I agree completely Lee, my daughter-in-law works for a large over the road trucking company. She works tirelessly to hire drivers, can’t get them. Last year the industry was short 18,000 drivers. This problem can be solved.
Our world is going to change, my wife is furious with me for suggesting such, saying it will never happen, but then again she wants to use a rotary dial phone. The large disrupter is going to be where in the world will these folks work in 20 years? Society has to solve this huge issue….if I was still living where would I be working!! John > On Nov 19, 2018, at 10:50 AM, Lee Larson <[email protected]> wrote: > > On Nov 18, 2018, at 7:15 PM, John Robinson <[email protected] > <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: > >> This is a topic I threw out a few weeks ago, now a more definitive line in >> the sand seems plausible.. > > > I have a several thoughts: > > • If I were a young long-haul trucker, I’d be thinking about my next career. > It won’t be long before those 18-wheelers on the interstate lack a human > driver. The trucking companies will jump on this because they can keep their > trucks rolling around the clock instead of being limited by the number of > hours a driver is permitted to work. Most of these trucks run the same easy > routes over and over again. Computers were invented for this. > > • How about city buses and garbage trucks. They have fixed routes with > well-defined stops. It seems like a good fit for a computer. > > • When I travel, I always try to take Uber or Lyft instead of regular taxis. > Better service. Better prices. For example, we were in Las Vegas last month > and took a taxi to our hotel when we arrived—$34. When we left, we took Uber > from the hotel to the airport—$19 and the car was clean. If the taxi > companies hadn’t been wedded to grampa’s technology ten years ago, they’d own > Uber's business instead of being the walking dead. Uber isn’t going to make > the same mistake. > > • Before it becomes ubiquitous on the roads, some things will have to > change. Traffic signs and signals will be made more computer-friendly. > Perhaps little radio transmitters will be embedded to make sure the computer > understands complicated intersections and can see them in bad weather. In > high-traffic areas, special lanes, like today’s commuter lanes, will be > installed. In the beginning, there may be special routes with enhancements to > assist the computers. > > • Ownership of cars in the USA is definitely going to decrease. I can see > this with my own children. Mu daughter lives in Minneapolis and mostly gets > around by mass transit. She’ll often go weeks without driving. My son has a > car out of necessity because mass transit in Louisville is so spotty. But, he > was in no hurry to drive and didn’t even bother to get a driver’s license > until he was 18, and only then because he needed an ID. > > • The same technology is going to be present in lots of places. Most of the > big airplanes are already flown mostly by computer, with pilots watching. It > can’t be long before the pilot is on the ground monitoring a half-dozen > planes. On top of that, there’s a big shortage of airline pilots. How long > until UPS starts hauling their cargo with robots? I think it’ll be a while > before the general public will accept this with airliners. When will Papa > John’s start using self-driving delivery vehicles or drones. Amazon is > already working on using drones for local deliveries. > > L^2 > > > --- > Lee Larson > [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> > > > Thus the good Christian should beware of mathematicians and all those who > make false prophecies, however much they may in fact speak the truth; lest, > being in league with the devil, they may deceive errant souls into making > common cause. — Augustinus, De genesis ad literam, Liber 2, Caput XVII, Nr. > 37 > > _______________________________________________ > MacGroup mailing list > Posting address: [email protected] > Archive: > <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__www.mail-2Darchive.com_macgroup-40erdos.math.louisville.edu_&d=DwIFaQ&c=OAG1LQNACBDguGvBeNj18Swhr9TMTjS-x4O_KuapPgY&r=F2GFXrjLFqVo3VwvIlo_XYeEiRRjHv15rxcenz7A21woG2aFGcrzndoSsskxfmOs&m=ddp0SNlwcuFfP0PUVaTM3EKyKw1bWdqeDmm9iARX-B4&s=sfchxbeJOb5GuIaaM6gK6m1UKDOT9STiGYfvwBF1Oms&e=> > Answers to questions: <http://erdos.math.louisville.edu/macgroup/>
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