On Tue, Nov 5, 2013 at 5:09 PM, Theodore Ts'o <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Tue, Nov 05, 2013 at 10:01:58AM -0500, Phillip Hallam-Baker wrote:
> > The payoff for this effort is a major increase in work factor and in
> > particular, forcing an adversary attempting a traffic analysis attack to
> > intercept and decrypt multiple fire hoses. 40Gb/sec is quite a lot of
> data
> > to store. It is over an exabyte per link per year. Or about a quarter
> > million 4Tb hard drives. Or $200 million at $500 per drive (including
> > racking etc.)
>
> That's assuming the attacker is going to attack link-level security
> --- which to me sounds like the French assuming the Germans would make
> a full frontal assault on the Maginot Line.
>
> It would seem that a much more intelligent thing for the adversary to
> do is to force/induce/send a national security letter/FISA warrant so
> as to put the tap between the decryption gear and the default-free
> zone router.
>

And then when the packets cut across multiple jurisdictions, the traffic
patterns are hidden unless the governments are willing to cooperate.

The technical layer and the political layer are separate. Forcing an
attacker to obtain a legal warrant is the desired outcome because that
forces a measure of accountability.


I note that others have expressed skepticism as to my understanding of the
political realities. I suggest that their experience in national politics
in general and US politics in particular is almost certainly less than
mine.

These events have cost Microsoft, Google and the other major US providers
of cloud services several billion dollars in lost revenues as customers ask
if they can trust US companies. Those companies have plenty of political
clout to protect their interests. While corporate interests don't always
win in the US system, this is an issue where the corporate interest and
public opinion are in very strong agreement.

For reasons that will not apply to his successor, the current President had
particular reason to rely on the intelligence services, specifically the
need to wind down two wars that the US had been losing due to the utter
incompetence of his predecessor. Whoever wins in 2016 is not going to be
facing those same needs but to get elected they will have to answer the
questions raised by the civil rights abuses of the intelligence services
now that the Snowden documents have made the issues apparent to the
population at large.


Gen Alexander has been fired, so has Clapper and so have much of their
support staffs. Now that was for the political embarrassment that their
incompetent tradecraft has caused the politicians but their successors are
not going to be engaging in business as usual. I believe that they are
going to have little choice but to concentrate on what should be the core
mission of the NSA: defending the US and its allies.

-- 
Website: http://hallambaker.com/
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