[Chris]
> I have a hard time seeing how Chance can exist

[Arlo]
> As I see it, "chance" stands in contrast to "pre-ordained"

This doesn't seem the right contrast.  If a friend & I agree to
meet, that doesn't make it pre-ordained.  A lot of things can
intervene.  And if we do meet, that doesn't make it by chance.
Determinism holds that not only are all events caused, but given
the conditions there is a unique, pre-determined result. 
Pirsig is not a Determinist.  He must account for how there
can be causation without pre-determination.  IMHO this is the
role for DQ.
Craig
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