[Keith]
I've read excerpts from Kurzweil's latest book *The Singularity Is Near*, in
which he builds on Verner Vinge's idea of a "singularity" or discontinuity
in history beyond which we cannot "see"/predict future events (like the
event horizon of a black hole, ergo the name). Kurzweil argues that the
acceleration of the rate of change in society in this century will lead to
the equivalent of 20,000 years of progress in the space of 100 years due to
the repeated doublings in technological price/performance across
information-, bio-, and nano-technologies.

[Krimel]
I am a big fan of Vinge, too. I am reading his latest novel now. His short
story True Names is perhaps the 1st cyberpunk story. Actually more
proto-cyberpunk; light in the punk part. His ex-wife Joan writes a mean
novel too.

I thought Kurzweil's application of Moore's law to other technologies was
really good. I have heard him talking about his new book too. Seem like he
is just extending his ideas with it. I look forward to checking it out. I
have a very good friend who is involved in the kind of health related
research he sees converging with computer technology. Genetic researchers
really are thinking of molecular biology in terms of code and programming.
Database programmers who set up search engines and info on the DNA sequence
are a valuable part of current biological research.

Did you know there is a project going on to sequence Neanderthal DNA?

I would imagine that the whole idea of reverse engineering the brain would
strike a really sour note with many here. I don't see it meshing well with
Wilber's retro thinking about higher levels of consciousness either.

[Keith]
The seeming inevitability of augmented human intelligence and apparent
likelihood of artificial intelligence raises panoply of interesting
philosophical questions regarding identity and ethics. 

[Krimel]
I already feel augmented every time I do a Google search.

[Keith]
I think the MOQ would
argue that intelligence is a pattern, so there's no a priori reason it can't
be instantiated in silicon rather than neurons. Let's just hope if that view
is correct, that any artificial intelligence won't need to recapitulate the
phases of our own developmental evolution (as Wilber speculates in
*Boomeritis*) and that, if it's possible, we can start it off at a level of
rationality rather than going through a bloody, bad sci-fi, evil conscious
computer stage.

[Krimel]
I think you are right about the patterns business but there is a school of
thought that holds that some patterns are special. The way Kurzweil spells
it out, the period of symbiotic relationship would help machine intelligence
avoid the Mr. Spock syndrome of pure logic and no feeling. But I wonder if
all the emotional evolutionary baggage we carry would not be just as well
left behind. Roddenberry certainly didn't think so. But the truth is it is
not religion or politics or economics that fuels war and cruelty so much as
emotion.

[Keith]
While I'm definitely a technological optimist and would go so far as to
remain open to the some of the tenets of transhumanism and extropianism, I
still don't know what to think of these possibilities other than it sure is
an interesting time to be alive.

[Krimel]
I would like to be optimistic too and most of the time I am, but the realist
in me certainly is not. The only law that seems to be more unshakable than
thermodynamics is Murphy's. Still, I hope you are right.




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