DeMoN_LaG wrote:
> Greg Miller wrote:
>
>> Scott I. Remick wrote:
>>
>>> My observations were that people didn't "switch" as much as the tidal
>>> wave of NEW users chose IE because:
>>>
>>> - Microsoft stuck it in Windows and made them use it for other things
>>> anyway.
>>> - MS gave it away for free (something Netscape eventually had to
>>> follow, resulting in NS loosing a lot of income and therefore
>>> financial means to fund more browser development).
>>
>> Don't forget AOL. Gartner (as I recall) used to track some interesting
>> stats. As I recall, the last set of stats I saw from them indicated
>> that just over 40% of IE users said they used it because MS gave it to
>> them (in Windows) and they didn't see any need to look for an
>> alternative. Another 40% or so (slightly smaller than the previous
>> group) said they chose it because AOL gave it to them and told them to
>> use it.
>
> So if AOL puts Mozilla into their next version of AOL, you are looking
> at just under half of IE's users being converted to N6/Mozilla. What is
> current market share? Something like 20%/70%/10% (Netscape/IE/Other)?
> If 40% of IE's users convert to Netscape, the figures change to
> 48%/42%/10% immediately.
Actually, I think that right now it's more like 7%/91%/4%. At least,
that's what the monthly stats package I receive says, but you can take
it with as big a grain of salt as you want.
Anyway, assuming 40% of IE's users switch as a result of AOL, that would
become something like 43%/53%/4% -- not quite as even as the original
estimate, but still pretty good.
--Jason
