[Arlo previously]
As I see it, "chance" stands in contrast to "pre-ordained"

[Craig]
This doesn't seem the right contrast.

[Arlo]
Would you accept "unintended"? There are certainly things that occur 
because of our intentional volition, but there are also things that 
occur as unintentional consequences not only within the "human 
sphere" but throughout the cosmos. This is my point here, that there 
is no "intentional plan" being enacted by Platt's Quali-god.

I back my car out of a parking space as someone else comes by and 
plows into it (hypothetical, didn't happen). We (the drivers) are 
both acting with intent. But the collision was unintended. Its not 
like yesterday we were thinking, "I am going to create a car accident 
tomorrow". And Quality is not a volitional and intentional God for 
whom our collision was part of His Great Plan.

Yes, there are "reasons" the accident occurred, after the fact we can 
look back and see how our actions paved the way for the accident. But 
had I stopped to tie my shoe on the way to the parking deck, maybe 
this accident would not have occurred. Had a thousand or more other 
little things happened differently, maybe no accident. It was not 
until perhaps a brief second before the accident that the accident 
became "inevitable", or more precisely "highly probable".

Without "chance" there is no freedom. It suggests necessary 
uncertainty from among all probabilities. It suggest there is no 
"plan". And thank "God" for that.

[Krimel]
Excellent example, Arlo! It illustrates that while we are accustomed to
thinking of chains of probability what we experience is a nest of interwoven
chains. Each chain follows its own particular logic but when they interact
what matters is the SQ and DQ they introduce into the interactions.  Every
link in every chain of causality might be found to interact with every other
link in every other chain.

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