And the Yankees only have a 6% chance. woo hoo!! we rule!

On Thu, Aug 27, 2009 at 10:57 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:

> Here are the odds based on the baseball-prospectus simulation:
>
> Average wins by position in AL East:  100.2 93.2 88.5 76.2 66.1
> AL East <http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/aleast.png>           W 
>    L    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs      1D Change 7D 
> Change
>
> Yankees <http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/Yankeespsodds.php>      
>      79   47   .595  100.1   61.9   93.24358    5.94766   99.19125         
> .50389    .49115
> Red Sox <http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/RedSoxpsodds.php>       
>     73   53   .556   92.6   69.4    5.55098   60.68733   66.23831        
> 7.06311  15.53897
>
> Rays <http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/Devilpsodds.php>           
>    69   57   .583   89.3   72.7    1.20543   19.73397   20.93941       
> -5.91593  -8.73648
> Blue Jays <http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/Bluepsodds.php>       
>   58   67   .524   76.1   85.9     .00000     .00203     .00203         
> .00106  -0.03042
>
> Orioles <http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/Oriolespsodds.php>      
>      52   75   .447   66.2   95.8     .00000     .00000     .00000         
> .00000    .00000
>
>
> Red Sox have a 60% chance of getting the wildcard.  Rays 19%, Rangers 18%.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Aug 27, 2009 at 9:49 AM, Tom Salemi<[email protected]> wrote:
> > Phew, for a second I thought the Yankees had the best record in baseball
> and
> > a six game lead in the division.
> >
> > I think Ray correctly pointed out that the Yankees now have a killer
> combo
> > in Texiera/A-Rod that will fuel a potent line up. They also have
> > Sabathia/Burnett, not quite Beckett/Lester but close.
> >
> > It's fine to believe in the Sox, but shouting down talk of the Yankees
> > talent is just yahooism.
> >
> > So, the Sox will win the wild card. The Yanks will win the division. Then
> it
> > will come down to whose pitchers shows up for the games.
> >
> > On Thu, Aug 27, 2009 at 8:25 AM, Beaudoin, John <
> [email protected]>
> > wrote:
> >>
> >> Perect phrase for me, too. I've been mildly annoyed since everyone
> started
> >> freaking out when the Sox got swept in NY and still maintained a 9-4
> head to
> >> head record against the Yankees on the season.
> >>
> >> The Sox have a great team. The let downs have been in the middle of the
> >> season this decade instead of the end, like the 30 years we were all
> living
> >> before. Now they come back and win championships. I believe it's due in
> >> large part to a manager who manages for the season and not just a series
> or
> >> a game. Tito knows if someone needs a rest. They know whose arm is dead
> and
> >> how long it takes to recover and how long it will last after returning.
> Nuff
> >> said? No more freaking out.
> >>
> >> Bow to the Yankees all you want. Our pitching will kick their asses in a
> 7
> >> game series.
> >> ________________________________
> >> From: [email protected] <[email protected]>
> >> To: [email protected] <[email protected]>
> >> Sent: Thu Aug 27 04:31:58 2009
> >> Subject: Re: Murder's Row
> >>
> >> No, they're a good hitting team ... but I don't think they're the best
> in
> >> history and I'm sick of genuflecting to the Yankee empire. That's all.
> >> There's a defeatist attitude going around (not necessarily you) and I'm
> >> mildly annoyed.
> >>
> >> Steve O
> >>
> >> On Thu, Aug 27, 2009 at 7:07 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:
> >>>
> >>> So my comment about the lineup was wrong?
> >>>
> >>> On Wed, Aug 26, 2009 at 9:59 PM, Steve Ouellette<
> [email protected]>
> >>> wrote:
> >>> > Yeah, yeah. Yankees are invincible, yada yada yada ...
> >>> >
> >>> > Steve O
> >>> >
> >>> > On Wed, Aug 26, 2009 at 9:46 PM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]>
> wrote:
> >>> >>
> >>> >> it seems to me that the Yankees have pulled it off, the murder's row
> >>> >> of a lineup with no holes.
> >>> >>
> >>> >> --
> >>> >
> >>> >
> >>> > >
> >>> >
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>> --
> >>> Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's
> >>> Productivity...Quickly"
> >>> www.leadingafteralayoff.com
> >>>
> >>>
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >>
>
> --
> Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's
> Productivity...Quickly"
> www.leadingafteralayoff.com
>
>
>
>
> >
>

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