[EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-09-03 Thread Michael Allan
Kristofer, Fred and Jameson, Kristofer Munsterhjelm wrote: This can also be used to validate Warren's proof. Say that we have one set of ballots X_a, where A is the unique winner, and another set of ballots X_b, where A is not the unique winner. Then by permuting X_a into X_b one vote at a

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-09-01 Thread Fred Gohlke
Good Morning, JQ re: ... I do not think that you can ... conclude that any method which does not reach all those goals (i.e., all voters being able to participate in meaningful fashion) is thereby useless. In fact, I think that such imperfect methods are necessary stepping

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-31 Thread Fred Gohlke
Thanks for the link to Rousseau, Mike. I haven't read it, but need to. Fred Gohlke Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-31 Thread Fred Gohlke
Good Afternoon, Mr. Quinn On Mon, 29 Aug 2011 @ 07:25:31 you cited a portion of Michael Allan's Sun, 28 Aug 2011 @ 23:24:48 post to me, to wit: ... But if we (this is my hope) can cogently demonstrate this failing to the experts in this list, especially in terms of the voting

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-31 Thread Jameson Quinn
2011/8/31 Fred Gohlke fredgoh...@verizon.net Good Afternoon, Mr. Quinn On Mon, 29 Aug 2011 @ 07:25:31 you cited a portion of Michael Allan's Sun, 28 Aug 2011 @ 23:24:48 post to me, to wit: ... But if we (this is my hope) can cogently demonstrate this failing to the experts in this

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-31 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm
(Resubmitting to the list as Michael Allan suggested :-) Michael Allan wrote: Warren Smith wrote: --no. A single ballot can change the outcome of an election. This is true in any election method which is capable of having at least two outcomes. Proof: simply change ballots one by one until

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-30 Thread Michael Allan
Jameson, Jonathan and Fred, Jameson Quinn wrote: ...all of which merely serve to minimize its practical importance, not to assail its mathematical validity. I guess the critique is not aimed so much at the formal, mathematical validity of the method, as its actual validity in the real world.

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-29 Thread Jameson Quinn
Dave Ketchum wrote: NOT true, for the vote, without the voter's vote, could be a tie - and the voter's vote mattering. That notion of effect has several drawbacks: ...all of which merely serve to minimize its practical importance, not to assail its mathematical validity. ... But if

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-29 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 29, 2011, at 6:25 AM, Jameson Quinn wrote: Dave Ketchum wrote: NOT true, for the vote, without the voter's vote, could be a tie - and the voter's vote mattering. That notion of effect has several drawbacks: ...all of which merely serve to minimize its practical importance, not

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-29 Thread Kathy Dopp
From: matt welland m...@kiatoa.com To: EM Methods election-methods@lists.electorama.com Subject: Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof) and a        (new?) metric for voting systems Here in the US we have these things called polls which happen periodically prior to the real

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-29 Thread Fred Gohlke
Good Afternoon, Michael re: ... every voter has that right (to influence the choice of candidates and the issues on which they vote), but is forever cheated of it precisely because the election method grants no electoral power whatsoever to the voter, but instead renders his

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-28 Thread matt welland
On Sat, 2011-08-27 at 16:22 -0400, Michael Allan wrote: But not for voting. The voting system guarantees that my vote will have no effect and I would look rather foolish to suppose otherwise. This presents a serious problem. Do you agree? Dave Ketchum wrote: TRULY, this

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-28 Thread Michael Allan
Matt and Dave, Matt Welland wrote: The meaning of an individual vote is mostly irrelevant and pointless to discuss. ... The individual vote itself is irrelevant? We know that the vote is the formal expression of what a person thinks in regard to an electoral issue. Do you mean: (a) What

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof) and a (new?) metric for voting systems

2011-08-28 Thread matt welland
On Sun, 2011-08-28 at 04:32 -0400, Michael Allan wrote: Matt and Dave, Matt Welland wrote: The meaning of an individual vote is mostly irrelevant and pointless to discuss. ... The individual vote itself is irrelevant? We know that the vote is the formal expression of what a person

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-28 Thread Dave Ketchum
On Aug 28, 2011, at 4:32 AM, Michael Allan wrote: Matt and Dave, Matt Welland wrote: The meaning of an individual vote is mostly irrelevant and pointless to discuss. ... The individual vote itself is irrelevant? We know that the vote is the formal expression of what a person thinks in

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-28 Thread fsimmons
An example, due to Samuel Merrill (of Brams, Fishburn, and Merrill fame), simply normalizes the scores on each range ballot the same way that we convert a garden variety normal random variable into a standard one: i.e. on each ballot subtract the mean (of scores on that ballot) and

[EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-28 Thread Michael Allan
Matt, Dave and Fred, The meaning of an individual vote is mostly irrelevant ... The individual vote itself is irrelevant? We know that the vote is the formal expression of what a person thinks in regard to an electoral issue. Do you mean: (a) What the person thinks is irrelevant

Re: [EM] The meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-28 Thread matt welland
On Sun, 2011-08-28 at 23:24 -0400, Michael Allan wrote: Matt, Dave and Fred, The meaning of an individual vote is mostly irrelevant ... The individual vote itself is irrelevant? We know that the vote is the formal expression of what a person thinks in regard to an electoral

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Michael Allan
Warren Smith wrote: --no. A single ballot can change the outcome of an election. This is true in any election method which is capable of having at least two outcomes. Proof: simply change ballots one by one until the outcome changes. At the moment it changes, that single ballot changed an

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Juho Laatu
On 27.8.2011, at 2.13, Jonathan Lundell wrote: On Aug 26, 2011, at 1:17 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: On 24.8.2011, at 2.07, fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: But back to a possible generic meaning of a score or cardinal rating: if you think that candidate X would vote like you on a random issue with

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 27, 2011, at 12:25 AM, Juho Laatu wrote: On 27.8.2011, at 2.13, Jonathan Lundell wrote: On Aug 26, 2011, at 1:17 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: On 24.8.2011, at 2.07, fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: But back to a possible generic meaning of a score or cardinal rating: if you think that

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Juho Laatu
On 27.8.2011, at 17.38, Jonathan Lundell wrote: On Aug 27, 2011, at 12:25 AM, Juho Laatu wrote: On 27.8.2011, at 2.13, Jonathan Lundell wrote: On Aug 26, 2011, at 1:17 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: On 24.8.2011, at 2.07, fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: But back to a possible generic meaning of a

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Michael Allan
But not for voting. The voting system guarantees that my vote will have no effect and I would look rather foolish to suppose otherwise. This presents a serious problem. Do you agree? Dave Ketchum wrote: TRULY, this demonstrates lack of understanding of cause and effect. IF the flask

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Dave Ketchum
On Aug 27, 2011, at 4:22 PM, Michael Allan wrote: But not for voting. The voting system guarantees that my vote will have no effect and I would look rather foolish to suppose otherwise. This presents a serious problem. Do you agree? Dave Ketchum wrote: TRULY, this demonstrates lack of

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Michael Allan
Dave Ketchum wrote: Conditions surrounding elections vary but, picking on a simple example, suppose that, without your vote, there are exactly nR and nD votes. If that is the total vote you get to decide the election by creating a majority with your vote. What do nR and nD stand for? Or,

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-27 Thread Dave Ketchum
On Aug 27, 2011, at 9:23 PM, Michael Allan wrote: Dave Ketchum wrote: Conditions surrounding elections vary but, picking on a simple example, suppose that, without your vote, there are exactly nR and nD votes. If that is the total vote you get to decide the election by creating a majority

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-26 Thread fsimmons
After Kevin's and Kristopher's comments, which I agree with, I am hesitant to beat a dead horse, but I have two more things for the record that should not be overlooked: First, just as there are deterministic voting methods that elicit sincere ordinal ballots under zero information

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-26 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 26, 2011, at 12:07 PM, fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: Second, I want to get at the heart of the incommensurability complaint: in most elections some voters will have a much greater stake in the outcome than others. For some it may be a life or death issue; if X is elected your friend's

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-26 Thread Juho Laatu
On 24.8.2011, at 2.07, fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: But back to a possible generic meaning of a score or cardinal rating: if you think that candidate X would vote like you on a random issue with probability p percent, then you could give candidate X a score that is p percent of the way

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-26 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 26, 2011, at 1:17 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: On 24.8.2011, at 2.07, fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: But back to a possible generic meaning of a score or cardinal rating: if you think that candidate X would vote like you on a random issue with probability p percent, then you could give

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-25 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm
fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: Here's a link to Jobst's definitive posting on individual and social utility: http://lists.electorama.com/htdig.cgi/election-methods-electorama.com/2007-February/019631.html Also, I would like to make another comment in support of Warren's thesis that cardinal range

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Warren Smith
Lundell: Arrow would not, I think, quarrel with the claim that a cardinal ballot has a pragmatic/operational meaning as a function of its use in determining a winner. But but it's an unwarranted leap from that claim to use the ballot scores as a measure of utility. Arrows objection to

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Fred Gohlke
Michael Allan wrote: But not for voting. The voting system guarantees that my vote will have no effect and I would look rather foolish to suppose otherwise. This presents a serious problem. Do you agree? To which Warren Smith responded: --no. A single ballot can change the outcome

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Dave Ketchum
A SAD weakness about what is being said. On Aug 24, 2011, at 12:55 PM, Fred Gohlke wrote: Michael Allan wrote: But not for voting. The voting system guarantees that my vote will have no effect and I would look rather foolish to suppose otherwise. This presents a serious problem. Do you

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 24, 2011, at 7:33 AM, Warren Smith wrote: Lundell: Arrow would not, I think, quarrel with the claim that a cardinal ballot has a pragmatic/operational meaning as a function of its use in determining a winner. But but it's an unwarranted leap from that claim to use the ballot

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Jameson Quinn
2011/8/24 Jonathan Lundell jlund...@pobox.com On Aug 24, 2011, at 7:33 AM, Warren Smith wrote: Lundell: Arrow would not, I think, quarrel with the claim that a cardinal ballot has a pragmatic/operational meaning as a function of its use in determining a winner. But but it's an

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 24, 2011, at 5:42 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: 2011/8/24 Jonathan Lundell jlund...@pobox.com On Aug 24, 2011, at 7:33 AM, Warren Smith wrote: Lundell: Arrow would not, I think, quarrel with the claim that a cardinal ballot has a pragmatic/operational meaning as a function of its

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Jameson Quinn
2011/8/24 Jonathan Lundell jlund...@pobox.com On Aug 24, 2011, at 5:42 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: 2011/8/24 Jonathan Lundell jlund...@pobox.com On Aug 24, 2011, at 7:33 AM, Warren Smith wrote: Lundell: Arrow would not, I think, quarrel with the claim that a cardinal ballot has a

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 24, 2011, at 6:16 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: 2011/8/24 Jonathan Lundell jlund...@pobox.com On Aug 24, 2011, at 5:42 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: 2011/8/24 Jonathan Lundell jlund...@pobox.com On Aug 24, 2011, at 7:33 AM, Warren Smith wrote: Lundell: Arrow would not, I think,

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread fsimmons
Here's a link to Jobst's definitive posting on individual and social utility: http://lists.electorama.com/htdig.cgi/election-methods-electorama.com/2007-February/019631.html Also, I would like to make another comment in support of Warren's thesis that cardinal range scores are as meaningful or

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Kevin Venzke
Hi, It seems to me all Warren is saying is that a more practical definition of meaning would be a practical one. Arrow doesn't care about whether the definition is practical, and as you'd then expect it doesn't happen to be all that practical. The Arrow/Tideman view doesn't even care what the

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-24 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 24, 2011, at 8:16 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: : Lundell: Arrow would not, I think, quarrel with the claim that a cardinal ballot has a pragmatic/operational meaning as a function of its use in determining a winner. But but it's an unwarranted leap from that claim to use the

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-23 Thread Warren Smith
Michael Allan: The effect however of a single ballot is exactly zero. It cannot change the outcome of the election, or anything else in the objective world. --no. A single ballot can change the outcome of an election. This is true in any election method which is capable of having at least two

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-23 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 21, 2011, at 5:06 PM, Warren Smith wrote: Kenneth Arrow has worried that range-voting-type score votes might have no or unclear-to-Arrow meaning. In contrast, he considers rank-ordering-style votes to have a clear meaning. Nic Tideman has also expressed similar worries in email, but

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-23 Thread fsimmons
It seems to me that Arrow must want a unique generic meaning that people can relate to independent of the voting system. Perhaps he is right that ordinal information fits that criterion slightly better than cardinal information, but as Warren says, what really matters is the operational

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-23 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Aug 23, 2011, at 4:07 PM, fsimm...@pcc.edu wrote: It seems to me that Arrow must want a unique generic meaning that people can relate to independent of the voting system. Perhaps he is right that ordinal information fits that criterion slightly better than cardinal information, but

Re: [EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-22 Thread Michael Allan
Warren Smith wrote: Kenneth Arrow has worried that range-voting-type score votes might have no or unclear-to-Arrow meaning. In contrast, he considers rank-ordering-style votes to have a clear meaning. Nic Tideman has also expressed similar worries in email, but now about the lack of

[EM] the meaning of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-08-21 Thread Warren Smith
Kenneth Arrow has worried that range-voting-type score votes might have no or unclear-to-Arrow meaning. In contrast, he considers rank-ordering-style votes to have a clear meaning. Nic Tideman has also expressed similar worries in email, but now about the lack of meaning of an approval-style