http://www.teamwitchcraft.com
>>
>>
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