[racebase] Longest losing run in 10 years

[Peter Harrop]

Hi, With the win  of Al Jameel at Te Rapa in Race 8 today, it brought to an end the longest losing run in the 10 years I have been doing my RaceBase software ratings (Margins Method). An incredible 35 races without a top pick win. The strike rate overall is 26%. This means the chances of a losing streak of 35 or more races is 1 chance in 38,000 (roughly) races. The stats include about 20,000 races so the losing streak fell slap-bang in the middle in terms of being 'due'. Within this 35 races, the top pick finished 2nd 12 times and 3rd 9 times, showing how fickle statistical fortune can be. Peter H.   Yahoo! Groups Links To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/racebase/   To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED]   Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.