RWM,

 

Of course, Mifnetters welcome and appreciate reasoned, cogent descriptions such 
as yours about where we are today.  And yes, little progress has been made at 
enormous cost to both airlines and the economy in general.  (The SESAR project 
you cite is but one example.  It reminds me of several Brussels meetings at 
Eurocontrol dating back to the 1980’s.)

 

But my objection is to the ongoing hectoring about “airlines could, airlines 
should but airlines don’t,” and “day-of,” etc., and the long and serially 
repetitive emails.  By now, I’d venture that all on this forum have seen the 
same stuff more times than we care to count.  My only question is, when is 
enough, enough?

 

Bob Distler 

 

 

From: RWM--- via Mifnet <[email protected]> 
Sent: Saturday, 16 May, 2026 18:51
To: [email protected]
Cc: [email protected]
Subject: [Mifnet 🛰 76180] Re: News Flash - Fuel is not the airlines largest 
controllable cost item

 

With respect, Bob, airlines have been complaining about ‘ATC’ for decades. Over 
the same period, FAA has invested scores of billions of dollars in new 
infrastructure and tools, forcing airlines to spend significant sums for 
avionics to support the new tools. The story is quite similar outside the U.S. 

 

Also over that same period, airlines continue to drive self-induced, unmanaged 
congestion, driving the need for ATC intervention to provide enroute and 
terminal airspace separation and safety, requiring more and more infrastructure 
and tools, driving further spending.

 

That’s a version of the ‘do the same things, get the same results’ problem you 
cite. A vicious cycle of capital destruction at both agency and airlines, while 
customers continue to see poor outcomes including delays, investors see reduced 
returns, employees become worn out by unreliable and highly variant flight 
timeliness, and the economy is burdened by what agencies, academics and 
Congress agree are billion of dollars annually in delay costs. Likewise in 
Europe where SESAR and improved ATC are nothing more than aspirational goals.

 

The root cause problem and opportunity to improve ‘ATC’ system performance and 
airport throughput, effectively expanding capacity, is by preventing unmanaged, 
self-induced congestion, rather than forcing ATC to fix congestion by issuing 
vectoring, reroutes, and delays.  

 

Addressing root cause reduces the need for ATC intervention, infrastructure, 
and controller workload, while capturing and allowing utilization of latent 
system capacity. Also improves customer, investor, employee and national 
economic outcomes.

 

The solution is to incentivize (or mandate) airlines to real-time manage their 
own day-of-flight 4D trajectories, system optimize aircraft flow, sequencing 
and spacing to their own business rules, using their own realtime information 
about their own resource statuses, possible for decades. Allow ATC to real-time 
broker multiple carrier system optima to generate a global system optimum. 
Demonstrated possible and commercialized for more than a decade.

 

If these facilities had never been demonstrated and independently validated as 
producing meaningful on-time improvements and flying time reduction benefits — 
including in FAA-funded, brokered multi-carrier trials — one might say ‘pie in 
the sky, computationally unscalable’.  The reality is the facilities are 
commercially available, and on the shelf for rapid deployment. 

 

Unfortunately, the vaunted $30+ billion BNATCS addresses none of this, based on 
which, ten years and way more than $30 billion from now, nothing will have 
changed except for more flights, more delays, and airlines moving on to a 
familiar topic, more finger-pointing.

 

- Bob Mann

 

Office contact: +1-516-944-0900 

 

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