Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Eric Walker
On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 6:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

You also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order
 yields coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial
 chosen.  Many combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data
 over a restricted range.  The problem shows up once you use those
 different coefficients to project the curve forwards into unknown future
 points.

 We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that I
 am speaking of. ...


I think the bad fit to the data you identify could just as likely be an
underfit than an overfit; i.e., they have adequately modeled the
first-order phenomenon (an increase in temperature) but failed to take into
account one or more second-order cyclical trends.

Eric


RE: [Vo]:It must be magnetism

2014-08-25 Thread Roarty, Francis X
Axil,
How about a very dynamic isotropy?  while C MUST appear 
constant throughout our macro frame adhering to the rules of SR, acceleration 
and gravitational fields, what if….. the rate of virtual particles passing 
through our plane had a certain dynamic flow. By the rules of SR we could never 
be aware of this flow at the macro scale  since this rate reflects in the clock 
rate for all physical matter.. but these anomalous radioactive decay rates and 
relativistic like forms of hydrogen with exotic ground states make me ask the 
question, what if quantum geometries at the nano scale can accumulate an 
opposition to this flow into the physical scale–segregating it into faster and 
slower regions inside and outside the suppression zones where longer vacuum 
wavelengths  have to  dilate to pass thru our plane? The solar activity you 
cite wrt change in nuclear decay could be the SAME normal percentage of 
suppression in the radioactive geometry illuminating a change in isotropy that 
we as macro participants in the isotropy are unable to detect - our inertial 
frame is unchanged relative to macroverse – I am not talking about a change 
from any spatial direction that would be detectable but rather variation in the 
pressure of the Dirac sea  or along the temporal axis.
Fran

From: Axil Axil [mailto:janap...@gmail.com]
Sent: Saturday, August 23, 2014 2:18 AM
To: vortex-l
Subject: EXTERNAL: [Vo]:It must be magnetism


On Dec 13, 2006, the sun itself provided a crucial clue, when a solar flare 
sent a stream of particles and radiation toward Earth. Purdue nuclear engineer 
Jere Jenkins, while measuring the decay rate of manganese-54, a short-lived 
isotope used in medical diagnostics, noticed that the rate dropped slightly 
during the flare, a decrease that started about a day and a half before the 
flare.

Read more at: http://phys.org/news201795438.html#jCp

The unknown force from the sun must not only increase nuclear decay rates but 
reduce them. This is an important clue to the nature of this unknown factor. 
Radioactive decay rates must be embedded in an environment that defines its 
nature. That environment can be increased or decreased based on solar activity 
and in fact is defined by solar activity.

The sun must provide an average background flux that directly affects the rates 
of decay. Various parts of the sun contribute to this background. This 
background comes from the core of the sun, but it can also be effected by 
localized regions on the sun’s surface.

It must be magnetism. Here is why…

The high magnetic fields in the sunspot-producing active regions also give rise 
to explosions known as solar flares. When the twisted field lines cross and 
reconnect, energy explodes outward with a force exceeding that of millions of 
hydrogen bombs.

Temperatures in the outer layer of the sun, known as the corona, typically fall 
around a few million kelvins. As solar flares push through the corona, they 
heat its gas to anywhere from 10 to 20 million K, occasionally reaching as high 
as a hundred million.

Because solar flares form in the same active regions as sunspots, they are 
connected to these smaller, less violent events. Flares tend to follow the same 
11-year cycle. At the peak of the cycle, several flares may occur each day, 
with an average lifetime of only 10 minutes.

Solar flares vary in size and power. The largest, X-class flares have the most 
significant effect on Earth. They can cause long-lasting radiation storms in 
the upper atmosphere, and trigger radio blackouts. Medium-size M-class flares 
can cause brief radio blackouts in the Polar Regions and the occasional minor 
radiation storms. C-class flares have few noticeable consequences.

Absorbing X-rays affects the atmosphere. The increase in heat and energy result 
in an expansion of the Earth's ionosphere. Man-made radio waves travel through 
this portion of the upper atmosphere, so radio communications can be disturbed 
by its sudden unpredictable growth. Similarly, satellites previously circling 
through vacuum-free space can find themselves caught in the expanded sphere. 
The resulting friction slows down their orbit, and can bring them back to Earth 
sooner than intended.

Despite their size and high energy, solar flares are almost never visible 
optically. The bright emission of the surrounding photosphere, where the sun's 
light originates, tends to overshadow even these explosive phenomena. Radio and 
optical emissions can be observed on Earth.

What I am saying in so many words is that solar flares are very powerful.

Clearly, a tremendous amount of magnetic energy is converted in an instant to 
all the aforementioned energetic phenomena at the expense of the magnetic 
output of the sun. The sun stores vast amounts of energy in its magnetic 
fields. A sudden release and conversion of that energy will reduce that 
magnetic energy storehouse and consequentially reduce the magnetic background 
around 

[Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
This is not OT since this is science.

A few threads ago, a fellow here challenged me to provide evidence for the 
inaccuracy claims I made about radioneucleotide dating.  It took me some time 
to find it but here are some:


1.  Living Mollusk Shells dated 2300 years old - Science vol 141, pp634-637

2.  Freshly Killed Seal dated 1300 years old - Antarctic Journal vol 6, 
Sept-Oct `971 p.211

3.  Shells from Living snails dated 27,000 years old - Science Vol 224, 1984 
p58-61

4.  Vollosovitch Mammoth: one part 29,500 years old, another part 44,000 years 
old - Troy L Pewe Quaternary Stratigraphic Nomenclature in Unglaciated Central 
Alaska Geological Survey Professional Paper #62

5.  Dino (frozen baby mammoth): one part 40,000 years old, another part 26,000 
years old, wood around mammoth 9-10,000 years old - Troy L Pewe Quaternary 
Stratigraphic Nomenclature in Unglaciated Central Alaska Geological Survey 
Professional Paper #62

6.  Fairbanks creek mammoth: lower leg dated 15,380 years old, skin and flesh 
21,300 years old - Harold E. Anthony Nature's Deep Freeze Natural History 
Sept 1949 p300

7.  2 mammoths found in Alaska: one was 22,850 years old, the other 16,150 
years old - Robert M. Thorson and R Dale Guthrie :Stratigraphy of the Colorado 
Creek Mammoth locality Alaska Quaternary Research Vol 37, March 1992 pp214-228

8.  Eleven skeletons of earliest human remains in the western hemisphere all 
dated less than 5000 years old. - R.E. Taylor Major Revisions in the 
Pleistocene Age Assignments for North American Human Skeletons by C-14 
Accelerator Mass Spectrometry, American Antiquity Vol 50 no. 1, 1985 pp136-140

9  Ngadong river beds dated 300,000 years old plus or minus 300,000 years 
(that's right, the error is the same as the age) - Birdsell. J.B. Human 
Evolution (Chicago: Rand McNally 1975) p295


There are many more example but I got tired of typing.

Enjoy looking up the references.

Next!



Jojo



Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:


 It took me some time to find it but here are some:


 1.  Living Mollusk Shells dated 2300 years old - Science vol 141, pp634-637

 2.  Freshly Killed Seal dated 1300 years old - Antarctic Journal vol 6,
 Sept-Oct `971 p.211

 3.  Shells from Living snails dated 27,000 years old - Science Vol 224,
 1984 p58-61


You can find problems with any instrument or any experimental technique.
Any instrument has limitations. Any instrument can be used incorrectly. I
have seen thermocouples register room temperature as hundreds of degrees.
The Defkalion setup registered a flow rate when the flow was zero. Some
types of mass spectrometers show complete nonsense when the sample does not
conduct electricity, or when it is made up of small particles not in good
contact with one another.

Even the tools used in industry and in critical control applications
sometimes produce false data. That is why Air France flight 447 fell out of
the sky and crashed in the Atlantic. No instrument is perfect.

This is why experimental findings have to be independently replicated
before we can be sure they are real.

What you are describing will not surprise anyone familiar with science and
technology, or for that matter anyone who know how to cook, drive a car, or
use of a blood pressure monitor. Blood pressure monitors often come up with
wild readings, completely off the scale, for no apparent reason. You ignore
these readings and try again. You seem to be concluding that because
instruments sometimes fail to work, we can never believe them, and we
should dismiss all the findings from them. I do not think you would say
that no one can measure blood pressure, so we should ignore a diagnosis of
hypertension. You would not say that because on rare occasions automobile
speedometers fail, we should not have speed limits, and everyone should
drive as fast as they like.

The fact that carbon dating sometimes fails with some types of samples, in
the hands of some people, does not mean that carbon dating never works or
that it is meaningless. This means that archaeologists have be careful when
they do carbon dating. They have to run some samples twice; they have to
run some samples with known ages; and they have someone else do an
independent reading on some samples. Every cold fusion experiment I have
investigated was checked independently by several others, for similar
reasons.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
Jojo, my dear alien, you cannot do carbon dating of anything past ~1950
because there is a lot of contamination due C13 from nuclear explosions.

The mammoth ages seem OK, it is usual to find parts of different animals
together.

 You don't take the age of non living things with carbon dating. Carbon
dating don't go to 300ka, there isn't calibration for that. An age like
this mean you have just measured background contamination.

Old Amerindian remains, specially during the 80's, were involved in many
controversies, since the mainstream academic view was that the Clovis
culture had to be the oldest, and any pre Clovis  was considered outright
bullshit. So, there was a lot of nitpicking to lower the age of these
outliers.


-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
JoJo,

Jed is correct, experimental data and the models based upon them can be
incorrect, just like weather and climate data and models.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:02 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
wrote:

 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:


 It took me some time to find it but here are some:


 1.  Living Mollusk Shells dated 2300 years old - Science vol 141,
 pp634-637

 2.  Freshly Killed Seal dated 1300 years old - Antarctic Journal vol 6,
 Sept-Oct `971 p.211

 3.  Shells from Living snails dated 27,000 years old - Science Vol 224,
 1984 p58-61


 You can find problems with any instrument or any experimental technique.
 Any instrument has limitations. Any instrument can be used incorrectly. I
 have seen thermocouples register room temperature as hundreds of degrees.
 The Defkalion setup registered a flow rate when the flow was zero. Some
 types of mass spectrometers show complete nonsense when the sample does not
 conduct electricity, or when it is made up of small particles not in good
 contact with one another.

 Even the tools used in industry and in critical control applications
 sometimes produce false data. That is why Air France flight 447 fell out of
 the sky and crashed in the Atlantic. No instrument is perfect.

 This is why experimental findings have to be independently replicated
 before we can be sure they are real.

 What you are describing will not surprise anyone familiar with science and
 technology, or for that matter anyone who know how to cook, drive a car, or
 use of a blood pressure monitor. Blood pressure monitors often come up with
 wild readings, completely off the scale, for no apparent reason. You ignore
 these readings and try again. You seem to be concluding that because
 instruments sometimes fail to work, we can never believe them, and we
 should dismiss all the findings from them. I do not think you would say
 that no one can measure blood pressure, so we should ignore a diagnosis of
 hypertension. You would not say that because on rare occasions automobile
 speedometers fail, we should not have speed limits, and everyone should
 drive as fast as they like.

 The fact that carbon dating sometimes fails with some types of samples, in
 the hands of some people, does not mean that carbon dating never works or
 that it is meaningless. This means that archaeologists have be careful when
 they do carbon dating. They have to run some samples twice; they have to
 run some samples with known ages; and they have someone else do an
 independent reading on some samples. Every cold fusion experiment I have
 investigated was checked independently by several others, for similar
 reasons.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
OK, what would be the explanation why different parts of the mammoth would be 
dated so widely differently?   A few hundred years maybe acceptable, but 
thousands of years is ridiculous.  The only explanation is that the technique 
is faulty and unreliable.

The dates are all after 1950s.  So your objection is unwarranted.

I forgot to mention, the last example is dated using K-AR radionucleotides.


The skeleton measurements are not outliers.  All of them dated less than 5000 
years old.




Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Monday, August 25, 2014 10:18 PM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  Jojo, my dear alien, you cannot do carbon dating of anything past ~1950 
because there is a lot of contamination due C13 from nuclear explosions. 


  The mammoth ages seem OK, it is usual to find parts of different animals 
together. 


   You don't take the age of non living things with carbon dating. Carbon 
dating don't go to 300ka, there isn't calibration for that. An age like this 
mean you have just measured background contamination. 


  Old Amerindian remains, specially during the 80's, were involved in many 
controversies, since the mainstream academic view was that the Clovis culture 
had to be the oldest, and any pre Clovis  was considered outright bullshit. So, 
there was a lot of nitpicking to lower the age of these outliers.




  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Stewie, 

No, I am claiming the technique itself is unreliable and based on too many 
finicky assumptions based on processes we do not fully understand.  How can we 
build a solid scientific foundation based on such faulty scientific methods?

Radionucleotide Dating simply does not work reliably enough for it to be 
useful; unless one is inclined to claim it is reliable because the data fits 
one's own preconceived theories - ie. Darwinian Evolution.


Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: ChemE Stewart 
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
  Sent: Monday, August 25, 2014 10:19 PM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  JoJo,


  Jed is correct, experimental data and the models based upon them can be 
incorrect, just like weather and climate data and models.



  On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:02 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  It took me some time to find it but here are some:


  1.  Living Mollusk Shells dated 2300 years old - Science vol 141, 
pp634-637

  2.  Freshly Killed Seal dated 1300 years old - Antarctic Journal vol 6, 
Sept-Oct `971 p.211

  3.  Shells from Living snails dated 27,000 years old - Science Vol 224, 
1984 p58-61


You can find problems with any instrument or any experimental technique. 
Any instrument has limitations. Any instrument can be used incorrectly. I have 
seen thermocouples register room temperature as hundreds of degrees. The 
Defkalion setup registered a flow rate when the flow was zero. Some types of 
mass spectrometers show complete nonsense when the sample does not conduct 
electricity, or when it is made up of small particles not in good contact with 
one another.



Even the tools used in industry and in critical control applications 
sometimes produce false data. That is why Air France flight 447 fell out of the 
sky and crashed in the Atlantic. No instrument is perfect.



This is why experimental findings have to be independently replicated 
before we can be sure they are real.


What you are describing will not surprise anyone familiar with science and 
technology, or for that matter anyone who know how to cook, drive a car, or use 
of a blood pressure monitor. Blood pressure monitors often come up with wild 
readings, completely off the scale, for no apparent reason. You ignore these 
readings and try again. You seem to be concluding that because instruments 
sometimes fail to work, we can never believe them, and we should dismiss all 
the findings from them. I do not think you would say that no one can measure 
blood pressure, so we should ignore a diagnosis of hypertension. You would not 
say that because on rare occasions automobile speedometers fail, we should not 
have speed limits, and everyone should drive as fast as they like.


The fact that carbon dating sometimes fails with some types of samples, in 
the hands of some people, does not mean that carbon dating never works or that 
it is meaningless. This means that archaeologists have be careful when they do 
carbon dating. They have to run some samples twice; they have to run some 
samples with known ages; and they have someone else do an independent reading 
on some samples. Every cold fusion experiment I have investigated was checked 
independently by several others, for similar reasons.


- Jed





Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
Jojo, my dear multidimensional lizard, sometimes a careless mammoth will
have an accident, shit happens for many thousands of years.

An object that you know is from after 1950 will give wrong results.

You want to talk about C dating, so you were dishonest. Bad Christian. K-Ar
dates is specially prone to errors. You have to be careful. So that
measurement just meant that the river is younger than 600.000 years. That's
useful information, depending on what you want.


-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
I don't believe time exists (we are all just decaying), some at different
rates than others.

But it is good to try and make sense of it all.

On Monday, August 25, 2014, Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  Stewie,

 No, I am claiming the technique itself is unreliable and based on too many
 finicky assumptions based on processes we do not fully understand.  How can
 we build a solid scientific foundation based on such faulty scientific
 methods?

 Radionucleotide Dating simply does not work reliably enough for it to be
 useful; unless one is inclined to claim it is reliable because the data
 fits one's own preconceived theories - ie. Darwinian Evolution.


 Jojo



 - Original Message -
 *From:* ChemE Stewart javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','cheme...@gmail.com');
 *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com
 javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','vortex-l@eskimo.com');
 *Sent:* Monday, August 25, 2014 10:19 PM
 *Subject:* Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

 JoJo,

 Jed is correct, experimental data and the models based upon them can be
 incorrect, just like weather and climate data and models.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:02 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
 javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','jedrothw...@gmail.com'); wrote:

  Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com
 javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','jojoiznar...@gmail.com'); wrote:


  It took me some time to find it but here are some:


 1.  Living Mollusk Shells dated 2300 years old - Science vol 141,
 pp634-637

 2.  Freshly Killed Seal dated 1300 years old - Antarctic Journal vol 6,
 Sept-Oct `971 p.211

 3.  Shells from Living snails dated 27,000 years old - Science Vol 224,
 1984 p58-61


 You can find problems with any instrument or any experimental technique.
 Any instrument has limitations. Any instrument can be used incorrectly. I
 have seen thermocouples register room temperature as hundreds of degrees.
 The Defkalion setup registered a flow rate when the flow was zero. Some
 types of mass spectrometers show complete nonsense when the sample does not
 conduct electricity, or when it is made up of small particles not in good
 contact with one another.

 Even the tools used in industry and in critical control applications
 sometimes produce false data. That is why Air France flight 447 fell out of
 the sky and crashed in the Atlantic. No instrument is perfect.

 This is why experimental findings have to be independently replicated
 before we can be sure they are real.

  What you are describing will not surprise anyone familiar with science
 and technology, or for that matter anyone who know how to cook, drive a
 car, or use of a blood pressure monitor. Blood pressure monitors often come
 up with wild readings, completely off the scale, for no apparent reason.
 You ignore these readings and try again. You seem to be concluding that
 because instruments sometimes fail to work, we can never believe them, and
 we should dismiss all the findings from them. I do not think you would say
 that no one can measure blood pressure, so we should ignore a diagnosis of
 hypertension. You would not say that because on rare occasions automobile
 speedometers fail, we should not have speed limits, and everyone should
 drive as fast as they like.

 The fact that carbon dating sometimes fails with some types of samples,
 in the hands of some people, does not mean that carbon dating never works
 or that it is meaningless. This means that archaeologists have be careful
 when they do carbon dating. They have to run some samples twice; they have
 to run some samples with known ages; and they have someone else do an
 independent reading on some samples. Every cold fusion experiment I have
 investigated was checked independently by several others, for similar
 reasons.

 - Jed





[Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Jed, 

The examples I enumerated are samples that appear on a scientific paper of wide 
circulation.  Do you think these are all errors?  Don't you think they would 
have checked for errors before publishing it?  Your contention that these 
measured dates are errors simply do not make sense.  Every measurement that 
does not fit your preconcieved theory must be an outlier and an instrument 
error.  Only those that fit your theory are valid, hence carbon dating is 
valid.  

I was challenged for proof that Carbon dating is unreliable, these are just a 
few I found.  There are hundreds more cases of such faulty readings.  Yet, you 
claim that all these are faulty and instrument errors.  How can one discuss 
science in the face of such INTRACTABLE RIDICULOUSNESS?  



Jojo



Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
My dear ADD friend, that is the reason I provided 4 mammoth dating examples.  
Cause I knew someone will retort using a senseless reason like you just did.

The widely differing results clearly show that the technique is inherently 
unreliable, no matter what Radionucleotide you use.


Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Monday, August 25, 2014 11:02 PM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating




  Jojo, my dear multidimensional lizard, sometimes a careless mammoth will have 
an accident, shit happens for many thousands of years. 


  An object that you know is from after 1950 will give wrong results.


  You want to talk about C dating, so you were dishonest. Bad Christian. K-Ar 
dates is specially prone to errors. You have to be careful. So that measurement 
just meant that the river is younger than 600.000 years. That's useful 
information, depending on what you want.




  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
Yes ADD. No I do not believe time exists, wives made it up to tell husbands
when they are late.

http://discovermagazine.com/2007/jun/in-no-time

On Monday, August 25, 2014, Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  My dear ADD friend, that is the reason I provided 4 mammoth dating
 examples.  Cause I knew someone will retort using a senseless reason like
 you just did.

 The widely differing results clearly show that the technique is inherently
 unreliable, no matter what Radionucleotide you use.


 Jojo



 - Original Message -
 *From:* Daniel Rocha
 javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','danieldi...@gmail.com');
 *To:* John Milstone javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','vortex-l@eskimo.com');
 *Sent:* Monday, August 25, 2014 11:02 PM
 *Subject:* Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


 Jojo, my dear multidimensional lizard, sometimes a careless mammoth will
 have an accident, shit happens for many thousands of years.

 An object that you know is from after 1950 will give wrong results.

 You want to talk about C dating, so you were dishonest. Bad Christian.
 K-Ar dates is specially prone to errors. You have to be careful. So that
 measurement just meant that the river is younger than 600.000 years. That's
 useful information, depending on what you want.


 --
 Daniel Rocha - RJ
 danieldi...@gmail.com
 javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','danieldi...@gmail.com');




Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
Jojo, while you are at it, would you tell me what kind of mushroom are you
taking:

Except that we don't realize that these aliens are not extraterrestrial
BIOLOGICAL beings from another planet.  These ALIENS are aliens to our
dimension.  They are INTERDIMENSIONAL beings of spirits, fallen angels and
demons, controlling our destiny thru their proxy of wicked men composing
the Masonic Order, the Illuminati and other Secret Societies.  The last US
president who tried to oppose them ended with a bullet in his head.

They already know who I am and where I live.  I already have a bull's eye
on my back.  I'd be dead already except that I am not too much of nuisance
yet and more importantly, they can't.


-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


RE: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Chris Zell
To me, all of the expertise, all of the Ph.D's, all of the tenure and all of 
the opinions of climatologists are simply worthless in relation to the world at 
large - except for their ability to make accurate predictions.

Really, of what general value would climatology be without an established 
record of prediction?  It would come painfully close to being a pseudo-science.

This doesn't mean that they need to be able to forecast tomorrow's lottery 
numbers ( in effect) but we should expect that they can create predictive 
graphs that follow emerging reality with a reasonable fit - and frankly, that's 
where the problem seems to be.


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Danny boy, I wanted to respond to this assertion earlier but I was laughing so 
hard, that I had to calm down first before I can respond sensibly.

So, the river is between 0-600,000 years old using K-AR dating.  Well, praise 
mother earth, that is some useful result.  Heck, why do we even need to measure 
its age.  We already know the Earth is between 0 - 4.6 billion years old.

ROTFLMAO 




Jojo

PS:  Seriously man, you're killing me.ROTFLMAO 



  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Monday, August 25, 2014 11:02 PM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating




  You want to talk about C dating, so you were dishonest. Bad Christian. K-Ar 
dates is specially prone to errors. You have to be careful. So that measurement 
just meant that the river is younger than 600.000 years. That's useful 
information, depending on what you want.




  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
Where are the Aliens in the Bible, btw?

-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Genesis 6:1-5

It talks of fallen angels coming down to mate with female humans producing a 
hybrid race of wicked Giants called Nephilims.


Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Monday, August 25, 2014 11:28 PM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  Where are the Aliens in the Bible, btw?



  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

RE: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Chris Zell
I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio Dating 
results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or there in 
various methods do not contradict the essential point that radioactive decay is 
an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an aggregate.

I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in different 
dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.  Eventually, I was 
forced to conclude that there must be something wrong with radioactive decay 
rates themselves - to save my faith.

While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is on 
Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of physics that 
allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally correlated 
with Egyptian history.

Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate a 
convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically upset the 
world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
And they are aliens because...?


2014-08-25 12:34 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:

  Genesis 6:1-5

 It talks of fallen angels coming down to mate with female humans producing
 a hybrid race of wicked Giants called Nephilims.


 Jojo




-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Oh ... the decay rates are accurate and more or less stable all right.  It's 
the assumptions surrounding this that I have a lot of problems with.

For example, how can we assume that C-14 levels are the same today as they were 
5,000 years ago?  There is proof that C-14 levels have not reached equilibrium 
in our atmosphere.  C-14 levels are still increasing today.  And they vary from 
year to year, decade to decade based on our suns' temper tantrums.  How can we 
be so confident assuming we understand C-14 levels from 5,000 years ago, when 
we can't even predict the weather 48 hours from now. 

If C-14 levels are lower in the past, it is clear that ages determined using 
Carbon dating would read ages that are older than they should be.  I believe 
the crazy mammoth readings we get should make that abundantly clear.  But for 
some reason, people can't seem to process this simple fact.  

Radionucleotide Dating techniques are inherently unreliable because we do not 
fully understand the validity of our assumptions surrounding this technique.




Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Chris Zell 
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
  Sent: Monday, August 25, 2014 11:37 PM
  Subject: RE: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio Dating 
results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or there in 
various methods do not contradict the essential point that radioactive decay is 
an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an aggregate.

  I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in different 
dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.  Eventually, I was 
forced to conclude that there must be something wrong with radioactive decay 
rates themselves - to save my faith.   

  While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is on 
Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of physics that 
allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally correlated 
with Egyptian history.

  Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate a 
convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically upset the 
world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread CB Sites
Just to add a side note: CO2 from fossil fuels is also effecting carbon
dating, as a lot of the C13 has already decayed in fossil fuels.  In fact
that is one way we know that the CO2 causing global warming is from man
made sources.



On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:18 AM, Daniel Rocha danieldi...@gmail.com
wrote:

 Jojo, my dear alien, you cannot do carbon dating of anything past ~1950
 because there is a lot of contamination due C13 from nuclear explosions.

 The mammoth ages seem OK, it is usual to find parts of different animals
 together.

  You don't take the age of non living things with carbon dating. Carbon
 dating don't go to 300ka, there isn't calibration for that. An age like
 this mean you have just measured background contamination.

 Old Amerindian remains, specially during the 80's, were involved in many
 controversies, since the mainstream academic view was that the Clovis
 culture had to be the oldest, and any pre Clovis  was considered outright
 bullshit. So, there was a lot of nitpicking to lower the age of these
 outliers.


 --
 Daniel Rocha - RJ
 danieldi...@gmail.com



Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Because they are Interdimensional Beings of spirits, fallen angels and demons.

But since you appear to be ignorant on this subject, let me see if I can 
educate you.

There are 2 current prevailing theories of who the aliens are.  One theory says 
these UFO aliens are biological beings from distant star systems travelling to 
us using hyper warp speeds.  (Faster than warp 10, otherwise, they'll never get 
here because of the vast distances.)

The other theory, which was promoted by Jacques Vallee (a non-christian) says 
that there is valid reason to believe that these UFOs are beings from another 
dimension of existence.  These are spiritual beings, demons and other 
interdimensional manifestations.  (let me help you out... google 
Interdimensional hypothesis)  That would explain for instance how these UFOs 
appear to be incorporeal and shapeshift at will.  Biological beings can not 
shapeshift.  (Oh.. I forgot, yes they can according to Captain Piccard.)



Jojo



  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Monday, August 25, 2014 11:39 PM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  And they are aliens because...?




  2014-08-25 12:34 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:

Genesis 6:1-5

It talks of fallen angels coming down to mate with female humans producing 
a hybrid race of wicked Giants called Nephilims.


Jojo







  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
Thank you for your education. It's quite more reasonable to suppose that
the Nephilim are aliens than legends. After after all, random words in the
Bible are more trustful than science.

2014-08-25 13:00 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:


 But since you appear to be ignorant on this subject, let me see if I can
 educate you.



-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
Ihttp://c14.arch.ox.ac.uk/embed.php?File=calibration.html


2014-08-25 12:49 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:


 For example, how can we assume that C-14 levels are the same today as they
 were 5,000 years ago?


-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
And what exactly makes science more trustworthy.  Is it because it is 
repeatable? or is it because we can feel it with our senses? or simply because 
it is presumed to be the opposite of religion?  It seems that science now a 
days means anything that is anti-relgion.

To me science is simply the search for the truth.  Whatever the search leads 
to should be considered.  Science should not exclude a whole class of 
explanations because it is not repeatable or can not be experienced with our 
five senses.  

There are many concepts today that pretend to be science which are not 
repeatable, can not be observed and measured.  Yet, they are science.  I am 
assuming I do not need to elaborate about Charlie's theory.


Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 12:08 AM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  Thank you for your education. It's quite more reasonable to suppose that the 
Nephilim are aliens than legends. After after all, random words in the Bible 
are more trustful than science.


  2014-08-25 13:00 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:



But since you appear to be ignorant on this subject, let me see if I can 
educate you.



  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Daniel Rocha
Pretty much. And I think you head is so deep in the sand, that I question
your ability to make science.


2014-08-25 13:24 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:

  Is it because it is repeatable?

-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


[Vo]:unsubscribe

2014-08-25 Thread Mark Gibbs



Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
More assumptions to calibrate an assumption.


Whatever


Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 12:20 AM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  Ihttp://c14.arch.ox.ac.uk/embed.php?File=calibration.html




  2014-08-25 12:49 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:



For example, how can we assume that C-14 levels are the same today as they 
were 5,000 years ago? 


  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Cold Fusion then is not science since it is not repeatable.


Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Daniel Rocha 
  To: John Milstone 
  Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 12:34 AM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  Pretty much. And I think you head is so deep in the sand, that I question 
your ability to make science.




  2014-08-25 13:24 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:

Is it because it is repeatable? 
  -- 
  Daniel Rocha - RJ
  danieldi...@gmail.com

Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread David Roberson
You have the right general idea about the fit not being adequate.  I suspect 
that their model is far more complex than a simple linear model and of much 
higher order.   The net prediction of future temperatures is a result of how 
all of these terms combine and it will diverge more and more rapidly from the 
fitting base data as time progresses.  The higher order effects contain the 
more rapidly changing processes.

Cyclic behavior can be modeled by a series.  A good example of this is 
demonstrated by the infinite series that can be used to construct a sine wave.  
 For small time periods the linear term does a pretty good job of matching the 
curve.  As you move forward in time, the other, higher order terms, become the 
most significant ones which then allows the overall function to go through its 
cyclic behavior.

The appearance of the temperature pause and the description that it might well 
last until 2025 and is cyclic strongly suggests that the underlying phenomena 
responsible for this behavior has been in effect during the rapid temperature 
rise and could be one of the reasons for the high slope seen.  If so, the very 
dominate earlier seen hockey stick temperature rise has overstated the true 
underlying increase rate.

As corrections are included to the models we may find that mans contributions 
are overwhelmed by natural effects and that is why I feel that caution is in 
order.  Had there been no long term unexpected pause we may have continued to 
give unwarranted confidence to the models and their expert constructors.  Some 
day I believe that we will be capable of making predictions about climate 
change that match the real world, but that day has not arrived.  Of course even 
then the world throws curve balls our way in the form of volcanoes, changing 
solar activity, and etc. which makes extremely long term predictions a guess at 
best. 

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Mon, Aug 25, 2014 2:54 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]:global warming?



On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 6:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


You also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields 
coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.  Many 
combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data over a restricted 
range.  The problem shows up once you use those different coefficients to 
project the curve forwards into unknown future points.

 
We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that I am 
speaking of. ...




I think the bad fit to the data you identify could just as likely be an 
underfit than an overfit; i.e., they have adequately modeled the first-order 
phenomenon (an increase in temperature) but failed to take into account one or 
more second-order cyclical trends.


Eric





Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
Dave,

I agree.  Maybe the tug of gravity can be endothermic or exothermic
depending upon local conditions


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 1:08 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

 You have the right general idea about the fit not being adequate.  I
 suspect that their model is far more complex than a simple linear model and
 of much higher order.   The net prediction of future temperatures is a
 result of how all of these terms combine and it will diverge more and more
 rapidly from the fitting base data as time progresses.  The higher order
 effects contain the more rapidly changing processes.

 Cyclic behavior can be modeled by a series.  A good example of this is
 demonstrated by the infinite series that can be used to construct a sine
 wave.   For small time periods the linear term does a pretty good job of
 matching the curve.  As you move forward in time, the other, higher order
 terms, become the most significant ones which then allows the overall
 function to go through its cyclic behavior.

 The appearance of the temperature pause and the description that it might
 well last until 2025 and is cyclic strongly suggests that the underlying
 phenomena responsible for this behavior has been in effect during the rapid
 temperature rise and could be one of the reasons for the high slope seen.
 If so, the very dominate earlier seen hockey stick temperature rise has
 overstated the true underlying increase rate.

 As corrections are included to the models we may find that mans
 contributions are overwhelmed by natural effects and that is why I feel
 that caution is in order.  Had there been no long term unexpected pause we
 may have continued to give unwarranted confidence to the models and their
 expert constructors.  Some day I believe that we will be capable of making
 predictions about climate change that match the real world, but that day
 has not arrived.  Of course even then the world throws curve balls our way
 in the form of volcanoes, changing solar activity, and etc. which makes
 extremely long term predictions a guess at best.

 Dave



  -Original Message-
 From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
 To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Sent: Mon, Aug 25, 2014 2:54 am
 Subject: Re: [Vo]:global warming?

   On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 6:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

  You also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order
 yields coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial
 chosen.  Many combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data
 over a restricted range.  The problem shows up once you use those
 different coefficients to project the curve forwards into unknown future
 points.

 We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that I
 am speaking of. ...


  I think the bad fit to the data you identify could just as likely be an
 underfit than an overfit; i.e., they have adequately modeled the
 first-order phenomenon (an increase in temperature) but failed to take into
 account one or more second-order cyclical trends.

  Eric




[Vo]:Algasol Photobioreactor Showcase

2014-08-25 Thread James Bowery
For technical details of the photobioreactor and its economics see the
see Algasol's
presentation at the 2013 European Algal Biomass Conference
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/28447217/Algae%20Platform%2024-25%20april%202013-2.pdf
.

Algasol Renewables pr...@algasolrenewables.com via
http://support.google.com/mail/bin/answer.py?hl=enanswer=1311182ctx=mail
 auth.ccsend.com
12:04 PM (7 minutes ago)
 to jb
  [image: PNG logo]

 Greetings!

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*Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements*



Certain 

Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Bob Cook
Jed--


I think your reliance on experts is a little over stated, and   I tend to agree 
with Dave’s assessment of expecting short term predictions to be possible.  
Many so-called experts in the nuclear industry endorsed the idea of storing 
spent fuel in wet storage at locations subject  to both earth quakes and tidal 
waves.  Look what happened in Japan.


I can think of many other conclusions of experts in various technical fields 
where their conclusions have been shown to be wrong.   The prediction of 
practical hot fusion is one we are all aware of.  


I find it particularly troubling that so called experts disagree on key models 
associated with the same event being considered.  It does not give me much 
faith in any expert in the field of global warming.  


Time is a key input to most if not all global warming modeling.  Some of the 
models are more empirical than others.  The ones that are based on constitutive 
models in such a complex situation are more suspect in my reasoning than those 
that are empirical.  If short term predictions are not consistent with the 
empirical model, that implies  some key parameters are not being considered in 
the empirical models.  


This supports Dave’s and my consideration that some experts are not too expert 
in global warming.  


Bob Cook






Sent from Windows Mail





From: Jed Rothwell
Sent: ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎12‎:‎05‎ ‎PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com







David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:




Weather forecast is virtually perfect for the next hour at most locations but 
hopeless in predicting what will happen in a week.  I view the global warming 
modeling process in a similar manner.




As I pointed out, and as countless climate experts have pointed out, you have 
no justification for this view of yours. Long term climate prediction and near 
term weather prediction are related in some ways, but they are VERY DIFFERENT 
in important ways. That is what the experts say. They give compelling reasons. 
You are ignoring their reasons. You resemble a self-appointed expert on 
Wikipedia writing bogus reasons not to believe tritium measurements in cold 
fusion.




Your demand is irrational. It is, as I said, like demanding that an 
epidemiologist or a life insurance expert tell you the year and month that you 
yourself will die from disease. Just because we can predict these things for 
large groups of people that does not give us the ability to predict it for 
individuals. The ability to make long term predictions of the climate is an 
entirely different science from weather prediction. One cannot be held to the 
standards of the other.




 


So, how are we as a society supposed to evaluate the output of the global 
warming scientists?  It makes perfect sense to expect them to be able to 
demonstrate correlation between their predictions and what actually happens a 
few years into the future.




Says who? Where did you get that information? Who told you that climatology 
should work a few years in the future? Do you also make claims about the 
timescale of theories and models in chemistry in physics that you have not 
studied? Are you going to say that a calorimeter with a 1-hour timescale should 
work equally well measuring a heat burst lasting 10 milliseconds?




If they do not make predictions a few years into the future, they probably have 
good reasons. Unless you know a great deal about their work, and you have 
evaluated their reasons, you have no business second guessing them or making 
demands. People should never assume they know more than experts! That has been 
the whole problem with cold fusion from day one. People think they know more 
about electrochemistry and calorimetry than Fleischmann. You sound like the 
people who tell me that if cold fusion is real, we should have cold fusion 
powered automobiles by now. They have no idea what the problems are, or what 
the limitations of the science are.




- Jed

Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Bob Cook
Chris-


Your considerations are much the same as mine.


Bob






Sent from Windows Mail





From: Chris Zell
Sent: ‎Monday‎, ‎August‎ ‎25‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎23‎ ‎AM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com





To me, all of the expertise, all of the Ph.D's, all of the tenure and all of 
the opinions of climatologists are simply worthless in relation to the world at 
large - except for their ability to make accurate predictions.

 

Really, of what general value would climatology be without an established 
record of prediction?  It would come painfully close to being a pseudo-science.

 

This doesn't mean that they need to be able to forecast tomorrow's lottery 
numbers ( in effect) but we should expect that they can create predictive 
graphs that follow emerging reality with a reasonable fit - and frankly, that's 
where the problem seems to be.

Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
~10.8 F?


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 1:37 PM, Bob Cook frobertc...@hotmail.com wrote:

  Since when does 6 C correspond with 42.8 F?

 Sent from Windows Mail

 *From:* CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com
 *Sent:* ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎12‎ ‎PM
 *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com

 Jojo, I really think you miss the point.  Let assume a moment the global
 average temperature was 6C above average.  That is 42.8 degrees Fahrenheit!
  You and the deniers have got to get an understanding of what that means.
  It means extinction of life as we know it.  I know you deniers think some
 how man kind will survive.  To be honest, I think that is doubtful.
  Economic systems will not survive, food supplies will not provide, and
 warring political systems will doom the planet.

 I really don't need to say much more, reality will take control and play
 out future events that the deniers will bitch about all the way to the
 extinction of man.




 On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

 Eric, I realize how complex the problem that these guys are facing must
 be.  That is the root cause of their problem.  You have listed several good
 points and I will take them into consideration.

 My main issue with the current models is that new processes and
 interactions are being uncovered frequently which modify the behavior of
 the models in a significant manner.  I ask what would be the output of a
 model at the end of this century that had all of the known and
 unknown pertinent factors taken into consideration?  The recent
 acknowledgement of a new factor that allows for a 30 year pause in
 temperature rise is not an issue to be taken lightly.  It also inflicts
 upon me the concern that there are likely more of these factors that remain
 hidden as of today.

 I suspect you have relied upon curve fitting routines in the past and
 realize that enough variables can be chosen and adjusted to match any set
 of input data as closely as desired as long as that data is sparse.  You
 also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields
 coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.
 Many combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data over a
 restricted range.  The problem shows up once you use those
 different coefficients to project the curve forwards into unknown future
 points.

 We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that I
 am speaking of.  The old data apparently matched the functional
 relationship that the modelers have chosen to an excellent degree until the
 pause.  They were confident that no pause would appear and many suggested
 that they would be worried if the pause lasted for more than about 5
 years.  As we know that time period came and passed and the pause continued
 which forced many of these guys to seek an explanation.

 Now, after several more years of unexpected pause, they have come up with
 their best explanation due to the 30 year Atlantic current cycle.  Where
 was this cycle included during the long hockey stick period?  Some might
 consider that the high rate of heating during the earlier period might have
 come about due to added heating by this same cycle.  That certainly makes
 sense to me.

 So, I can not help but to question predictions that have been based upon
 a defective model.  Furthermore, how confident can you possibly be that
 these guys now have all the important factors included within their
 models?  The proof can only be demonstrated by the performance of the
 models during a period of time where they show reasonable results that
 compare to the real world.  We are seeking knowledge of the world's climate
 in 100 years time as we make plans to counter the expected dangers.  It is
 non sense to trust a model that does not work 20 years into the future for
 this purpose.  The past fits are trivial and can always be obtained by
 curve fitting.  The future fit reveals how good the model actually
 performs.  That is where they are lacking.

 Eric, when I design an electrical network that is built and tested I
 expect it to perform as my model predicts.  If I measured results that were
 seriously in error I would not recommend the circuit to others for the same
 application with known problems.  Instead I would dig deeper into the model
 and devices until the results match the model fairly well.  I have in fact
 done this on several occasions.  Only then is the model useful to generate
 predictions of value.

 Dave




 -Original Message-
 From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
 To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Sent: Sun, Aug 24, 2014 4:51 pm
 Subject: Re: [Vo]:global warming?

   On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 12:43 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

  Eric, I suppose the difference between your beliefs and mine amounts to
 my expectation that the climate change scientists should be held to a high
 standard as is required of most other endeavors.  You apparently 

Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Bob Cook
Since when does 6 C correspond with 42.8 F?






Sent from Windows Mail





From: CB Sites
Sent: ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎12‎ ‎PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com





Jojo, I really think you miss the point.  Let assume a moment the global 
average temperature was 6C above average.  That is 42.8 degrees Fahrenheit!  
You and the deniers have got to get an understanding of what that means.  It 
means extinction of life as we know it.  I know you deniers think some how man 
kind will survive.  To be honest, I think that is doubtful.  Economic systems 
will not survive, food supplies will not provide, and warring political systems 
will doom the planet.   



I really don't need to say much more, reality will take control and play out 
future events that the deniers will bitch about all the way to the extinction 
of man. 










On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


Eric, I realize how complex the problem that these guys are facing must be.  
That is the root cause of their problem.  You have listed several good points 
and I will take them into consideration.

 

My main issue with the current models is that new processes and interactions 
are being uncovered frequently which modify the behavior of the models in a 
significant manner.  I ask what would be the output of a model at the end of 
this century that had all of the known and unknown pertinent factors taken into 
consideration?  The recent acknowledgement of a new factor that allows for a 30 
year pause in temperature rise is not an issue to be taken lightly.  It also 
inflicts upon me the concern that there are likely more of these factors that 
remain hidden as of today.

 

I suspect you have relied upon curve fitting routines in the past and realize 
that enough variables can be chosen and adjusted to match any set of input data 
as closely as desired as long as that data is sparse.  You also probably 
realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields coefficients that 
vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.  Many combinations of 
coefficients will fit the input/output data over a restricted range.  The 
problem shows up once you use those different coefficients to project the curve 
forwards into unknown future points.

 

We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that I am 
speaking of.  The old data apparently matched the functional relationship that 
the modelers have chosen to an excellent degree until the pause.  They were 
confident that no pause would appear and many suggested that they would be 
worried if the pause lasted for more than about 5 years.  As we know that time 
period came and passed and the pause continued which forced many of these guys 
to seek an explanation.

 

Now, after several more years of unexpected pause, they have come up with their 
best explanation due to the 30 year Atlantic current cycle.  Where was this 
cycle included during the long hockey stick period?  Some might consider that 
the high rate of heating during the earlier period might have come about due to 
added heating by this same cycle.  That certainly makes sense to me.

 

So, I can not help but to question predictions that have been based upon a 
defective model.  Furthermore, how confident can you possibly be that these 
guys now have all the important factors included within their models?  The 
proof can only be demonstrated by the performance of the models during a period 
of time where they show reasonable results that compare to the real world.  We 
are seeking knowledge of the world's climate in 100 years time as we make plans 
to counter the expected dangers.  It is non sense to trust a model that does 
not work 20 years into the future for this purpose.  The past fits are trivial 
and can always be obtained by curve fitting.  The future fit reveals how good 
the model actually performs.  That is where they are lacking.

 

Eric, when I design an electrical network that is built and tested I expect it 
to perform as my model predicts.  If I measured results that were seriously in 
error I would not recommend the circuit to others for the same application with 
known problems.  Instead I would dig deeper into the model and devices until 
the results match the model fairly well.  I have in fact done this on several 
occasions.  Only then is the model useful to generate predictions of value.

 

Dave

 

 

 

 


-Original Message-
From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com


Sent: Sun, Aug 24, 2014 4:51 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:global warming?








On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 12:43 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:




Eric, I suppose the difference between your beliefs and mine amounts to my 
expectation that the climate change scientists should be held to a high 
standard as is required of most other endeavors.  You apparently are willing to 
give them a free pass since you have a gut feeling that 

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:


 The examples I enumerated are samples that appear on a scientific paper of
 wide circulation.


I doubt that, but for the sake of argument suppose it is true. Are you
saying these were mistakes? Or were they examples discovered by the
authors, and used to point out problems with the technique? An article on
blood pressure monitors would point out problems that produce the wrong
readings, such as 180/160 when the correct number is 130/85 (an actual
example). Finding and explaining problems is a good thing.



   Do you think these are all errors?


I wouldn't know. I suspect these examples are either imaginary or fully
explicable, and they were gathered by someone who does not understand how
instruments work.



   Don't you think they would have checked for errors before publishing
 it?


If these are errors, then the editors and authors failed to discover them.
That happens in science. It happens in every institution. That is why
trains sometimes smash together, airplanes crash, banks fail, programs give
the wrong answer or stop dead, and doctors sometimes amputate the wrong
leg. People everywhere, in all walks of life, are prone to making drastic
mistakes. To err is human.



 I was challenged for proof that Carbon dating is unreliable, these are
 just a few I found.


You do not have enough expertise in this subject to find proof, or judge
whether you have found it.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Algasol Photobioreactor Showcase

2014-08-25 Thread Lennart Thornros
Congrats - you must have been funded.

Best Regards ,
Lennart Thornros

www.StrategicLeadershipSac.com
lenn...@thornros.com
+1 916 436 1899
202 Granite Park Court, Lincoln CA 95648

“Productivity is never an accident. It is always the result of a commitment
to excellence, intelligent planning, and focused effort.” PJM


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:17 AM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 For technical details of the photobioreactor and its economics see the see 
 Algasol's
 presentation at the 2013 European Algal Biomass Conference
 https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/28447217/Algae%20Platform%2024-25%20april%202013-2.pdf
 .

 Algasol Renewables pr...@algasolrenewables.com via
 http://support.google.com/mail/bin/answer.py?hl=enanswer=1311182ctx=mail
  auth.ccsend.com
 12:04 PM (7 minutes ago)
  to jb
   [image: PNG logo]

  Greetings!

 In order to best serve our current and future clients, Algasol is pleased
 to announce the opening of our algae growth facility on the island of
 Mallorca. Located at the University of Balearic Islands (UIB), the facility
 showcases our globally patented*Floating PhotoBioReactor* (PBR)
 technology for the low-cost production of algal biomass.







 *Algasol's UIB Showcase*







 The showcase serves to demonstrate our industry leading algae production
 platform, provide a training site for clients, and catalyze new development
 opportunities.



 *Platform Highlights:*



- Low-cost design and materials
- Industrial scalability
- Optimal light exposure
- Internal aeration system and CO2 distribution
- Efficient temperature control
- Nutrient intake and circulation
- Integrated density management system
- Sequential harvesting
- Weather protection system



 We will be offering tours in the coming months.



 Please contact us at i...@algasolrenewables.com to schedule a visit.




 *About the Patented PBR Technology*

 Our award winning photobioreactor technology breaks the cost barrier and
 allows microalgae production to be economically viable in the present
 tense. On average, our technology lowers CAPEX by 90% when compared to
 other growth systems, and is deployable both on land (in ponds) and in the
 oceans - thanks to our unique density difference patent highlighted below.
 To give you an example, 1 ha (10,000m2) of Algasol PBRs is as low as USD
 52,500, including harvesting valves and internal aeration.



 The main components of our worldwide patented technology include the
 following:

- General concept of controlling the position of a closed
photobioreactor byproviding a *density difference* between the
algae culture inside the photobioreactor and the surrounding water
- Density Management System for submerging/angling the PBR
- Internal Aeration System



 For more detail, our worldwide patent is accessible at www.wipo.int
 http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001xLeelTYVf1tgw7tk72LbW7zqRP4E4NT5NbuxOlKKcKj5HUXwR-EFe2Bo1D65JaaDxfDNv6ouTSVYCq0K6pLKjQ_iUjTUOurYu0wVIREKxF5JOMDViyIQ_Mmuwv4Q90adUPvOBwn05P6ovaJxb_Pqg5mlIxkrdaB1B_vlAmZFqSyBw9BL04G4Ud4r78lhLXmy5N8Td4N1kc2eoei9YHwRl3XKiku8mMBOxN1y2GJk8mIpoaMzcgzvKwnK7xp0J9_BGxG7Gy5Xx8Un1UNmoLhQmdazT7bmNB38Jye5b6ovtMk=c=VdjDrLfROznvERHIi2gjTOskjutEFtTAUXe54Lyw3DOP5HVKO00DzQ==ch=V2dHmYAjpeMSEGic00lESSDz17OYYkAtGAUP4nTzT71Gt-hiWq_-WQ==







 *About UIB Partnership*

 The University of the Balearic Islands (UIB) is an environment designed to
 educate, generate knowledge, and innovate. The UIB is one of the country's
 leading universities in teaching, research, international cooperation and
 technological development and innovation. It is a university committed to
 building the European Union, and an institution that aspires to become a
 motor of economic growth and wellbeing for the people.



 You may learn more about the UIB at: www.uib.eu/
 http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001xLeelTYVf1tgw7tk72LbW7zqRP4E4NT5NbuxOlKKcKj5HUXwR-EFe2Bo1D65JaaDYAK06HBmP_is2eZM0gvgJRWpwYLqkIGZoNRrrgOAnr-nYcqp7zyQyumctAR5Wr-0xFDPp41pPflP6H1hCBUCeDcKMDKVjwiNFfVbM1qnKrXtXeAoj5ECfjBbwAgal4ytUY9zVrGOEHKu51vmZq8vtgOv2OetFiVjPMCXQIzd50BU8hMPpw_sPkMVM-mP3Lj0i7KiNGbvaACxGJhTcEG-U-FYGK8npNS9c=VdjDrLfROznvERHIi2gjTOskjutEFtTAUXe54Lyw3DOP5HVKO00DzQ==ch=V2dHmYAjpeMSEGic00lESSDz17OYYkAtGAUP4nTzT71Gt-hiWq_-WQ==





 Visit  Algasol's webpage
 http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001xLeelTYVf1tgw7tk72LbW7zqRP4E4NT5NbuxOlKKcKj5HUXwR-EFe2Bo1D65JaaDrGxlmGMFJ9VSKT77SHKeKMsmGsc4i1JyDdyz26y961TywZwcquV-Yo65HyQXwbTNvnJLCm5vM84uWaM_CZn8_Is4AD_4aBUdApmpBBWBKhxU1Sf5cZJMASY1z-S-LjaSa0FDZTBSvzGrw3O0p9JhcNVXePCGOMkBeapE_iEA5nr4JOHKtaBucxue8oDfXupXlONN8jHji0Ho-WnUyxsYwJsIPDgyc4sDtsPdN9rMIvo=c=VdjDrLfROznvERHIi2gjTOskjutEFtTAUXe54Lyw3DOP5HVKO00DzQ==ch=V2dHmYAjpeMSEGic00lESSDz17OYYkAtGAUP4nTzT71Gt-hiWq_-WQ==
  for
 additional news and updates.



 For more detail, our worldwide patent is accessible at  www.wipo.int
 

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
I wrote:


   Do you think these are all errors?


 I wouldn't know. I suspect these examples are either imaginary or fully
 explicable, and they were gathered by someone who does not understand how
 instruments work.


I say that because it seems extremely unlikely to me that experts have
spent decades working with these instruments and yet they make mistakes as
obvious as the ones you describe. This resembles the notion that Martin
Fleischmann never heard of recombination.

Experts simply do not make the kind of idiotic errors you describe here. If
you think you have discovered such errors, I am certain you are mistaken
and you suffer from hubris. No amateur can page through the literature in a
short time -- as you claimed you have done -- to find that many obvious
mistakes. I suppose that list came from some misinformed amateur. I have
seen many similar lists regarding cold fusion in places like Wikipedia.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread jwinter

On 25/08/2014 8:33 PM, Jojo Iznart wrote:
...A few threads ago, a fellow here challenged me to provide evidence 
for the inaccuracy claims I made about radioneucleotide dating.  It 
took me some time to find it but here are some:
I didn't ask for just any old list of radiocarbon dating anomalies. I 
asked specifically for a reference to the piece of leather from a shoe 
made in the 1800's dating to 600,000 years ago.  That seemed remarkable 
as it is very difficult to imagine how any process such as contamination 
could explain it.  But having also searched in vain for such a report 
myself, I guess it was just a YEC circulated legend after all, with no 
truth to it.
1.  Living Mollusk Shells dated 2300 years old - Science vol 141, 
pp634-63
2.  Freshly Killed Seal dated 1300 years old - Antarctic Journal vol 
6, Sept-Oct `971 p.211
3.  Shells from Living snails dated 27,000 years old - Science Vol 
224, 1984 p58-61

...
As for this somewhat interesting list which you have provided, they seem 
to be the very few outliers and anomalies which have been picked up on 
by YECs and circulated around and around (eg you will find an almost 
identical list here: 
http://www.godrules.net/drdino/FAQcreationevolution3.htm)


However they seem to have pretty good explanations if you can be 
bothered to look for them.  For instance the living shells dated as old 
are discussed here:

http://evolutionwiki.org/wiki/Living_snails_were_C14_dated_at_2,300_and_27,000_years_old
And the freshly killed seal is discussed here:
http://evolutionwiki.org/wiki/A_freshly_killed_seal_was_C14_dated_at_1300_years_old

But I think you don't want evidence.  You would much rather stir up as 
much mud as you can find so that you can say - look it is really too 
hard to see any pattern here, this evidence is of no value whatsoever 
and the whole field should be tossed out as just so much crap.


But anyone without a gigantic agenda (which does not include you) will 
not fail to see how all the radiocarbon measurements for ~50,000 years 
fall within a very small measurement error - being the thickness of the 
wiggly line http://www.suigetsu.org/embed.php?File=radiocarbon.html - 
which on average decays exactly as predicted.  Even the wiggles in the 
line (which are the variations in the atmospheric C14 concentration at 
those ancient dates) can be matched between widely varying deposits of 
very different types and in very distant locations.  As I now understand 
it the starting C14 concentration is known to the exact year.  There are 
multiple complete and independent sequences (ie from Ireland and 
Germany) of tree rings that can be counted back 11,000 years and that 
are mutually consistent.  Counting varves and measuring the radiocarbon 
concentration of the organic sediment layers in Lake Suigetsu have 
allowed the starting C14 concentration to be calibrated back to more 
than 50,000 years (again exact to the year as I understand it).  And 
there is no indication of unusual deposits or gaps around the time of Noah!


In this regard maybe you would like to explain the GISP2 ice core at 
1837 meters depth with clearly visible annual layers that you can see 
at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:GISP2D1837_crop.jpg. Every 
indication (by counting annual layers) is that this ice formed ~16250 
years ago - again with no evidence of disturbance or melting in a flood. 
Other ice core data 
http://www.antarcticglaciers.org/glaciers-and-climate/ice-cores/ice-core-basics/ 
extend this evidence back to ~800,000 years without a significant break.


How can you reduce this stretch of data by a factor of ~200?  Do you 
think they could have had 200 blizzards per year for 4000 years to make 
it look like 800,000 seasonal layers had formed in only 4000 years?



Next!
Something you wrote here 
https://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l%40eskimo.com/msg75002.html that 
didn't really make sense at the time:

... you have a problem because it says in one place that Moses wrote the
tablets and then it says in another place that God wrote the tablets. ... you 
are quibbling about the
exact person who had the pen in his hand (or chisel)
The problem is that in Exod 34:27-28 it clearly says that Moses did the 
chiselling, whereas in Deut 10:4 it says that God did the chiselling and 
_gave the tablets back_ to Moses.  If as you asserted Moses really did 
the chiselling but God was writing - in that he was the author - why 
would God need to _give the tablets back_ to Moses?  Maybe God couldn't 
see that well and so had Moses hand them up to him so that He could take 
a closer look to check for mistakes before handing them back?




Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Eric, you don't seem to understand what the IPCC is.  They are eXACTLY as
called out -- REPRESENTATIVE of the anthropomorphic climate change thesis.


On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 10:11 AM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote:



 Calling out some of the people involved in climate science who have fudged
 numbers as representative of all of them feels a bit disingenuous to me.
  Because some were guilty of doing this does not impugn the entire lot.
  There's no reason to assume that the majority of climate scientists are
 acting with anything but integrity, just as there's no reason to assume
 that the majority of electrical engineers are acting with anything but
 integrity.  (The same cannot be said, unfortunately, for politicians.)





Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

 Cold Fusion then is not science since it is not repeatable.


Of course it is repeatable. It has been replicated thousands of times.
Please stop making ignorant assertions. Read the literature before
commenting.

- Jed


RE: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Chris Zell
http://ncse.com/cej/3/2/answers-to-creationist-attacks-carbon-14-dating

There are plenty of correlations that have emerged in relation to C-14 dating, 
tree rings, astronomical events, Egyptian history just to name a few.  In 
addition, the variations in C-14 formation have been fleshed out over the 
years.  I think many creationists are using old data and arguments.




Re: [Vo]:Algasol Photobioreactor Showcase

2014-08-25 Thread James Bowery
The showcase is not the production line.

People are still starving and species are still being driven to extinction
for no reason.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 1:06 PM, Lennart Thornros lenn...@thornros.com
wrote:

 Congrats - you must have been funded.

 Best Regards ,
 Lennart Thornros

 www.StrategicLeadershipSac.com
 lenn...@thornros.com
 +1 916 436 1899
 202 Granite Park Court, Lincoln CA 95648

 “Productivity is never an accident. It is always the result of a
 commitment to excellence, intelligent planning, and focused effort.” PJM


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:17 AM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 For technical details of the photobioreactor and its economics see the
 see Algasol's presentation at the 2013 European Algal Biomass Conference
 https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/28447217/Algae%20Platform%2024-25%20april%202013-2.pdf
 .

 Algasol Renewables pr...@algasolrenewables.com via
 http://support.google.com/mail/bin/answer.py?hl=enanswer=1311182ctx=mail
  auth.ccsend.com
 12:04 PM (7 minutes ago)
   to jb
   [image: PNG logo]

  Greetings!

 In order to best serve our current and future clients, Algasol is pleased
 to announce the opening of our algae growth facility on the island of
 Mallorca. Located at the University of Balearic Islands (UIB), the facility
 showcases our globally patented*Floating PhotoBioReactor* (PBR)
 technology for the low-cost production of algal biomass.







 *Algasol's UIB Showcase*







 The showcase serves to demonstrate our industry leading algae production
 platform, provide a training site for clients, and catalyze new development
 opportunities.



 *Platform Highlights:*



- Low-cost design and materials
- Industrial scalability
- Optimal light exposure
- Internal aeration system and CO2 distribution
- Efficient temperature control
- Nutrient intake and circulation
- Integrated density management system
- Sequential harvesting
- Weather protection system



 We will be offering tours in the coming months.



 Please contact us at i...@algasolrenewables.com to schedule a visit.




 *About the Patented PBR Technology*

 Our award winning photobioreactor technology breaks the cost barrier and
 allows microalgae production to be economically viable in the present
 tense. On average, our technology lowers CAPEX by 90% when compared to
 other growth systems, and is deployable both on land (in ponds) and in the
 oceans - thanks to our unique density difference patent highlighted below.
 To give you an example, 1 ha (10,000m2) of Algasol PBRs is as low as USD
 52,500, including harvesting valves and internal aeration.



 The main components of our worldwide patented technology include the
 following:

- General concept of controlling the position of a closed
photobioreactor byproviding a *density difference* between the
algae culture inside the photobioreactor and the surrounding water
- Density Management System for submerging/angling the PBR
- Internal Aeration System



 For more detail, our worldwide patent is accessible at www.wipo.int
 http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001xLeelTYVf1tgw7tk72LbW7zqRP4E4NT5NbuxOlKKcKj5HUXwR-EFe2Bo1D65JaaDxfDNv6ouTSVYCq0K6pLKjQ_iUjTUOurYu0wVIREKxF5JOMDViyIQ_Mmuwv4Q90adUPvOBwn05P6ovaJxb_Pqg5mlIxkrdaB1B_vlAmZFqSyBw9BL04G4Ud4r78lhLXmy5N8Td4N1kc2eoei9YHwRl3XKiku8mMBOxN1y2GJk8mIpoaMzcgzvKwnK7xp0J9_BGxG7Gy5Xx8Un1UNmoLhQmdazT7bmNB38Jye5b6ovtMk=c=VdjDrLfROznvERHIi2gjTOskjutEFtTAUXe54Lyw3DOP5HVKO00DzQ==ch=V2dHmYAjpeMSEGic00lESSDz17OYYkAtGAUP4nTzT71Gt-hiWq_-WQ==







 *About UIB Partnership*

 The University of the Balearic Islands (UIB) is an environment designed
 to educate, generate knowledge, and innovate. The UIB is one of the
 country's leading universities in teaching, research, international
 cooperation and technological development and innovation. It is a
 university committed to building the European Union, and an institution
 that aspires to become a motor of economic growth and wellbeing for the
 people.



 You may learn more about the UIB at: www.uib.eu/
 http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001xLeelTYVf1tgw7tk72LbW7zqRP4E4NT5NbuxOlKKcKj5HUXwR-EFe2Bo1D65JaaDYAK06HBmP_is2eZM0gvgJRWpwYLqkIGZoNRrrgOAnr-nYcqp7zyQyumctAR5Wr-0xFDPp41pPflP6H1hCBUCeDcKMDKVjwiNFfVbM1qnKrXtXeAoj5ECfjBbwAgal4ytUY9zVrGOEHKu51vmZq8vtgOv2OetFiVjPMCXQIzd50BU8hMPpw_sPkMVM-mP3Lj0i7KiNGbvaACxGJhTcEG-U-FYGK8npNS9c=VdjDrLfROznvERHIi2gjTOskjutEFtTAUXe54Lyw3DOP5HVKO00DzQ==ch=V2dHmYAjpeMSEGic00lESSDz17OYYkAtGAUP4nTzT71Gt-hiWq_-WQ==





 Visit  Algasol's webpage
 http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001xLeelTYVf1tgw7tk72LbW7zqRP4E4NT5NbuxOlKKcKj5HUXwR-EFe2Bo1D65JaaDrGxlmGMFJ9VSKT77SHKeKMsmGsc4i1JyDdyz26y961TywZwcquV-Yo65HyQXwbTNvnJLCm5vM84uWaM_CZn8_Is4AD_4aBUdApmpBBWBKhxU1Sf5cZJMASY1z-S-LjaSa0FDZTBSvzGrw3O0p9JhcNVXePCGOMkBeapE_iEA5nr4JOHKtaBucxue8oDfXupXlONN8jHji0Ho-WnUyxsYwJsIPDgyc4sDtsPdN9rMIvo=c=VdjDrLfROznvERHIi2gjTOskjutEFtTAUXe54Lyw3DOP5HVKO00DzQ==ch=V2dHmYAjpeMSEGic00lESSDz17OYYkAtGAUP4nTzT71Gt-hiWq_-WQ==
  

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But I
think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is reasonably
accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
100M years old.

Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that steps
into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year, comes
back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same period.  And
this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that only lasts a few
milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went from
milliseconds to seconds.

So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
amazing.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio Dating
 results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or there in
 various methods do not contradict the essential point that radioactive
 decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is on
 Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate a
 convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically upset
 the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.



Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But I
 think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that steps
 into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year, comes
 back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same period.  And
 this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that only lasts a few
 milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went from
 milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
 creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
 limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio Dating
 results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or there in
 various methods do not contradict the essential point that radioactive
 decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is on
 Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate a
 convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically upset
 the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.





Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Cold fusion has been replicated more than 14,700 times

http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l%40eskimo.com/msg87609.html


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:48 AM, Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  Cold Fusion then is not science since it is not repeatable.


 Jojo



 - Original Message -
 *From:* Daniel Rocha danieldi...@gmail.com
 *To:* John Milstone vortex-l@eskimo.com
 *Sent:* Tuesday, August 26, 2014 12:34 AM
 *Subject:* Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

 Pretty much. And I think you head is so deep in the sand, that I question
 your ability to make science.


 2014-08-25 13:24 GMT-03:00 Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com:

  Is it because it is repeatable?

 --
 Daniel Rocha - RJ
 danieldi...@gmail.com




Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So... your
point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But I
 think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
 creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
 limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is on
 Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate a
 convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically upset
 the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.






Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the missing
95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. Smart guy.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So...
 your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But I
 think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
 creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
 limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is on
 Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate
 a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically upset
 the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.







Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
Although the haircut does help reinforce evolution theory

http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/10/25/article-886-15ACADD205DC-783_634x622.jpg




On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:36 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the
 missing 95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. Smart
 guy.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So...
 your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But I
 think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
 creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
 limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an 
 aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is
 on Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of 
 physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate
 a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically 
 upset
 the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.








Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Einstein's Biggest Blunder? Dark Energy May Be Consistent With Cosmological
Constant
Date:
November 28, 2007
Source:
Texas AM University
Summary:
 Einstein's self-proclaimed biggest blunder -- his postulation of a
cosmological constant (a force that opposes gravity and keeps the universe
from collapsing) -- may not be such a blunder after all, according to the
research of an international team of scientists.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071127142128.htm


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:36 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the
 missing 95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. Smart
 guy.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So...
 your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But I
 think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
 creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
 limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an 
 aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is
 on Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of 
 physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could demonstrate
 a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would radically 
 upset
 the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.








Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
That must be one smart monkey.  Maybe he and the millions of others banging
on typewriters right now in another thought experiment will find the dark
energy that's missing.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:39 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 Although the haircut does help reinforce evolution theory


 http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/10/25/article-886-15ACADD205DC-783_634x622.jpg




 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:36 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the
 missing 95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. Smart
 guy.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So...
 your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But
 I think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is 
 reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that 
 only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
 creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
 limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an 
 aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is
 on Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of 
 physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could
 demonstrate a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would
 radically upset the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.









[Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread James Bowery
Evolutionists -- or perhaps I should call them pseudo-evolutionists
believe that humans, unique among life forms, exhibit behavior not from
biological evolution but from cultural determinism.

Oh, yes, I know they'll deny it when I put it that way but when it comes to
public policy the gaping black-hole of avoiding being cast as
anaziwhowantstokillsixmillionjews creates an intellectual dead-zone around
anything resembling rational thought about the biology, let alone
biodiversity, of human behavior.

As a consequence, educated young people end up being put into de facto
sterilizing urban environments where considering the evolutionary
consequences of their own evolutionary demise is worthy only of
anaziwhowantstokillsixmillionjews.

This de facto genocide of cultures that allow their young people to be
educated has a very predictable _evolutionary_ consequence:

The next generation will be comprised of people who managed to avoid being
educated.

Hell, they'll believe that underground gerbies are secretly pulling levers
on a grand clockwork mechanism that was designed by ancient engineers from
the planet zebulack if that's what it takes to avoid being educated into
extinction.

Get real:

Fix your own intellectual house before you start trying to treat symptoms
of your genocide against the intelligent and educated.


Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
But is it constant across the universe?  Where is it? What is it?
 Emergent? Coalescent? Decaying? Quantum? Stringy? Loopy? Roll of the Dicey?

 Einstein was smart enough to give it a placeholder, I credit him that. 95%
leaves a lot left to figure out.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:43 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:

 Einstein's Biggest Blunder? Dark Energy May Be Consistent With
 Cosmological Constant
 Date:
 November 28, 2007
 Source:
 Texas AM University
 Summary:
  Einstein's self-proclaimed biggest blunder -- his postulation of a
 cosmological constant (a force that opposes gravity and keeps the universe
 from collapsing) -- may not be such a blunder after all, according to the
 research of an international team of scientists.

 http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071127142128.htm


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:36 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the
 missing 95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. Smart
 guy.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So...
 your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But
 I think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is 
 reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that 
 only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6 days
 creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that He is
 limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an 
 aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is
 on Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of 
 physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could
 demonstrate a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would
 radically upset the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.









Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Yes.

Please send my Nobel Prize by mail.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:48 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 But is it constant across the universe?  Where is it? What is it?
  Emergent? Coalescent? Decaying? Quantum? Stringy? Loopy? Roll of the Dicey?

  Einstein was smart enough to give it a placeholder, I credit him that.
 95% leaves a lot left to figure out.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:43 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Einstein's Biggest Blunder? Dark Energy May Be Consistent With
 Cosmological Constant
 Date:
 November 28, 2007
 Source:
 Texas AM University
 Summary:
  Einstein's self-proclaimed biggest blunder -- his postulation of a
 cosmological constant (a force that opposes gravity and keeps the universe
 from collapsing) -- may not be such a blunder after all, according to the
 research of an international team of scientists.

 http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071127142128.htm


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:36 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the
 missing 95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. Smart
 guy.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So...
 your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.  But
 I think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is 
 reasonably
 accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M light years is
 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that 
 only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6
 days creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that 
 He
 is limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly 
 zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here 
 or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an 
 aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden is
 on Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of 
 physics
 that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been 
 generally
 correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could
 demonstrate a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would
 radically upset the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.










Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
Email?
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/archive/e/ed/20131011153017!Nobel_Prize.png


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:50 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:

 Yes.

 Please send my Nobel Prize by mail.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:48 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 But is it constant across the universe?  Where is it? What is it?
  Emergent? Coalescent? Decaying? Quantum? Stringy? Loopy? Roll of the Dicey?

  Einstein was smart enough to give it a placeholder, I credit him that.
 95% leaves a lot left to figure out.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:43 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Einstein's Biggest Blunder? Dark Energy May Be Consistent With
 Cosmological Constant
 Date:
 November 28, 2007
 Source:
 Texas AM University
 Summary:
  Einstein's self-proclaimed biggest blunder -- his postulation of a
 cosmological constant (a force that opposes gravity and keeps the universe
 from collapsing) -- may not be such a blunder after all, according to the
 research of an international team of scientists.

 http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071127142128.htm


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:36 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the
 missing 95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. Smart
 guy.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.  So...
 your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.
 But I think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is
 reasonably accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M 
 light
 years is 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin that
 steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for a 
 year,
 comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that 
 only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan 
 went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6
 days creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think that 
 He
 is limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly 
 zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors here 
 or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an 
 aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden
 is on Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of
 physics that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have been
 generally correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could
 demonstrate a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it would
 radically upset the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.











Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread Lennart Thornros
James B.
I hope I understand what you are saying. There are biological reasons for
our behavior and it is hard to replace them with some cultural etiquette.
If that is what you said then I agree with you. I also believe this kind of
believe is accentuated by our school system and our most influential
organizations. That is a problem as if you base your behavior on facts not
experienced. It is like building a house on sand. I think it is to be
avoided already in biblical time.

Best Regards ,
Lennart Thornros

www.StrategicLeadershipSac.com
lenn...@thornros.com
+1 916 436 1899
202 Granite Park Court, Lincoln CA 95648

“Productivity is never an accident. It is always the result of a commitment
to excellence, intelligent planning, and focused effort.” PJM


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:45 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 Evolutionists -- or perhaps I should call them pseudo-evolutionists
 believe that humans, unique among life forms, exhibit behavior not from
 biological evolution but from cultural determinism.

 Oh, yes, I know they'll deny it when I put it that way but when it comes
 to public policy the gaping black-hole of avoiding being cast as
 anaziwhowantstokillsixmillionjews creates an intellectual dead-zone around
 anything resembling rational thought about the biology, let alone
 biodiversity, of human behavior.

 As a consequence, educated young people end up being put into de facto
 sterilizing urban environments where considering the evolutionary
 consequences of their own evolutionary demise is worthy only of
 anaziwhowantstokillsixmillionjews.

 This de facto genocide of cultures that allow their young people to be
 educated has a very predictable _evolutionary_ consequence:

 The next generation will be comprised of people who managed to avoid being
 educated.

 Hell, they'll believe that underground gerbies are secretly pulling levers
 on a grand clockwork mechanism that was designed by ancient engineers from
 the planet zebulack if that's what it takes to avoid being educated into
 extinction.

 Get real:

 Fix your own intellectual house before you start trying to treat symptoms
 of your genocide against the intelligent and educated.



Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

Evolutionists -- or perhaps I should call them pseudo-evolutionists
 believe that humans, unique among life forms, exhibit behavior not from
 biological evolution but from cultural determinism.


I have no idea who or what your are talking about here, and I suspect you
do not know either. FYI, biologists (not evolutionists) say that:

1. Humans are not unique among life forms. They resemble other primates and
other intelligent species.

2. All behavior is caused by biology, and all biology is rooted in
evolution. That is the opposite of what you said. In essence, all human
behavior along with every aspect of physiology is the product of evolution.

3. Some human behavior is learned, or cultural. This is also true of other
primates, and other intelligent species, such as wolves, crows, and other
birds. This is why, for example, there are regional variations in crow
calls. (An expert on crows can detect where an audio recording was made by
the sounds of crows in the background. This has been done in police
investigations, as I recall.)

This is no contradiction with item 2. It means evolution has created a
mechanism in many animals that allows them to mimic and learn behavior from
other members of their species, and to take advantage of changes in the
environment by devising new behaviors, and new uses of tools. Many species
use tools of various types, such as seagulls dropping shells on rocks to
break them open.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread James Bowery
You obviously weren't around Harvard when Gould and Lewontin went on their
rampage against Wilson over sociobiology.

You're out of touch with the facts on the ground in academia with regards
to the social sciences.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:12 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 Evolutionists -- or perhaps I should call them pseudo-evolutionists
 believe that humans, unique among life forms, exhibit behavior not from
 biological evolution but from cultural determinism.


 I have no idea who or what your are talking about here, and I suspect you
 do not know either. FYI, biologists (not evolutionists) say that:

 1. Humans are not unique among life forms. They resemble other primates
 and other intelligent species.

 2. All behavior is caused by biology, and all biology is rooted in
 evolution. That is the opposite of what you said. In essence, all human
 behavior along with every aspect of physiology is the product of evolution.

 3. Some human behavior is learned, or cultural. This is also true of other
 primates, and other intelligent species, such as wolves, crows, and other
 birds. This is why, for example, there are regional variations in crow
 calls. (An expert on crows can detect where an audio recording was made by
 the sounds of crows in the background. This has been done in police
 investigations, as I recall.)

 This is no contradiction with item 2. It means evolution has created a
 mechanism in many animals that allows them to mimic and learn behavior from
 other members of their species, and to take advantage of changes in the
 environment by devising new behaviors, and new uses of tools. Many species
 use tools of various types, such as seagulls dropping shells on rocks to
 break them open.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Good enough.  Now if I could just get a few million others to accept that I
just won a Nobel Prize, life would be golden.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:52 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 Email?

 http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/archive/e/ed/20131011153017!Nobel_Prize.png


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:50 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Yes.

 Please send my Nobel Prize by mail.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:48 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 But is it constant across the universe?  Where is it? What is it?
  Emergent? Coalescent? Decaying? Quantum? Stringy? Loopy? Roll of the Dicey?

  Einstein was smart enough to give it a placeholder, I credit him that.
 95% leaves a lot left to figure out.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:43 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Einstein's Biggest Blunder? Dark Energy May Be Consistent With
 Cosmological Constant
 Date:
 November 28, 2007
 Source:
 Texas AM University
 Summary:
  Einstein's self-proclaimed biggest blunder -- his postulation of a
 cosmological constant (a force that opposes gravity and keeps the universe
 from collapsing) -- may not be such a blunder after all, according to the
 research of an international team of scientists.

 http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071127142128.htm


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:36 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Other than the fact he needed a haircut and also could not find the
 missing 95% of the energy in the universe I have no problem with him. 
 Smart
 guy.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:33 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 There are tons of assumptions in Einstein's thought experiment.
 So... your point is?  You have a problem with Einstein?


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 12:25 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Assuming the spaceship does not breakdown, missing all space debris


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 3:19 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
  wrote:

 I'm a creationist, and even a literal 6-day creationist at that.
 But I think Carbon 14 dating and all the other radiometric dating is
 reasonably accurate.  I also think that light that has travelled 100M 
 light
 years is 100M years old.

 Here's how I resolve it: Using Einstein's Twin Paradox.  A twin
 that steps into a space ship and goes around at the speed of light for 
 a
 year, comes back to visit his brother who has aged 100 years in that 
 same
 period.  And this is proven science -- physicists took a particle that 
 only
 lasts a few milliseconds, accelerated it to near C, and its lifespan 
 went
 from milliseconds to seconds.

 So, God zipped around the known universe at the time, and spent 6
 days creating the heavens  earth.  Do we have any reason to think 
 that He
 is limited to going only the speed of light?  Nope.  He undoubtedly 
 zipped
 around the universe at far faster than the speed of light.  From His
 perspective, it took 6 days.  From the perspective of someone sitting 
 on
 the earth at the time, it took 14Billion years.  God's own little twin
 paradox, written in language of normal humans 3500 years ago.  Pretty
 amazing.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:37 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
 wrote:

  I used to be a Creationist and point out obvious errors in Radio
 Dating results.  Eventually, I was forced to conclude that errors 
 here or
 there in various methods do not contradict the essential point that
 radioactive decay is an extremely reliable phenomena taken as an 
 aggregate.

 I found it dishonest to point out different potential defects in
 different dating methods while ignoring the whole of the subject.
 Eventually, I was forced to conclude that there must be something 
 wrong
 with radioactive decay rates themselves - to save my faith.

 While I am still somewhat skeptical about such rates,  the burden
 is on Fundamentalists to come up with a radically different version of
 physics that allows for such variability.  I think C-14 rates have 
 been
 generally correlated with Egyptian history.

 Actually, if you think about it,  if Fundamentalists could
 demonstrate a convenient method of upsetting such decay rates, it 
 would
 radically upset the world as the equivalent of 'free energy'.












Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Alain Sepeda
it is also unbelievable that educated people repeat the consesus fairy tale
against cold fusion, despite huge evidences agains, and no valid refutation
to support their cause...
anyway they did because they were the consenus, because opposing mean you
were the blacksheep of the lab, ...

note also that many climate skeptics use bad arguments... we should only
consider the serious arguments, like those pushed by judith curry and
alike... she even worked for IPCC and realizsed she was hiding data to
defend the cause.climategate and wwhat she read as an insider make her
understand that what she did was the rule and not a local trick. some say
she is a lukewarmer

serious skeptics agree on some warming, but question the cause, because it
have been warming since much longer tha global warming and pausing few
times without credible information.

the exgaggeration, the public myth are recognized even by IPCC and orthodox
even chlarate fear is extremeliy improbable, as extreme weather is not
caused by AGW... model are recoignized as not working, sung is getting
recognized, climate sensibility start to be lowered

note also that experts are useful and often competent, but they can fall in
groupthink as a whole profession.

see the alexander gordon de aberdee, semmeweils, then pasteur tragedy...
in each time the theory was broke, data were ignored, and the solution came
from people out of the domain, but competent wor unexpected reason.




clmim


2014-08-25 20:19 GMT+02:00 Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com:

 I wrote:


   Do you think these are all errors?


 I wouldn't know. I suspect these examples are either imaginary or fully
 explicable, and they were gathered by someone who does not understand how
 instruments work.


 I say that because it seems extremely unlikely to me that experts have
 spent decades working with these instruments and yet they make mistakes as
 obvious as the ones you describe. This resembles the notion that Martin
 Fleischmann never heard of recombination.

 Experts simply do not make the kind of idiotic errors you describe here.
 If you think you have discovered such errors, I am certain you are mistaken
 and you suffer from hubris. No amateur can page through the literature in a
 short time -- as you claimed you have done -- to find that many obvious
 mistakes. I suppose that list came from some misinformed amateur. I have
 seen many similar lists regarding cold fusion in places like Wikipedia.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:unsubscribe

2014-08-25 Thread Blaze Spinnaker
Awwwh.   :(


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:40 AM, Mark Gibbs mgi...@gibbs.com wrote:






Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Thanks for identifying yourself my friend.  I already forgot who it was that 
challenged me and I wasn't inclined to waste my time searching the archives.

You asked for proof of my assertion that radionucleotide dating is unreliable, 
and I provided several actual egregious examples from reputable researchers 
published in reputable peer-reviewed publications.  And yet, your response is: 
These are all outliers and errors and legends.

My friend, You are only willing to accept results that seem right to you.  Any 
other result is an outlier, and error and incompetence automatically.  You 
claim that they are legends with no truth to it, yet they are published in 
publications that you respect.  The problem with your version of science is 
that you want to have the right to decide which experimental result is valid.  
Any result you don't like is a mistake, an instrument error or legend.   How 
can one discuss science in the face of such intractable ridiculousness.

Of course these results are well known, and published in creationist web sites 
and elsewhere.  Why?  Because they show the truth that people like you would 
rather bury as an error, outlier or legend, so that you can promote your own 
twisted theories and beliefs.


Your rebutal to my #1 and #2 items seems to illustrate very well my oriignal 
point.  These two links claim that there are other processes that could skew 
the result.

http://evolutionwiki.org/wiki/Living_snails_were_C14_dated_at_2,300_and_27,000_years_old
http://evolutionwiki.org/wiki/A_freshly_killed_seal_was_C14_dated_at_1300_years_old

Which is precisely my point.  The technique depends on many assumptions many of 
which we do not fully understand.  Hence, results are unreliable.


My friend, you can discuss all you want till you turn blue, all the wiggly 
lines, all the calibration reports, the tree lines, all the expert opinions, 
etc etc  but if you can not explain how these egregious results come about 
from a technique you deem reliable, your argument rings hollow.  Your only 
other option is to claim error, outlier and/or incompetence, which is precisely 
what you and a couple of other folks like Jed is claiming.  You don't like the 
result, it must be an error, an outlier.  How convenient.


Regarding what Moses wrote, if you want to discuss religion, start a new thread.




Jojo




  - Original Message - 
  From: jwin...@cyllene.uwa.edu.au 
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
  Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24 AM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  On 25/08/2014 8:33 PM, Jojo Iznart wrote:

...A few threads ago, a fellow here challenged me to provide evidence for 
the inaccuracy claims I made about radioneucleotide dating.  It took me some 
time to find it but here are some:
  I didn't ask for just any old list of radiocarbon dating anomalies.  I asked 
specifically for a reference to the piece of leather from a shoe made in the 
1800's dating to 600,000 years ago.  That seemed remarkable as it is very 
difficult to imagine how any process such as contamination could explain it.  
But having also searched in vain for such a report myself, I guess it was just 
a YEC circulated legend after all, with no truth to it.

 1.  Living Mollusk Shells dated 2300 years old - Science vol 141, pp634-63 

2.  Freshly Killed Seal dated 1300 years old - Antarctic Journal vol 6, 
Sept-Oct `971 p.211

3.  Shells from Living snails dated 27,000 years old - Science Vol 224, 
1984 p58-61
...

  As for this somewhat interesting list which you have provided, they seem to 
be the very few outliers and anomalies which have been picked up on by YECs and 
circulated around and around (eg you will find an almost identical list here: 
http://www.godrules.net/drdino/FAQcreationevolution3.htm)

  However they seem to have pretty good explanations if you can be bothered to 
look for them.  For instance the living shells dated as old are discussed here:
  
http://evolutionwiki.org/wiki/Living_snails_were_C14_dated_at_2,300_and_27,000_years_old
  And the freshly killed seal is discussed here:
  
http://evolutionwiki.org/wiki/A_freshly_killed_seal_was_C14_dated_at_1300_years_old

  But I think you don't want evidence.  You would much rather stir up as much 
mud as you can find so that you can say - look it is really too hard to see any 
pattern here, this evidence is of no value whatsoever and the whole field 
should be tossed out as just so much crap.

  But anyone without a gigantic agenda (which does not include you) will not 
fail to see how all the radiocarbon measurements for ~50,000 years fall within 
a very small measurement error - being the thickness of the wiggly line - which 
on average decays exactly as predicted.  Even the wiggles in the line (which 
are the variations in the atmospheric C14 concentration at those ancient dates) 
can be matched between widely varying deposits of very different types and in 
very distant locations.  As I now 

Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Bob, please read the context in which this number came up?  CB was talking 
about the increase which he claims would bring the global average to 42.8F, 
which I point out he probably meant 42.8C

Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Bob Cook 
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
  Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 1:37 AM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:global warming?


  Since when does 6 C correspond with 42.8 F?



  Sent from Windows Mail


  From: CB Sites
  Sent: ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎12‎ ‎PM
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com


  Jojo, I really think you miss the point.  Let assume a moment the global 
average temperature was 6C above average.  That is 42.8 degrees Fahrenheit!  
You and the deniers have got to get an understanding of what that means.  It 
means extinction of life as we know it.  I know you deniers think some how man 
kind will survive.  To be honest, I think that is doubtful.  Economic systems 
will not survive, food supplies will not provide, and warring political systems 
will doom the planet.   


  I really don't need to say much more, reality will take control and play out 
future events that the deniers will bitch about all the way to the extinction 
of man. 







  On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

Eric, I realize how complex the problem that these guys are facing must be. 
 That is the root cause of their problem.  You have listed several good points 
and I will take them into consideration.

My main issue with the current models is that new processes and 
interactions are being uncovered frequently which modify the behavior of the 
models in a significant manner.  I ask what would be the output of a model at 
the end of this century that had all of the known and unknown pertinent factors 
taken into consideration?  The recent acknowledgement of a new factor that 
allows for a 30 year pause in temperature rise is not an issue to be taken 
lightly.  It also inflicts upon me the concern that there are likely more of 
these factors that remain hidden as of today.

I suspect you have relied upon curve fitting routines in the past and 
realize that enough variables can be chosen and adjusted to match any set of 
input data as closely as desired as long as that data is sparse.  You also 
probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields 
coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.  Many 
combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data over a restricted 
range.  The problem shows up once you use those different coefficients to 
project the curve forwards into unknown future points.

We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that I 
am speaking of.  The old data apparently matched the functional relationship 
that the modelers have chosen to an excellent degree until the pause.  They 
were confident that no pause would appear and many suggested that they would be 
worried if the pause lasted for more than about 5 years.  As we know that time 
period came and passed and the pause continued which forced many of these guys 
to seek an explanation.

Now, after several more years of unexpected pause, they have come up with 
their best explanation due to the 30 year Atlantic current cycle.  Where was 
this cycle included during the long hockey stick period?  Some might consider 
that the high rate of heating during the earlier period might have come about 
due to added heating by this same cycle.  That certainly makes sense to me.

So, I can not help but to question predictions that have been based upon a 
defective model.  Furthermore, how confident can you possibly be that these 
guys now have all the important factors included within their models?  The 
proof can only be demonstrated by the performance of the models during a period 
of time where they show reasonable results that compare to the real world.  We 
are seeking knowledge of the world's climate in 100 years time as we make plans 
to counter the expected dangers.  It is non sense to trust a model that does 
not work 20 years into the future for this purpose.  The past fits are trivial 
and can always be obtained by curve fitting.  The future fit reveals how good 
the model actually performs.  That is where they are lacking.

Eric, when I design an electrical network that is built and tested I expect 
it to perform as my model predicts.  If I measured results that were seriously 
in error I would not recommend the circuit to others for the same application 
with known problems.  Instead I would dig deeper into the model and devices 
until the results match the model fairly well.  I have in fact done this on 
several occasions.  Only then is the model useful to generate predictions of 
value.

Dave




-Original Message-
From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com

Sent: Sun, Aug 24, 2014 4:51 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:global 

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Jed, if you doubt that, then look up the reference themselves.  Last time I 
checked, Science is and was a reputable publication.   


You like to make these qualified statements to try to wiggle yourself from a 
tight spot.  You claim these results are errors, outlier or instrument errors,. 
 Now, you are saying you wouldn't know.  If you don't know, how can you say 
they were instrument errors.  How do you know they were imaginary, or fully 
explicable or gathered by someone who does not understand how instruments work. 
 What qualifies you to make an assertion like that?  Were you there?

You see, the problem with you is you have preconveived notions for a belief 
system you hold dear.  Anything that upsets that belief system, you reject as a 
lie, an error, incompetence, etc.  My friend, you are no better than Huzienga 
when it comes to evaluating scientific evidence.



Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Jed Rothwell 
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
  Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 1:54 AM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

The examples I enumerated are samples that appear on a scientific paper of 
wide circulation.


  I doubt that, but for the sake of argument suppose it is true. Are you saying 
these were mistakes? Or were they examples discovered by the authors, and used 
to point out problems with the technique? An article on blood pressure monitors 
would point out problems that produce the wrong readings, such as 180/160 when 
the correct number is 130/85 (an actual example). Finding and explaining 
problems is a good thing.



  Do you think these are all errors?


  I wouldn't know. I suspect these examples are either imaginary or fully 
explicable, and they were gathered by someone who does not understand how 
instruments work.



  Don't you think they would have checked for errors before publishing it?  


  If these are errors, then the editors and authors failed to discover them. 
That happens in science. It happens in every institution. That is why trains 
sometimes smash together, airplanes crash, banks fail, programs give the wrong 
answer or stop dead, and doctors sometimes amputate the wrong leg. People 
everywhere, in all walks of life, are prone to making drastic mistakes. To err 
is human.




I was challenged for proof that Carbon dating is unreliable, these are just 
a few I found.


  You do not have enough expertise in this subject to find proof, or judge 
whether you have found it.


  - Jed



Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
Jed,

If it is a repeatable as you would like to believe, we wouldn't have so much 
problems convincing the rest of the world.


Jojo


  - Original Message - 
  From: Jed Rothwell 
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
  Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:45 AM
  Subject: Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating


  Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:


Cold Fusion then is not science since it is not repeatable.


  Of course it is repeatable. It has been replicated thousands of times. Please 
stop making ignorant assertions. Read the literature before commenting.


  - Jed



Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread CB Sites
Since google.



On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 1:37 PM, Bob Cook frobertc...@hotmail.com wrote:

  Since when does 6 C correspond with 42.8 F?

 Sent from Windows Mail

 *From:* CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com
 *Sent:* ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎12‎ ‎PM
 *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com

 Jojo, I really think you miss the point.  Let assume a moment the global
 average temperature was 6C above average.  That is 42.8 degrees Fahrenheit!
  You and the deniers have got to get an understanding of what that means.
  It means extinction of life as we know it.  I know you deniers think some
 how man kind will survive.  To be honest, I think that is doubtful.
  Economic systems will not survive, food supplies will not provide, and
 warring political systems will doom the planet.

 I really don't need to say much more, reality will take control and play
 out future events that the deniers will bitch about all the way to the
 extinction of man.




 On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

 Eric, I realize how complex the problem that these guys are facing must
 be.  That is the root cause of their problem.  You have listed several good
 points and I will take them into consideration.

 My main issue with the current models is that new processes and
 interactions are being uncovered frequently which modify the behavior of
 the models in a significant manner.  I ask what would be the output of a
 model at the end of this century that had all of the known and
 unknown pertinent factors taken into consideration?  The recent
 acknowledgement of a new factor that allows for a 30 year pause in
 temperature rise is not an issue to be taken lightly.  It also inflicts
 upon me the concern that there are likely more of these factors that remain
 hidden as of today.

 I suspect you have relied upon curve fitting routines in the past and
 realize that enough variables can be chosen and adjusted to match any set
 of input data as closely as desired as long as that data is sparse.  You
 also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields
 coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.
 Many combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data over a
 restricted range.  The problem shows up once you use those
 different coefficients to project the curve forwards into unknown future
 points.

 We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that I
 am speaking of.  The old data apparently matched the functional
 relationship that the modelers have chosen to an excellent degree until the
 pause.  They were confident that no pause would appear and many suggested
 that they would be worried if the pause lasted for more than about 5
 years.  As we know that time period came and passed and the pause continued
 which forced many of these guys to seek an explanation.

 Now, after several more years of unexpected pause, they have come up with
 their best explanation due to the 30 year Atlantic current cycle.  Where
 was this cycle included during the long hockey stick period?  Some might
 consider that the high rate of heating during the earlier period might have
 come about due to added heating by this same cycle.  That certainly makes
 sense to me.

 So, I can not help but to question predictions that have been based upon
 a defective model.  Furthermore, how confident can you possibly be that
 these guys now have all the important factors included within their
 models?  The proof can only be demonstrated by the performance of the
 models during a period of time where they show reasonable results that
 compare to the real world.  We are seeking knowledge of the world's climate
 in 100 years time as we make plans to counter the expected dangers.  It is
 non sense to trust a model that does not work 20 years into the future for
 this purpose.  The past fits are trivial and can always be obtained by
 curve fitting.  The future fit reveals how good the model actually
 performs.  That is where they are lacking.

 Eric, when I design an electrical network that is built and tested I
 expect it to perform as my model predicts.  If I measured results that were
 seriously in error I would not recommend the circuit to others for the same
 application with known problems.  Instead I would dig deeper into the model
 and devices until the results match the model fairly well.  I have in fact
 done this on several occasions.  Only then is the model useful to generate
 predictions of value.

 Dave




 -Original Message-
 From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
 To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Sent: Sun, Aug 24, 2014 4:51 pm
 Subject: Re: [Vo]:global warming?

   On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 12:43 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

  Eric, I suppose the difference between your beliefs and mine amounts to
 my expectation that the climate change scientists should be held to a high
 standard as is required of most other endeavors.  You 

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
Like Jed says,  Please stop making ignorant assertions.  At least this is
an interesting ignorant assertion.  The problem with Cold Fusion acceptance
in scientific circles is not due to problems getting results replicated.
It is due to PAST stigma attached to the field of inquiry and current
skeptopathic activity until this generation of scientists dies off.

*A new scientific http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Scientific truth
http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Truth does not triumph by convincing its
opponents and making them see the light
http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Light, but rather because its opponents
eventually die http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Death, and a new generation
grows up that is familiar with it. ~Max Planck  *


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 5:01 PM, Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  Jed,

 If it is a repeatable as you would like to believe, we wouldn't have so
 much problems convincing the rest of the world.


 Jojo



 - Original Message -
 *From:* Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
 *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com
 *Sent:* Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:45 AM
 *Subject:* Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

  Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  Cold Fusion then is not science since it is not repeatable.


 Of course it is repeatable. It has been replicated thousands of times.
 Please stop making ignorant assertions. Read the literature before
 commenting.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread Jojo Iznart
To Jed and the rest of Darwinian Evolutionists here:

I have a simple question:

1.  What is your best evidence of Darwinian Evolution occuring?  

By Darwinian Evolution - I mean Macro-Evolution of one species (One kind) 
turning into another species (another kind).  I do not mean micro-evolution 
(aka variation, aka adaptation.)  I know micro-evolution occurs.  I want 
macro-evolution demonstrated and observed.   Please state just one example 
where this mechanism is observed and repeatable.  Darwinists claim that their 
theory is settled science, and as Jed and other correctly pointed out, science 
for it to be science must be repeatable.  I would like to see one example (just 
one example) where this is observed and repeated.  (Maybe not even repeated - 
just observed)




Jojo



[Vo]:SunCell - Initial Replication Attempt

2014-08-25 Thread Jack Cole
Hi Folks,

I was excited to receive my spot welder today.  After ensuring it was in
working order, I decided to get right to it and see if I could get anything
like what BLP showed.  Lo and behold I got something on the first try.

I remembered Mills talking about all the different possibilities for types
of conductors that they might use in the commercial device, and copper was
one of them.  I cut a very small piece of copper wire, dipped it in water,
placed it on the electrodes, hit the switch, and pop with some bright
light!

Here's a link to the vid.  Sorry for the bad camera work.

Let me know what you think.  I'll do another vid soon in complete darkness.


http://youtu.be/d6XYqEhwZgA

Jack


[Vo]:Near Death Experiences

2014-08-25 Thread H Veeder
The article does not really explain the phenomena of NDE, but it does
provide an interesting synopsis of what is known about the experience.
Harry


Near death, explained
New science is shedding light on what really happens during out-of-body
experiences -- with shocking results.

http://www.salon.com/2012/04/21/near_death_explained/


Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread CB Sites
Opps, my bad, I'm too quick to use google.  Delta 10.8 Degree F is correct.
 Where was my brain? Duhh. Embarrassing, but thank you for correcting me.
 Still that is a major change and would effect many many different eco
systems, and AGW effects already have upset several.  10.8 is an average
across the globe, and completely ignores weather.  One of the main aspects
of global warming is how much energy it puts into the atmosphere, land and
oceans.  In the case of oceans, much is put into the evaporation of water,
which puts more humidity in the air, which is also a green house gas, that
further adds more energy into the oceans.   Cold fronts from the polar
regions would cause the water vapor to condense and rain, but as the polar
regions warm, that might not happen.

Similarly a delta of 10.8F  or 6C will release more methane gasses from
melting permafrost or from thawing methane clathrate on the bottom of the
ocean floor.  Some people believe methane (CH4) is bigger threat than CO2.

http://www.global-warming-forecasts.com/methane-carbon-dioxide.php

If that animal is released we really could be talking delta T's in the
42.8F range and worst.



On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:52 PM, CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com wrote:

 Since google.



 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 1:37 PM, Bob Cook frobertc...@hotmail.com wrote:

  Since when does 6 C correspond with 42.8 F?

 Sent from Windows Mail

 *From:* CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com
 *Sent:* ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎12‎ ‎PM
 *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com

 Jojo, I really think you miss the point.  Let assume a moment the global
 average temperature was 6C above average.  That is 42.8 degrees Fahrenheit!
  You and the deniers have got to get an understanding of what that means.
  It means extinction of life as we know it.  I know you deniers think some
 how man kind will survive.  To be honest, I think that is doubtful.
  Economic systems will not survive, food supplies will not provide, and
 warring political systems will doom the planet.

 I really don't need to say much more, reality will take control and play
 out future events that the deniers will bitch about all the way to the
 extinction of man.




 On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

 Eric, I realize how complex the problem that these guys are facing must
 be.  That is the root cause of their problem.  You have listed several good
 points and I will take them into consideration.

 My main issue with the current models is that new processes and
 interactions are being uncovered frequently which modify the behavior of
 the models in a significant manner.  I ask what would be the output of a
 model at the end of this century that had all of the known and
 unknown pertinent factors taken into consideration?  The recent
 acknowledgement of a new factor that allows for a 30 year pause in
 temperature rise is not an issue to be taken lightly.  It also inflicts
 upon me the concern that there are likely more of these factors that remain
 hidden as of today.

 I suspect you have relied upon curve fitting routines in the past and
 realize that enough variables can be chosen and adjusted to match any set
 of input data as closely as desired as long as that data is sparse.  You
 also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields
 coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.
 Many combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data over a
 restricted range.  The problem shows up once you use those
 different coefficients to project the curve forwards into unknown future
 points.

 We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that
 I am speaking of.  The old data apparently matched the functional
 relationship that the modelers have chosen to an excellent degree until the
 pause.  They were confident that no pause would appear and many suggested
 that they would be worried if the pause lasted for more than about 5
 years.  As we know that time period came and passed and the pause continued
 which forced many of these guys to seek an explanation.

 Now, after several more years of unexpected pause, they have come up
 with their best explanation due to the 30 year Atlantic current cycle.
 Where was this cycle included during the long hockey stick period?  Some
 might consider that the high rate of heating during the earlier period
 might have come about due to added heating by this same cycle.  That
 certainly makes sense to me.

 So, I can not help but to question predictions that have been based upon
 a defective model.  Furthermore, how confident can you possibly be that
 these guys now have all the important factors included within their
 models?  The proof can only be demonstrated by the performance of the
 models during a period of time where they show reasonable results that
 compare to the real world.  We are seeking knowledge of the world's climate
 in 100 years time as we make plans to counter the 

Re: [Vo]:Novel physics/chemistry?

2014-08-25 Thread H Veeder
On Fri, Aug 22, 2014 at 5:47 PM, mix...@bigpond.com wrote:

 In reply to  H Veeder's message of Fri, 22 Aug 2014 02:32:18 -0400:
 Hi,
 [snip]
 The novel part happens when the drop of metal turns black and then
 transparent and then explodes.
 Harry
 
 
 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIGMfai_ICg
 
 Invisible Metal (better than transparent Aluminium!)

 I don't think it is transparent metal. IMO, what you see at the end is a
 droplet
 of molten alkali-hydroxide momentarily suspended on a layer of Hydrogen and
 steam. Molten hydroxide should indeed be transparent. Note that it doesn't
 become transparent until the dark blue disappears, which happens when
 there are
 no more solvated electrons, and that doesn't happen until the last of the
 metal
 is gone. Furthermore, while metal exists, heat is being generated to
 maintain
 the steam layer, once it's gone, the steam layer vanishes and the droplet
 makes
 contact with the water. Alkali-hydroxides dissolve in water quite nicely,
 particularly when hot, which is what causes the explosion at the end.

 Regards,

 Robin van Spaandonk

 http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html


The narrator of the video says if the drop is alkali-hydroxide it should
sink because according to him alkali-hydroxide is denser than water.
Are you arguing that the drop is indeed alkali-hydroxide but it is kept
afloat by riding a cushion steam like a hovercraft rides a cushion of air?

Harry


Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
CO2 levels were 5 times higher during Jurassic than today, 3 C higher

http://www.livescience.com/44330-Jurassic-dinosaur-carbon-dioxide.html
Dinosaurs that roamed the Earth 250 million years ago knew a world with
five times more carbon dioxide than is present on Earth today, researchers
say, and new techniques for estimating the amount of carbon dioxide on
prehistoric Earth may help scientists predict how Earth's climate may
change...

Avg temps Jurassic vs. today 3C higher
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic

Mean atmospheric O
2 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen content over period duration
ca. 26 Vol %[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic#cite_note-1
(130 % of modern level)

Mean atmospheric CO
2 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide content over period duration
ca. 1950 ppm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parts_per_million[2]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic#cite_note-2
(7 times pre-industrial level)

Mean surface temperature over period duration
ca. 16.5 °C[3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic#cite_note-3
(3 °C above modern level)

I say fire up the gas turbines  distributed PV until something better
comes along


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:28 PM, CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com wrote:

 Opps, my bad, I'm too quick to use google.  Delta 10.8 Degree F is
 correct.  Where was my brain? Duhh. Embarrassing, but thank you for
 correcting me.  Still that is a major change and would effect many many
 different eco systems, and AGW effects already have upset several.  10.8 is
 an average across the globe, and completely ignores weather.  One of the
 main aspects of global warming is how much energy it puts into the
 atmosphere, land and oceans.  In the case of oceans, much is put into the
 evaporation of water, which puts more humidity in the air, which is also a
 green house gas, that further adds more energy into the oceans.   Cold
 fronts from the polar regions would cause the water vapor to condense and
 rain, but as the polar regions warm, that might not happen.

 Similarly a delta of 10.8F  or 6C will release more methane gasses from
 melting permafrost or from thawing methane clathrate on the bottom of the
 ocean floor.  Some people believe methane (CH4) is bigger threat than CO2.

 http://www.global-warming-forecasts.com/methane-carbon-dioxide.php

 If that animal is released we really could be talking delta T's in the
 42.8F range and worst.



 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:52 PM, CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com wrote:

 Since google.



 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 1:37 PM, Bob Cook frobertc...@hotmail.com
 wrote:

  Since when does 6 C correspond with 42.8 F?

 Sent from Windows Mail

 *From:* CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com
 *Sent:* ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎12‎ ‎PM
 *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com

 Jojo, I really think you miss the point.  Let assume a moment the global
 average temperature was 6C above average.  That is 42.8 degrees Fahrenheit!
  You and the deniers have got to get an understanding of what that means.
  It means extinction of life as we know it.  I know you deniers think some
 how man kind will survive.  To be honest, I think that is doubtful.
  Economic systems will not survive, food supplies will not provide, and
 warring political systems will doom the planet.

 I really don't need to say much more, reality will take control and play
 out future events that the deniers will bitch about all the way to the
 extinction of man.




 On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

 Eric, I realize how complex the problem that these guys are facing must
 be.  That is the root cause of their problem.  You have listed several good
 points and I will take them into consideration.

 My main issue with the current models is that new processes and
 interactions are being uncovered frequently which modify the behavior of
 the models in a significant manner.  I ask what would be the output of a
 model at the end of this century that had all of the known and
 unknown pertinent factors taken into consideration?  The recent
 acknowledgement of a new factor that allows for a 30 year pause in
 temperature rise is not an issue to be taken lightly.  It also inflicts
 upon me the concern that there are likely more of these factors that remain
 hidden as of today.

 I suspect you have relied upon curve fitting routines in the past and
 realize that enough variables can be chosen and adjusted to match any set
 of input data as closely as desired as long as that data is sparse.  You
 also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields
 coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.
 Many combinations of coefficients will fit the input/output data over a
 restricted range.  The problem shows up once you use those
 different coefficients to project the curve forwards into unknown future
 points.

 We are now clearly in witness to an example of the type of problem that
 I am speaking of.  The old data apparently matched 

Re: [Vo]:Accuracy of Carbon Dating

2014-08-25 Thread CB Sites
Opps I meant C14.  Here is the processes;

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radiocarbon_dating




On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 11:57 AM, CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com wrote:

 Just to add a side note: CO2 from fossil fuels is also effecting carbon
 dating, as a lot of the C13 has already decayed in fossil fuels.  In fact
 that is one way we know that the CO2 causing global warming is from man
 made sources.



 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:18 AM, Daniel Rocha danieldi...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Jojo, my dear alien, you cannot do carbon dating of anything past ~1950
 because there is a lot of contamination due C13 from nuclear explosions.

 The mammoth ages seem OK, it is usual to find parts of different animals
 together.

  You don't take the age of non living things with carbon dating. Carbon
 dating don't go to 300ka, there isn't calibration for that. An age like
 this mean you have just measured background contamination.

 Old Amerindian remains, specially during the 80's, were involved in many
 controversies, since the mainstream academic view was that the Clovis
 culture had to be the oldest, and any pre Clovis  was considered outright
 bullshit. So, there was a lot of nitpicking to lower the age of these
 outliers.


 --
 Daniel Rocha - RJ
 danieldi...@gmail.com





Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
Also the great mass extinction we are in is not due to global warming, it
is primarily billions of watts of pulsed electromagnetic radiation
destroying natures health along with all the other pollution humans generate


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:41 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 CO2 levels were 5 times higher during Jurassic than today, 3 C higher

 http://www.livescience.com/44330-Jurassic-dinosaur-carbon-dioxide.html
 Dinosaurs that roamed the Earth 250 million years ago knew a world with
 five times more carbon dioxide than is present on Earth today, researchers
 say, and new techniques for estimating the amount of carbon dioxide on
 prehistoric Earth may help scientists predict how Earth's climate may
 change...

 Avg temps Jurassic vs. today 3C higher
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic

 Mean atmospheric O
 2 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen content over period duration
 ca. 26 Vol %[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic#cite_note-1
 (130 % of modern level)

 Mean atmospheric CO
 2 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide content over period
 duration
 ca. 1950 ppm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parts_per_million[2]
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic#cite_note-2
 (7 times pre-industrial level)

 Mean surface temperature over period duration
 ca. 16.5 °C[3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurassic#cite_note-3
 (3 °C above modern level)

 I say fire up the gas turbines  distributed PV until something better
 comes along


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:28 PM, CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com wrote:

 Opps, my bad, I'm too quick to use google.  Delta 10.8 Degree F is
 correct.  Where was my brain? Duhh. Embarrassing, but thank you for
 correcting me.  Still that is a major change and would effect many many
 different eco systems, and AGW effects already have upset several.  10.8 is
 an average across the globe, and completely ignores weather.  One of the
 main aspects of global warming is how much energy it puts into the
 atmosphere, land and oceans.  In the case of oceans, much is put into the
 evaporation of water, which puts more humidity in the air, which is also a
 green house gas, that further adds more energy into the oceans.   Cold
 fronts from the polar regions would cause the water vapor to condense and
 rain, but as the polar regions warm, that might not happen.

 Similarly a delta of 10.8F  or 6C will release more methane gasses from
 melting permafrost or from thawing methane clathrate on the bottom of the
 ocean floor.  Some people believe methane (CH4) is bigger threat than CO2.

 http://www.global-warming-forecasts.com/methane-carbon-dioxide.php

 If that animal is released we really could be talking delta T's in the
 42.8F range and worst.



 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:52 PM, CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com wrote:

 Since google.



 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 1:37 PM, Bob Cook frobertc...@hotmail.com
 wrote:

  Since when does 6 C correspond with 42.8 F?

 Sent from Windows Mail

 *From:* CB Sites cbsit...@gmail.com
 *Sent:* ‎Sunday‎, ‎August‎ ‎24‎, ‎2014 ‎7‎:‎12‎ ‎PM
 *To:* vortex-l@eskimo.com

 Jojo, I really think you miss the point.  Let assume a moment the
 global average temperature was 6C above average.  That is 42.8 degrees
 Fahrenheit!  You and the deniers have got to get an understanding of what
 that means.  It means extinction of life as we know it.  I know you deniers
 think some how man kind will survive.  To be honest, I think that is
 doubtful.  Economic systems will not survive, food supplies will not
 provide, and warring political systems will doom the planet.

 I really don't need to say much more, reality will take control and
 play out future events that the deniers will bitch about all the way to the
 extinction of man.




 On Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:38 PM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
 wrote:

 Eric, I realize how complex the problem that these guys are facing
 must be.  That is the root cause of their problem.  You have listed 
 several
 good points and I will take them into consideration.

 My main issue with the current models is that new processes and
 interactions are being uncovered frequently which modify the behavior of
 the models in a significant manner.  I ask what would be the output of a
 model at the end of this century that had all of the known and
 unknown pertinent factors taken into consideration?  The recent
 acknowledgement of a new factor that allows for a 30 year pause in
 temperature rise is not an issue to be taken lightly.  It also inflicts
 upon me the concern that there are likely more of these factors that 
 remain
 hidden as of today.

 I suspect you have relied upon curve fitting routines in the past and
 realize that enough variables can be chosen and adjusted to match any set
 of input data as closely as desired as long as that data is sparse.  You
 also probably realize that a polynomial fit to a high power order yields
 coefficients that vary depending upon the order of the polynomial chosen.
 Many combinations 

Re: [Vo]:SunCell - Initial Replication Attempt

2014-08-25 Thread Axil Axil
Dear Jack,



I would be interested in seeing what happens when some chlorine bleach is
used instead of water.



Chlorine produces a UV laser output when combined with hydrogen in an arc.
Mills uses chlorine and so did Papp.




On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:15 PM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote:

 Hi Folks,

 I was excited to receive my spot welder today.  After ensuring it was in
 working order, I decided to get right to it and see if I could get anything
 like what BLP showed.  Lo and behold I got something on the first try.

 I remembered Mills talking about all the different possibilities for types
 of conductors that they might use in the commercial device, and copper was
 one of them.  I cut a very small piece of copper wire, dipped it in water,
 placed it on the electrodes, hit the switch, and pop with some bright
 light!

 Here's a link to the vid.  Sorry for the bad camera work.

 Let me know what you think.  I'll do another vid soon in complete
 darkness.

 http://youtu.be/d6XYqEhwZgA

 Jack



Re: [Vo]:Novel physics/chemistry?

2014-08-25 Thread mixent
In reply to  H Veeder's message of Mon, 25 Aug 2014 21:34:52 -0400:
Hi Harry,

Now actually *read* the message you replied to.

On Fri, Aug 22, 2014 at 5:47 PM, mix...@bigpond.com wrote:

 In reply to  H Veeder's message of Fri, 22 Aug 2014 02:32:18 -0400:
 Hi,
 [snip]
 The novel part happens when the drop of metal turns black and then
 transparent and then explodes.
 Harry
 
 
 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIGMfai_ICg
 
 Invisible Metal (better than transparent Aluminium!)

 I don't think it is transparent metal. IMO, what you see at the end is a
 droplet
 of molten alkali-hydroxide momentarily suspended on a layer of Hydrogen and
 steam. Molten hydroxide should indeed be transparent. Note that it doesn't
 become transparent until the dark blue disappears, which happens when
 there are
 no more solvated electrons, and that doesn't happen until the last of the
 metal
 is gone. Furthermore, while metal exists, heat is being generated to
 maintain
 the steam layer, once it's gone, the steam layer vanishes and the droplet
 makes
 contact with the water. Alkali-hydroxides dissolve in water quite nicely,
 particularly when hot, which is what causes the explosion at the end.

 Regards,

 Robin van Spaandonk

 http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html


The narrator of the video says if the drop is alkali-hydroxide it should
sink because according to him alkali-hydroxide is denser than water.
Are you arguing that the drop is indeed alkali-hydroxide but it is kept
afloat by riding a cushion steam like a hovercraft rides a cushion of air?

Harry
Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html



RE: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread Orionworks - Steven Vincent Johnson
From Jojo

 

 By Darwinian Evolution - I mean Macro-Evolution of one species (One kind)

 turning into another species (another kind).  I do not mean micro-evolution

 (aka variation, aka adaptation.)  I know micro-evolution occurs.  I want

 macro-evolution demonstrated and observed.   Please state just one example

 where this mechanism is observed and repeatable.  Darwinists claim that

 their theory is settled science, and as Jed and other correctly pointed

 out, science for it to be science must be repeatable.  I would like to

 see one example (just one example) where this is observed and repeated. 

 (Maybe not even repeated - just observed)

 

Butting in here... 

 

Seems to me that Macro-Evolution is nothing more than Micro-Evolution happening 
on a much longer geological time-scale. I don't see what the big deal is. Why 
is it so important to make the distinction between what is considered micro 
versus macro. To me it makes logical sense to assume that stringing a couple 
hundred thousand micro changes together on a long successive string of 
successive micro-mutations will inevitably end up with blatant macro-mutation 
changes - when compared with what one started with. To me macro changes would 
have to be inevitable outcome. One just needs enough time for the baking 
process to complete.

 

In a sense I think it is also somewhat of a misconception to describe Macro 
evolution as starting with species :A and then ending up with species B.  
Macro evolution isn't about a start point, nor an end point. Macro evolution 
about the present and only the present. It doesn't care one whit about what 
happened yesterday, and it has no idea what to expect tomorrow. There is only 
one goal: to survive in the present. According to evolution theory, this is a 
never-ending process of constant change and adaption to minute changes in 
current environment conditions. But again, there really isn't any start and end 
point. I think it would be more accurate to describe both species A and 
species B as nothing more than tiny snapshots belonging to the uncompleted 
motion feature film showing the motion of evolution in constant change. This 
would be a film that for all tense and purposes never ends.

 

There is no practical way to conduct a science experiment in a laboratory on 
observing Macro evolution changing a complex multi-cellular organism from 
species A to species B, particularly when it takes geological time to make 
the transformation blatantly obvious.

 

OTOH, it might be interesting to see if it's possible to observe the 
macro-evolution a simple organism, say a bacterium, or better yet a paramecium. 
Because their life cycles are short, one can produced countless generations 
which might allow an accumulation of micro mutations to eventually accumulate 
into macro mutations. We need to start with one kind of an environment and then 
gradually change the conditions in order to allow evolution to manifest a 
radically different organism over several years. Make sure the environmental 
changes occur reasonably slow so that the organism has time to produce 
FAVORABLE micro mutations and as such adjust micro-genetically. Keep a separate 
(original) sample of the initial organism, A ,then presumably after the 
experiment ends, compare the original genetic mapping with the later time-line 
genetic mapping. One important point to see if we really have produced new 
organism: The new organism must be so different that it is incapable of living 
in the environmental conditions of where its progenitors came from, and vice 
versa. For example, organism A can only live in temperatures of 50 degrees 
below, and organism B can only live in temperatures above 100 degrees... 
something like that.

 

Regards,

Steven Vincent Johnson

svjart.orionworks.com

zazzle.com/orionworks 

 



Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Eric Walker
On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 11:43 AM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
wrote:

Eric, you don't seem to understand what the IPCC is.  They are eXACTLY as
 called out -- REPRESENTATIVE of the anthropomorphic climate change thesis.


For the sake of argument, let's assume that it was not just selected
members of the IPPC, but the entire committee, that are corrupt.  What
would you have us conclude about the integrity of the majority of climate
scientists as a result?

Perhaps there are some climate scientists here.  For the climate scientists
out there -- are you corrupt?  If so, why have you not learned virtue and
integrity from the engineers on this list?  What is keeping you from
leading an upright life?

Eric


Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

 To Jed and the rest of Darwinian Evolutionists here:

 I have a simple question:

 1.  What is your best evidence of Darwinian Evolution occuring?


There are thousands of books full of irrefutable proof that Darwinian
evolution is occurring. For you, or anyone else, to question it is exactly
like questioning Newton's law of gravity, or the fact that bacteria causes
disease.

I am not going to debate this. Anyone who denies basic science on this
level is grossly ignorant. These nonsensical distinctions between macro-
and micro-level evolution have no basis in fact. They are the product of
religious creationism, which is sacrilegious nonsense, since it posits God
as a cosmic deceiver who filled every nook and cranny of life with proof of
evolution just as a trick to fool us.

If you want to learn about evolution and biology, read a textbook. Don't
annoy people who know the subject.

I will not try to spoon-feed you facts about nature that you should have
learned in 3rd grade. Anyone who makes the kind of ridiculous assertions
about evolution that you make is beyond my help. I spent far too much time
trying to educate people about cold fusion. When people have no idea of how
the laws of thermodynamics operate, or the difference between power and
energy, there is no chance they can understand cold fusion. It is a waste
of time trying to explain it. I have uploaded papers on cold fusion,
including some guides for beginners. Other people have uploaded beginner's
guides to evolution. Learn from them, or wallow in ignorance. Your choice.
As Arthur Clarke used to say: over and out!

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:SunCell - Initial Replication Attempt

2014-08-25 Thread Jack Cole
Hi Axil,

I can give that a try.  What would you expect to see and how will we know
if UV is emitted?

Best,
Jack



On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:55 PM, Axil Axil janap...@gmail.com wrote:

 Dear Jack,



 I would be interested in seeing what happens when some chlorine bleach is
 used instead of water.



 Chlorine produces a UV laser output when combined with hydrogen in an arc.
 Mills uses chlorine and so did Papp.




 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:15 PM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote:

 Hi Folks,

 I was excited to receive my spot welder today.  After ensuring it was in
 working order, I decided to get right to it and see if I could get anything
 like what BLP showed.  Lo and behold I got something on the first try.

 I remembered Mills talking about all the different possibilities for
 types of conductors that they might use in the commercial device, and
 copper was one of them.  I cut a very small piece of copper wire, dipped it
 in water, placed it on the electrodes, hit the switch, and pop with some
 bright light!

 Here's a link to the vid.  Sorry for the bad camera work.

 Let me know what you think.  I'll do another vid soon in complete
 darkness.

 http://youtu.be/d6XYqEhwZgA

 Jack





Re: [Vo]:SunCell - Initial Replication Attempt

2014-08-25 Thread Eric Walker
On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 7:59 PM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote:


 I can give that a try.  What would you expect to see and how will we know
 if UV is emitted?


Be careful about fumes.  I recall reading that chlorine can form some
pretty nasty compounds under the right conditions.

Eric


Re: [Vo]:SunCell - Initial Replication Attempt

2014-08-25 Thread Axil Axil
A UV light, say at 244 nm or 300 nm, can not be seen at all with a human
eye. However if you put a piece of paper in its path the paper will glow
blue. This happens because the UV excites blue dyes in the paper (the paper
manufacturers put blue dyes in all papers to make them appear more
'white'). This also happens to your white shirts when you walk under a
'dark UV lamp' in a disco bar or in one of those stores that sell glow in
the dark stuff.

For more see

http://chemistry.about.com/cs/howthingswork/f/blblacklight.htm


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 10:59 PM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote:

 Hi Axil,

 I can give that a try.  What would you expect to see and how will we know
 if UV is emitted?

 Best,
 Jack



 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:55 PM, Axil Axil janap...@gmail.com wrote:

 Dear Jack,



 I would be interested in seeing what happens when some chlorine bleach is
 used instead of water.



 Chlorine produces a UV laser output when combined with hydrogen in an
 arc. Mills uses chlorine and so did Papp.




 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:15 PM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote:

 Hi Folks,

 I was excited to receive my spot welder today.  After ensuring it was in
 working order, I decided to get right to it and see if I could get anything
 like what BLP showed.  Lo and behold I got something on the first try.

 I remembered Mills talking about all the different possibilities for
 types of conductors that they might use in the commercial device, and
 copper was one of them.  I cut a very small piece of copper wire, dipped it
 in water, placed it on the electrodes, hit the switch, and pop with some
 bright light!

 Here's a link to the vid.  Sorry for the bad camera work.

 Let me know what you think.  I'll do another vid soon in complete
 darkness.

 http://youtu.be/d6XYqEhwZgA

 Jack






Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread James Bowery
Jojo, I'm a genuine evolutionist.  I don't pick and choose when to turn on
and off my intellectual integrity regarding evolution.  One thing my theory
tells me is that you, like so many others who are irrationally religous,
are doing what is necessary to survive in the hell hole that has been
created of our civilization.

I sympathize with your religious beliefs and, unlike scum like Dawkins et
al, I do not begrudge them you.

Please, let us continue to with our separate beliefs and work together
where we can.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 7:57 PM, Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  To Jed and the rest of Darwinian Evolutionists here:

 I have a simple question:

 1.  What is your best evidence of Darwinian Evolution occuring?

 By Darwinian Evolution - I mean Macro-Evolution of one species (One kind)
 turning into another species (another kind).  I do not mean micro-evolution
 (aka variation, aka adaptation.)  I know micro-evolution occurs.  I want
 macro-evolution demonstrated and observed.   Please state just one
 example where this mechanism is observed and repeatable.  Darwinists
 claim that their theory is settled science, and as Jed and other correctly
 pointed out, science for it to be science must be repeatable.  I would like
 to see one example (just one example) where this is observed and repeated.
 (Maybe not even repeated - just observed)




 Jojo





Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread ChemE Stewart
I think all of us, including the universe are creating every day, evolving
every day and dying a little each day.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 11:24 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 Jojo, I'm a genuine evolutionist.  I don't pick and choose when to turn on
 and off my intellectual integrity regarding evolution.  One thing my theory
 tells me is that you, like so many others who are irrationally religous,
 are doing what is necessary to survive in the hell hole that has been
 created of our civilization.

 I sympathize with your religious beliefs and, unlike scum like Dawkins et
 al, I do not begrudge them you.

 Please, let us continue to with our separate beliefs and work together
 where we can.


 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 7:57 PM, Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com
 wrote:

  To Jed and the rest of Darwinian Evolutionists here:

 I have a simple question:

 1.  What is your best evidence of Darwinian Evolution occuring?

 By Darwinian Evolution - I mean Macro-Evolution of one species (One kind)
 turning into another species (another kind).  I do not mean micro-evolution
 (aka variation, aka adaptation.)  I know micro-evolution occurs.  I want
 macro-evolution demonstrated and observed.   Please state just one
 example where this mechanism is observed and repeatable.  Darwinists
 claim that their theory is settled science, and as Jed and other correctly
 pointed out, science for it to be science must be repeatable.  I would like
 to see one example (just one example) where this is observed and repeated.
 (Maybe not even repeated - just observed)




 Jojo







[Vo]:the article is full of LENR physics

2014-08-25 Thread Axil Axil
http://phys.org/news/2014-08-confine-crystal-surface-transparent-nanoparticles.html

This explains how heat can be converted into dipole motion, the source of
LENR power as follows:

Silver has conducting electrons, and when the particular blue wavelength
interacts with them, those conducting electrons will oscillate back and
forth strongly. It's a resonance phenomenon. At that point, you'll get
very strong light scattering, Hsu explains. The phenomenon is called a
localized surface plasmon resonance.

 In the case of the Ni/H reactor, heat is converted to vigorous dipole
motion.

I believe one possible way that gamma rays are converted to XUV may be
through an embedded eigenstate


Re: [Vo]:Evolutionists As Idiots

2014-08-25 Thread Axil Axil
One reason why JoJo's systems do not work is that he spends a great deal of
time posting and not enough experimenting. He expects other people to do
his work for him.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:57 PM, Jojo Iznart jojoiznar...@gmail.com wrote:

  To Jed and the rest of Darwinian Evolutionists here:

 I have a simple question:

 1.  What is your best evidence of Darwinian Evolution occuring?

 By Darwinian Evolution - I mean Macro-Evolution of one species (One kind)
 turning into another species (another kind).  I do not mean micro-evolution
 (aka variation, aka adaptation.)  I know micro-evolution occurs.  I want
 macro-evolution demonstrated and observed.   Please state just one
 example where this mechanism is observed and repeatable.  Darwinists
 claim that their theory is settled science, and as Jed and other correctly
 pointed out, science for it to be science must be repeatable.  I would like
 to see one example (just one example) where this is observed and repeated.
 (Maybe not even repeated - just observed)




 Jojo





Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Kevin O'Malley
I'm not all that interested in passing judgement on the integrity of the
majority of climate scientists.  I'm interested in seeing if there's real
science behind this constantly-changing thesis.  My conclusion at this time
is:  NO.  What is there has been driven more by politics than science.

Maybe these scientists-with-an-agenda can put together a model that lasts
longer than a decade before some unforeseen aspect throws off their
precious theory, or they can curve fit without simply cheating.  But I
doubt it, based upon past performance.

In that upcoming decade, LENR will hit, and hit hard.  It's cleaner 
greener than fossil fuels, so it  should make those enviroweenies feel
good.


On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 7:32 PM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 11:43 AM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Eric, you don't seem to understand what the IPCC is.  They are eXACTLY as
 called out -- REPRESENTATIVE of the anthropomorphic climate change thesis.


 For the sake of argument, let's assume that it was not just selected
 members of the IPPC, but the entire committee, that are corrupt.  What
 would you have us conclude about the integrity of the majority of climate
 scientists as a result?

 Perhaps there are some climate scientists here.  For the climate
 scientists out there -- are you corrupt?  If so, why have you not learned
 virtue and integrity from the engineers on this list?  What is keeping you
 from leading an upright life?

 Eric




Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Eric Walker
On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:23 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com wrote:

 This doesn't mean that they need to be able to forecast tomorrow's lottery
 numbers ( in effect) but we should expect that they can create predictive
 graphs that follow emerging reality with a reasonable fit - and frankly,
 that's where the problem seems to be.


Given your acquaintance with the field and familiarity with its complete
failure to predict anything, I am confident that you and others will be
able to draw to our attention to a persistent pattern of failed predictions
that demonstrate, beyond a handful of high-profile news-makers, a chronic
record of a science-that-is-not-a-science.  I'm sure you can help us to
better understand the poor state of the field by characterizing the error
of climate science with some specificity -- for example, no climate model
has had a record of predicting the three-year moving average temperature to
better than 60 percent (10 percent above random) when run over a period of
more than 10 years (this is an example that I pulled out of thin air).  To
demonstrate the failure of a field, obviously we will not be able to do
very much with a handful of prominent failures.  We must show that the all
of the work of the field, taken together, is as good as rolling dice for
helping us to understand long term climate change.

I would be very interested in some quantification of the failure of climate
science.

Eric


Re: [Vo]:SunCell - Initial Replication Attempt

2014-08-25 Thread David Roberson
Good warning.  Chlorine gas can do great damage to your lungs and even cause 
death.

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Mon, Aug 25, 2014 11:02 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:SunCell - Initial Replication Attempt



On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 7:59 PM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote:

 


I can give that a try.  What would you expect to see and how will we know if UV 
is emitted?




Be careful about fumes.  I recall reading that chlorine can form some pretty 
nasty compounds under the right conditions.


Eric





Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread Eric Walker
On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:26 PM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:

I'm not all that interested in passing judgement on the integrity of the
 majority of climate scientists.  I'm interested in seeing if there's real
 science behind this constantly-changing thesis.  My conclusion at this time
 is:  NO.  What is there has been driven more by politics than science.


Climate Corporation is a startup in San Francisco, not far from where I
work, that use climate models to price insurance policies for farmers that
want to insure their crops.  You should definitely warn these guys that
they're in for a huge loss, because there's no science behind what they're
doing:

https://www.climate.com/

Alternatively, if you think you can time things right, you should take out
a short position on Monsanto, their parent company, for their
blockheadedness in acquiring them.

Eric


Re: [Vo]:global warming?

2014-08-25 Thread David Roberson
Eric, all you have to do is to read about the current long lasting pause in 
warming along with the statement from these guys that this pause might last 
until 2025.  Since the pause was 100% not predicted and instead should have 
been a more rapid rise, how much more in error could they be?  Of course, with 
hindsight, they suggest that there is an, until now, unknown Atlantic current 
effect which explains the pause.

How on earth could you or anybody else believe that they will be correct in 
their predictions over a 100 year period with this sort of track record?   Are 
you confident that they now have all the correct variables under control?
With the sort of error that has arisen, it is entirely possible that they have 
missed the boat completely and we might actually be heading into a cooling 
period.  

They do not merit a free pass like some seem to imply.  Also, it does not take 
an advanced degree or the requirement that a skeptic be a climatologist to 
evaluate their work.  Their model outputs are their contact to the public and 
decision makers and anyone can observe how poorly their predictions match the 
real world data.

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Tue, Aug 26, 2014 12:56 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]:global warming?



On Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 8:23 AM, Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com wrote:



This doesn't mean that they need to be able to forecast tomorrow's lottery 
numbers ( in effect) but we should expect that they can create predictive 
graphs that follow emerging reality with a reasonable fit - and frankly, that's 
where the problem seems to be.




Given your acquaintance with the field and familiarity with its complete 
failure to predict anything, I am confident that you and others will be able to 
draw to our attention to a persistent pattern of failed predictions that 
demonstrate, beyond a handful of high-profile news-makers, a chronic record of 
a science-that-is-not-a-science.  I'm sure you can help us to better understand 
the poor state of the field by characterizing the error of climate science with 
some specificity -- for example, no climate model has had a record of 
predicting the three-year moving average temperature to better than 60 percent 
(10 percent above random) when run over a period of more than 10 years (this 
is an example that I pulled out of thin air).  To demonstrate the failure of a 
field, obviously we will not be able to do very much with a handful of 
prominent failures.  We must show that the all of the work of the field, taken 
together, is as good as rolling dice for helping us to understand long term 
climate change.


I would be very interested in some quantification of the failure of climate 
science.


Eric