Ben,


Thank you for your thoughts and I like your modified formulation, even
though it does not implement the logical structure.

The Josephson X 2 addition also adds value.

I believe also that C and A should be dynamic, that is, the surprising fact
C that is observed is moving and the explanation A should also be moving,
for instance, that C = (*Q=>P*).  Despite these reasons, I believe CP 5.189
is *perfect*.



I’d also like to bring the question back and ask whether CP 5.189 is or is
not a “syllogism”.  That is, I am concerned about the strict technical
definition of what makes a “syllogism” a “syllogism” or whether the symbol
has grown.



For example, you refer to it as “*Peirce’s abductive syllogism*”.

So, it’s a syllogism despite it not guaranteeing a true guess about a case
right now or that it does not have the 1-2-3 structure?

Even though it does not have a “knock-down” list of three terms?

What if it turns out to be true that these beans are from this bag?

If you already possess knowledge about this situation, say you go into the
future, figure out what happened and come back to the present to construct
the logical argument in 1-3-2 structure, then can we call that structure a
syllogism?



_________



Edwina,



I really like what you said about chance, law and habit-taking,
especially “Abduction
is a flexible process of the universal Mind to generate adaptive rules.
Within the scientific method, abduction is similar - it keeps explanations
open to evidentiary proof and is able to abandon one rule and generate
another.”  Also, thank you for keeping this conversation going, which
invite others’ contributions.  They are very helpful.



This is what I am trying to do: to bring attention to the point that Peirce
was a careful writer and that if you look at CP 5.189, it is mysterious
that a “syllogism” should have a term missing, that is, *if it even counts
as a syllogism*.



So, one issue is whether to view surprise/suspect as a single term, as I am
asserting.  You call it four terms but I call it three terms; that surprise
and suspect belong to persons and that person is B, so surprise/suspect
(aka., transformed B) is one term and not two.  Yet, to even call it a
syllogism is problematic because you’d have to consider all the other
technical constraints of what a syllogism ought to be, like the rules for
distribution, etc…



Thank you for the reference to Gensler’s site.  I can see why the example
of chimps is wrong but I still can’t explain it strictly by the logical
structure, so I will continue to work on that.  Also as clarification, I
have corrected myself to state that the middle term is A and not C.

________



The example you attribute to me (“*This event is a surprise…”) *is not mine.
It’s yours, you wrote it.  But it brings attention to various ambiguous
points.



For instance, it is not the case that some events are surprising.

It is that ALL events of a particular kind is ALWAYS surprising but only to
ALL inquirers of a particular kind, say for prepared inquirers named
Charles.



So, *all* golden spirals in particular and not all spirals of any kind, are
*always* surprising to *all* Charleses but not all Stuarts (because they
are not prepared, so cannot have the correct recognition to hazard a good
guess) and only for right now, before the experiments are completely
carried out to completion.  For in that future, the golden spiral will be
explained by maturation and modification of the current structured guess,
the best argumentation (c.f., Ben’s criteria).



Also, if it’s a good guess, one that carries the assertion in the future to
a true conclusion, then we are talking about an inchoate abduction that
gets modified and matures into a polished abduction with truth value where
the essence has not changed enough to be called something else, like the
colloquial usage of the term “syllogism”, if there is such a thing.  So, I
think there are good reasons for referring to CP 5.189 as a “syllogism”,
which is still in contention.

__________



My main motivation here is to give clear, spirited reasons for generating a
rule that abandons (perhaps too harsh a term?) an old one to link CP 5.189
with Peirce’s esoteric writing in A Neglected Argument.  I certainly do
need to figure out what the technical definition of “syllogism” is, as that
is critical, but if Ben who knows better than I do refers to it as a
syllogism, then is he wrong or is he simply using it in a colloquial
manner…what then, are colloquial standards?



Finally, it is true that Peirce’s formulation has an if/then in it.  But if
we consider that section at the future limit of inquiry, the if/then is
gone.  A *is* C because it’s true as matter of course by definition.


With best regards and thanks to all,

Jerry Rhee

On Sun, Apr 24, 2016 at 12:26 PM, Jon Alan Schmidt <[email protected]
> wrote:

> Jerry C., List:
>
> I must confess, I do not understand what specific point you are trying to
> make with this response; please elaborate/clarify.
>
> To supplement my previous comments--surprise and suspicion are not part of
> the reasoning itself; i.e., not included within the syllogism.  Surprise
> (at the observation of fact C) corresponds to the irritation of doubt that
> prompts an inquiry in the first place.  Suspicion (that A explains C)
> corresponds to the fixation of belief that is the aim of inquiry and brings
> it to an end, at least provisionally and for the time being.
>
> Regards,
>
> Jon Alan Schmidt - Olathe, Kansas, USA
> Professional Engineer, Amateur Philosopher, Lutheran Layman
> www.LinkedIn.com/in/JonAlanSchmidt - twitter.com/JonAlanSchmidt
>
> On Sun, Apr 24, 2016 at 9:08 AM, Jerry LR Chandler <
> [email protected]> wrote:
>
>> On Apr 24, 2016, at 8:43 AM, Jon Alan Schmidt <[email protected]>
>> wrote:
>>
>>  then the syllogism looks like this.
>>
>> A = X is Y.
>> R = Y is Z.
>> C = X is Z.
>>
>> Really?
>>
>> Perhaps you mean that the conclusion you seek can be reached by this
>> clear, distinct and logical expression of your ideas.
>>
>> Cheers
>>
>> Jerry
>>
>
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