I’m not a subscriber to read the entire article but 30% is a load of BS at
this stage

On Sat, 24 Feb 2024 at 15:18, Tom Gao via ozdotnet <ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com>
wrote:

> Here's the article.
>
>
> https://www.afr.com/technology/commbank-claims-ai-is-already-making-it-work-30pc-better-20240206-p5f2uu
>
> So what does everyone think about the claim that 30% efficiency? ie to me
> as head of IT instead of hiring 10 developers to build applications now
> only 7 is required. To me that just doesn't seem realistic.
>
>
>
> On Fri, Feb 23, 2024 at 3:04 PM Tom Rutter via ozdotnet <
> ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com> wrote:
>
>>
>> On Fri, 23 Feb 2024 at 12:32, Dr Greg Low via ozdotnet <
>> ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com> wrote:
>>
>>> Worse, in the baseball umpiring exam I mentioned, someone said to me
>>> “isn’t that what you’d get if you just asked a whole lot of fans about the
>>> rules rather than asking umpires?”
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> There’s probably something important about that. How does it know which
>>> of the material it was trained on is valid?
>>>
>>
>> Yep that’s the thing, it doesn’t actually know what is “valid”. From what
>> I understand it just gets “pushed” in certain directions during training
>> and not in all cases obviously.
>>
>> My experience with things like ChatGPT so far basically brings it down to
>> a better Google really. Early days
>>
>>
>>>
>>> Regards,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Greg
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Dr Greg Low
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> 1300SQLSQL (1300 775 775) office | +61 419201410 mobile
>>>
>>> SQL Down Under | Web: https://sqldownunder.com
>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__sqldownunder.com_&d=DwMFAg&c=euGZstcaTDllvimEN8b7jXrwqOf-v5A_CdpgnVfiiMM&r=2rgtwrXggQFZiZbisdwDooYFalucb-vLhjG0McaanBZKn0UVuognuHqfHnjp2AVc&m=I23jyX4AKIv9q2x7A3CQAer9PGCjq8R6DwW7BE1IAhZ1JbigKMrMPRCjs6AqW7h3&s=o3oFliHztOF8D9Nbqaa7KQdqC-zkQNXWl4IqnEG58Wc&e=>
>>>  |
>>> About Greg:  https://about.me/greg.low
>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__about.me_greg.low&d=DwMFAg&c=euGZstcaTDllvimEN8b7jXrwqOf-v5A_CdpgnVfiiMM&r=2rgtwrXggQFZiZbisdwDooYFalucb-vLhjG0McaanBZKn0UVuognuHqfHnjp2AVc&m=I23jyX4AKIv9q2x7A3CQAer9PGCjq8R6DwW7BE1IAhZ1JbigKMrMPRCjs6AqW7h3&s=NsAibgiqfCxsyc8m2DBKogKQcs3OqE3mkyCjmpoYxTk&e=>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> *From:* mike smith via ozdotnet <ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com>
>>>
>>> *Sent:* Friday, February 23, 2024 12:19 PM
>>> *To:* ozDotNet <ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com>
>>> *Cc:* mike smith <meski...@gmail.com>
>>> *Subject:* Re: AI
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> "old system views"
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> That makes me wonder if it has any way of differentiating between
>>> something it found from a decade ago to more recent data.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Mike
>>>
>>> On Fri, 23 Feb 2024, 11:43 Dr Greg Low via ozdotnet, <
>>> ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> Hi Tom,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> For me, it depends what you want it to do. It certainly can appear to
>>> help someone who’s new to an area.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> For most code writing, I’ve been pretty underwhelmed. As an example, if
>>> I ask it to write SQL, I get a very poor outcome. It will use old
>>> deprecated views instead of the current system views (that have been around
>>> for a decade), and often does things in a convoluted way.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> What I have been impressed with, is how it can help you understand
>>> acronyms, etc. Quite amazing. I’ve also been pretty impressed with using it
>>> go generate some test data, including in multiple languages. And the test
>>> data is fairly believable. If I ask it for family names, and I also ask for
>>> Chinese, it does pick common Chinese family names in the test output.
>>> That’s pretty impressive.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> It can do a reasonable job of things like “here’s some DAX code, can you
>>> simplify it?” It often can. Or “here’s a regular expression, can you
>>> explain what it does?” and it does that just fine. I’ve seen people happily
>>> using it to explain code that they don’t understand, or to (sort of)
>>> document some code.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> But it also is so confident on things, yet so wrong. I gave it a 25
>>> question baseball umpire test the other day. It was 100% confident
>>> sounding, but 40% correct. The weird thing is that some of the questions
>>> that it got right, are things that new human umpires often get wrong. Yet
>>> for simpler questions, it would say that something legal is illegal.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> It’s certainly interesting, but it’s very much a work in progress. It
>>> will be part of our futures.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Regards,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Greg
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Dr Greg Low
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> 1300SQLSQL (1300 775 775) office | +61 419201410 mobile
>>>
>>> SQL Down Under | Web: https://sqldownunder.com
>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__sqldownunder.com_&d=DwMFAg&c=euGZstcaTDllvimEN8b7jXrwqOf-v5A_CdpgnVfiiMM&r=2rgtwrXggQFZiZbisdwDooYFalucb-vLhjG0McaanBZKn0UVuognuHqfHnjp2AVc&m=I23jyX4AKIv9q2x7A3CQAer9PGCjq8R6DwW7BE1IAhZ1JbigKMrMPRCjs6AqW7h3&s=o3oFliHztOF8D9Nbqaa7KQdqC-zkQNXWl4IqnEG58Wc&e=>
>>>  |
>>> About Greg:  https://about.me/greg.low
>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__about.me_greg.low&d=DwMFAg&c=euGZstcaTDllvimEN8b7jXrwqOf-v5A_CdpgnVfiiMM&r=2rgtwrXggQFZiZbisdwDooYFalucb-vLhjG0McaanBZKn0UVuognuHqfHnjp2AVc&m=I23jyX4AKIv9q2x7A3CQAer9PGCjq8R6DwW7BE1IAhZ1JbigKMrMPRCjs6AqW7h3&s=NsAibgiqfCxsyc8m2DBKogKQcs3OqE3mkyCjmpoYxTk&e=>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> *From:* Tom Gao via ozdotnet <ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com>
>>> *Sent:* Friday, February 23, 2024 11:58 AM
>>> *To:* ozDotNet <ozdotnet@ozdotnet.com>
>>> *Cc:* Tom Gao <t...@tomgao.com>
>>> *Subject:* AI
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Hi guys, I haven't posted in a few years and haven't been on the tools
>>> for a long time now as well. I'm on a panel on a digital conference coming
>>> up in march. We had a pre meeting today and the topic of AI came up. Two of
>>> the panelist said cited CBA and Westpac using AI and were able to save 30%
>>> on development effort.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Personally I just finished an AI course my view is quite the opposite.
>>> My personal opinion of the generative AI space and AI in general having
>>> spent time with the academics is that the benefits are significantly over
>>> inflated.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I want to get some other opinions if you are seeing any significant
>>> benefit and that I may be just out of touch or not aware.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Thanks,
>>>
>>> Tom
>>>
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