Re: Russell's book + UD*/strings

2006-09-29 Thread Bruno Marchal


Le 26-sept.-06, à 16:03, Russell Standish a écrit :

 I would say also that interpretations could be inconsistent,


? ? ?
I guess you are using the word interpretation in some non standard 
way.
It would help us, and you, if you could work on a glossary.



 but
 perhaps there is not much difference between interpretation and
 theory. Would you say There is a red flower is a theory, or merely
 an interpretation of an image?

It could be a theory, ... then if you interpret the word red by the 
adjective green with its usual meaning, and the word flower by 
inhabitant of the planet mars, then the interpretation of there is a 
red flower is a correct theory with respect to realities where there 
are green inhabitant on Mars, and incorrect in the realities where 
there are no green inhabitant on Mars.
In that sense there is a red flower can be seen as a theory. I assume 
here that there is is borrowed from a classical logic in the 
background.


 If it were possible to view the entire Nothing,

?


 it would be
 an inconsistent interpretation. However it is not so possible, and
 indeed it may be true that it is impossible to have an inconsistent
 interpretation (I do not assert this however).


I think it would be helpful to use the standard meaning of those term, 
or at least, to define them precisely if you use them in some other 
sense.


 Indeed - however we do have a difference in emphasis. Yours is towards
 more formal models, but with obscure modeling relations,

My emphasis is on machine which are formal by construction, and the 
obscure modeling relation are old and new theorems in mathematical 
logic. It is just applied mathematics.
The modelling relations are strange and mysterious, but this is just 
because Godel and Lob theorems are somehow themselves strange and 
mysterious.



 But is this 1-3 distinction implicit within your statement of COMP?
 I'm not sure that it is.

I think it is, and the following quote makes me thing you believe this 
too, at least in the quantum framework, when you say:
Collapse is conceived of as a physical process, and as such is
problematic. Nonphysical collapse is just the 1 POV of the
Multiverse. That's all I'm talking about.

 It is not new, it underlies all of Chapter 2 of my book, and also of
 Why Occams Razor. Perhaps I'm guilty of assuming it without
 explicitly stating it, but by way of challenge can you give me a piece
 of knowledge that doesn't come in the form of a string?

Knowledge comes from third person finite strings, with a measure 
determined by *some* infinite strings (the non halting immaterial 
computations) generating them.

 It is
 certainly hard, given we live on the opposite sides of a digital world
 - a record of a telephone conversation we have will be a a string of
 bits, as will any emails we use, any my book left my hands in the form
 of a string of bits and so on.

OK, but that are finite strings conceived and manipulated (by your 
computer and your brain with some high level comp assumption) as 
numbers. Most test editor manipulate a structure of finite strings 
together with a concatenation or substitution structure. Again this is 
infinitely richer that your set of all infinite strings.

 I use the usual one (excluded middle), and I don't use any infinity
 axiom that I'm aware of.

Now I am very confused. I thought you were assuming infinite strings. A 
glossary would really help, I am not sure you are not changing the 
meaning of your term from paragraph to paragraph.

 Yes - I appreciate the ontological difference. I would say that only
 Nothing exists (in ontological meaning). Strings and sets of strings
 only exist in the same sense that the number 1 exists.

This contradict the definition of Nothing you gave us.


 I could elaborate a lot about the vagueness of the notion of finding
 something in the UD* (the infinite complete running of the UD).
 I could ask finding by who?, from inside? from the terrestrial
 (verifiable) view or the divine one (true but non verifiable)?, from
 which x-person point of view? Etc.
 Given that the UD cannot not dovetail on all the reals, there is a
 sense in saying all the infinite strings are generated, but this gives
 a noisy background first person machine have to live with. The UD is
 not equivalent with all infinite strings, the UD* is a static given
 of all computations. Those computations can be represented by very
 peculiar finite and infinite strings together with a non trivial
 structure inherited from computer science/number theory.


 About the only difference I see is that the measure might be 
 different...


And that *is* the key issue, I think.

 I more or less always assumed this. Either COMP is more specialised
 (you can derive some my postulates from COMP, and others are compatible
 with it), or COMP is the only way of deriving these same postulates,
 or COMP in some way contradicts these postulates.

As you admit yourself there is a lot of work to get enough precision in 

Re: Russell's book + UD*/strings

2006-09-29 Thread Russell Standish

On Fri, Sep 29, 2006 at 11:46:20AM +0200, Bruno Marchal wrote:
 
 
 Le 26-sept.-06, à 16:03, Russell Standish a écrit :
 
  I would say also that interpretations could be inconsistent,
 
 
 ? ? ?
 I guess you are using the word interpretation in some non standard 
 way.
 It would help us, and you, if you could work on a glossary.


Interpretation of something means meaning an observer attaches to
something.
 
Is this nonstandard? I wouldn't have thought so.

 
  Indeed - however we do have a difference in emphasis. Yours is towards
  more formal models, but with obscure modeling relations,
 
 My emphasis is on machine which are formal by construction, and the 
 obscure modeling relation are old and new theorems in mathematical 
 logic. It is just applied mathematics.
 The modelling relations are strange and mysterious, but this is just 
 because Godel and Lob theorems are somehow themselves strange and 
 mysterious.

But so are your postulates, for example the Theatetus notion of
knowledge is far from obvious. I can follow the logic as a formal
system, but I struggle to make sense of it (interpret it).


 
 
 
  But is this 1-3 distinction implicit within your statement of COMP?
  I'm not sure that it is.
 
 I think it is, and the following quote makes me thing you believe this 
 too, at least in the quantum framework, when you say:
 Collapse is conceived of as a physical process, and as such is
 problematic. Nonphysical collapse is just the 1 POV of the
 Multiverse. That's all I'm talking about.
 

But I have an explicit 1-3 distinction in the format of my PROJECTION
postulate, and that quoted statement is taken in that context.

Obviously I have no objection to the 1-3 distinction, but I failed to
see how it follows explicitly from AR+CT+YD, or even from I am a
machine (in the Turing sense).


  It is not new, it underlies all of Chapter 2 of my book, and also of
  Why Occams Razor. Perhaps I'm guilty of assuming it without
  explicitly stating it, but by way of challenge can you give me a piece
  of knowledge that doesn't come in the form of a string?
 
 Knowledge comes from third person finite strings, with a measure 
 determined by *some* infinite strings (the non halting immaterial 
 computations) generating them.
 

But finite strings are just sets of infinite strings.


  It is
  certainly hard, given we live on the opposite sides of a digital world
  - a record of a telephone conversation we have will be a a string of
  bits, as will any emails we use, any my book left my hands in the form
  of a string of bits and so on.
 
 OK, but that are finite strings conceived and manipulated (by your 
 computer and your brain with some high level comp assumption) as 
 numbers. Most test editor manipulate a structure of finite strings 
 together with a concatenation or substitution structure. Again this is 
 infinitely richer that your set of all infinite strings.
 

No - sets have subsets, and all finite strings can be found as a
subset of the set of all infinite strings.

  I use the usual one (excluded middle), and I don't use any infinity
  axiom that I'm aware of.
 
 Now I am very confused. I thought you were assuming infinite strings. A 
 glossary would really help, I am not sure you are not changing the 
 meaning of your term from paragraph to paragraph.
 

You introduced the term infinity axiom. If by a infinity axiom you
mean the existence of infinite strings, or the existence of infinite
sets, then yes I have an infinity axiom.

  Yes - I appreciate the ontological difference. I would say that only
  Nothing exists (in ontological meaning). Strings and sets of strings
  only exist in the same sense that the number 1 exists.
 
 This contradict the definition of Nothing you gave us.
 

The set of all strings is a model of the Nothing (or equivalently the
Everything). It is meant to be the ultimate model, capturing all that
is possible to know about it.

 
  About the only difference I see is that the measure might be 
  different...
 
 
 And that *is* the key issue, I think.
 
  I more or less always assumed this. Either COMP is more specialised
  (you can derive some my postulates from COMP, and others are compatible
  with it), or COMP is the only way of deriving these same postulates,
  or COMP in some way contradicts these postulates.
 
 As you admit yourself there is a lot of work to get enough precision in 
 your approach to compare it with the consequence of the 
 computationalist hypothesis.
 As I do have a lot of work to compare the comp-physics with the 
 experimental physics.


Yes - in that respect, my work ties more closely to physics. However,
there is a distinct difference between my string ensemble and
Schmidhuber's speed prior one, particularly with respect to randomness.
 
 Sometimes I define strong comp by saying yes to the doctor, and weak 
 comp by accpetoing your child marry someone who has say yes to the 
 doctor. Surely you have an opinion on that, no?
 

To be quite frank, 

Russell's book + UD*/strings

2006-09-26 Thread Bruno Marchal


Hi Russell,

I got your book. Congratulation for that very nice introduction to the 
subject and to your ideas. It is a very gentle and lovely book.
Probably because you are to kind to your audience, it seems to me you 
have sacrifice perhaps a bit of rigor. I am still not sure about your 
most basic assumption, but I see we share a big amount of the 
philosophy.
I am already glad you did take into account 1/5 of my earlier remarks, 
I wish you at least five next editions ;-).
To be honest I don't think you really get the comp idea, and it is a 
good think your work does not really rely on it. Now I will not hide 
the pleasure I have when seeing the 8 hypostases (even the sixteen 
one!) sum up through their modal logic in table 71 page 129.
I will neither repeat my olds comments nor make new one, but hope our 
future discussion will give opportunities to clarify the possible 
misunderstandings and relationship between our approaches.

I let you know that I will be very busy from now until end of october, 
so that I will be more slow for the comments' replies (or more grave 
for the spelling mistakes if that is possible).

==

Russell wrote


 On Sun, Sep 24, 2006 at 03:23:44PM +0200, Bruno Marchal wrote:


 Le 23-sept.-06, ˆ 07:01, Russell Standish a Žcrit :


 Anything provable by a finite set of axioms is necessarily a finite
 string of
 symbols, and can be found as a subset of my Nothing.


 You told us that your Nothing contains all strings. So it contains all
 formula as theorems. But a theory which contains all formulas as
 theorems is inconsistent.
 I am afraid you confuse some object level (the strings) and
 theory-level (the theorems about the strings).

 Actually, I was wondering if you were making this confusion, owing to
 the ontological status you give mathematical statements. The
 Nothing, if interpreted in its entirety,


This can make sense only if you tell us how to interpret a string or 
how you interpret the Nothing, I mean formally.
 From this I infer that your nothing is an informal theory of infinite 
strings.
Also I give only ontological status to object in the scope of an 
arithmetical existential statement. For example I do believe in the 
existence of prime numbers.



 must be inconsistent, of course.


Only a theory can be inconsistent. But I don't see a theory.



 Our
 reasoning about it need not be, and certainly I would be grateful for
 anyone pointing out inconsistencies in my writing.


That is why I would insist to be as clear as possible so that the 
inconsistencies are more easy to find.





 Perhaps the exchange is unfair because I react as a professional
 logician, and you try to convey something informally. But I think 
 that
 at some point, in our difficult subject, we need to be entirely clear
 on what we assume or not especially if you are using formal objects,
 like strings.


 I'm not that informal. What I talk about are mathematical objects, and
 one can use mathematical reasoning.

The formal/informal distinguo has nothing to do with the 
mathematical/non-mathematical distinguo. Nor with 
rigorous/non-rigorous.

100 % of mathematics, including mathematical logic is informal. Now, 
logicians studied formal theories or machines because it is what 
they are studying. But they prove things about formal systems in an 
informal way like any scientist.
In some context formal and informal are relative.
Of course a description of a formal system looks formal, but we reason 
*about* those formal systems. Now, if your strings are all there is, I 
wait for an explanation of what those strings does formally, but I am 
not asking to formalize your reasoning in your string-language, unless 
for illustrative purpose in case you want to illustrate how a string 
interprets something. Like we can explain how a brain or more simply 
how a turing machine can interpret some data. To be sure, given that 
your strings are infinite I have no clue how the strings can interpret 
things.




 I should note that the PROJECTION postulate is implicit in your UDA
 when you come to speak of the 1-3 distinction. I don't think it can 
 be
 derived explicitly from the three legs of COMP.


 I'm afraid your are confusing the UDA, which is an informal (but
 rigorous) argument showing that IF I am digitalisable machine, then
 physics  or the laws of Nature emerge and are derivable from number
 theory, and the translation of UDA in arithmetic, alias the interview
 of a universal chatty machine. The UDA is a reductio ad absurdo.  It
 assumes explicitly consciousness (or folk psychology or grandma
 psychology as I use those terms in the SANE paper) and a primitive
 physical universe. With this, the 1-3 distinction follows from the 
 fact
 that if am copied at the correct level, the two copies cannot know the
 existence of each other and their personal discourse will
 differentiate. This is an illusion of projection like the wave 
 packet
 *reduction* is an illusion 

Re: Russell's book + UD*/strings

2006-09-26 Thread Russell Standish

On Tue, Sep 26, 2006 at 04:10:32PM +0200, Bruno Marchal wrote:
 
 
 Hi Russell,
 
 I got your book. Congratulation for that very nice introduction to the 
 subject and to your ideas. It is a very gentle and lovely book.
 Probably because you are to kind to your audience, it seems to me you 
 have sacrifice perhaps a bit of rigor. I am still not sure about your 
 most basic assumption, but I see we share a big amount of the 
 philosophy.
 I am already glad you did take into account 1/5 of my earlier remarks, 
 I wish you at least five next editions ;-).

That's a bit like the old chinese curse - I wish you live in
interesting times! 

 To be honest I don't think you really get the comp idea, and it is a 
 good think your work does not really rely on it. 

It is true that my work is an independent line of work, but probably
related. I am interested in the connections, however.

 Now I will not hide 
 the pleasure I have when seeing the 8 hypostases (even the sixteen 
 one!) sum up through their modal logic in table 71 page 129.
 I will neither repeat my olds comments nor make new one, but hope our 
 future discussion will give opportunities to clarify the possible 
 misunderstandings and relationship between our approaches.
 

Indeed.

 I let you know that I will be very busy from now until end of october, 
 so that I will be more slow for the comments' replies (or more grave 
 for the spelling mistakes if that is possible).
 
 ==
 
 This can make sense only if you tell us how to interpret a string or 
 how you interpret the Nothing, I mean formally.

Interpretation is by an observer. Formally, the observer is a map from
a string to an integer. To understand why the observer is such a
formal object requires informal modelling talk, obviously.

  From this I infer that your nothing is an informal theory of infinite 
 strings.

It is a mixture of both. The formal part is not so interesting, but
necessary to get some interesting conclusions.

 Also I give only ontological status to object in the scope of an 
 arithmetical existential statement. For example I do believe in the 
 existence of prime numbers.
 

Whereas I think the whole notion of existence is highly dubious. :)

 
 
  must be inconsistent, of course.
 
 
 Only a theory can be inconsistent. But I don't see a theory.
 

I would say also that interpretations could be inconsistent, but
perhaps there is not much difference between interpretation and
theory. Would you say There is a red flower is a theory, or merely
an interpretation of an image?

If it were possible to view the entire Nothing, it would be
an inconsistent interpretation. However it is not so possible, and
indeed it may be true that it is impossible to have an inconsistent
interpretation (I do not assert this however).

 
 
  Our
  reasoning about it need not be, and certainly I would be grateful for
  anyone pointing out inconsistencies in my writing.
 
 
 That is why I would insist to be as clear as possible so that the 
 inconsistencies are more easy to find.
 

Indeed - however we do have a difference in emphasis. Yours is towards
more formal models, but with obscure modeling relations, whereas I
prefer to spend more effort on the modeling relation than with the
formal content (the formal content of my ideas are small, no doubt why
you are disappointed!)

In that respect, I am more the physicist, and you the mathematician. :)

 
 
 
 
  Perhaps the exchange is unfair because I react as a professional
  logician, and you try to convey something informally. But I think 
  that
  at some point, in our difficult subject, we need to be entirely clear
  on what we assume or not especially if you are using formal objects,
  like strings.
 
 
  I'm not that informal. What I talk about are mathematical objects, and
  one can use mathematical reasoning.
 
 The formal/informal distinguo has nothing to do with the 
 mathematical/non-mathematical distinguo. Nor with 
 rigorous/non-rigorous.
 
 100 % of mathematics, including mathematical logic is informal. Now, 
 logicians studied formal theories or machines because it is what 
 they are studying. But they prove things about formal systems in an 
 informal way like any scientist.

Well, yes - we probably are using the word formal differently
then. For me, a formal system is a mathematical system with the
modelling relation thrown away. Triangles without trangular shaped
paddocks for example.

 In some context formal and informal are relative.
 Of course a description of a formal system looks formal, but we reason 
 *about* those formal systems. Now, if your strings are all there is, I 
 wait for an explanation of what those strings does formally, but I am 
 not asking to formalize your reasoning in your string-language, unless 
 for illustrative purpose in case you want to illustrate how a string 
 interprets something. Like we can explain how a brain or more simply 
 how a turing machine can interpret some data. 

Re: Russell's book

2006-09-18 Thread Bruno Marchal


Le 14-sept.-06, à 00:52, Russell Standish a écrit :

 That the experience of time is necessarily experienced by all conscious
 points of view is to my knowledge not even addressed by other
 philosophers. Even Bruno seems to skirt the issue,


?  (I think that consciousness is needed for *all* experience, not just 
experience of time).



 although there is
 an appearance of temporality with the S4Grz logic.

Yes, the S4Grz (and actually the S4Grz1, but also the X* and X1*) can 
be seen as  first person or subjective time logic, and they are close 
to Brouwer's theory of time/consciousness, which has a long story 
from Heracliteus, StAugustin, Bergson, Brouwer, etc. Except that most 
of those philosopher, perhaps like David and George, makes such a first 
person time primitive.
With comp, the experience of Space is more problematic.



 So I've simply made a conjecture that experience of time is necessary
 for consciousness, and tried to dilute the strength of that conjecture
 as far as possible.

I do think that subjective time is inseparable from consciousness, or 
at least from mundane consciousness ( as opposed to some ecstatic high 
level form of experience sometimes described by mystics as being beyond 
time).

Bruno

http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/


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RE: Russell's book

2006-09-17 Thread Stathis Papaioannou

Periklis Akritidis writes:

 Why would you care about the opinion of those observers left forever
 behind...
 
  from the possibility that all this MWI stuff is just wrong, of course). 
  Even in my scheme where
  there is just a possibility of death some calculations I have done suggest 
  that if you could
  demonstrate that your success rate after many bets was better than chance 
  to a statistically
  significant extent, your chance of dying would also have to be 
  statistically significant. It's
  as if the multiverse is conspiring against us to prevent us from proving 
  its existence!
 
 No, it should be easy to make yourself experience a universe in which
 you have convinced others using the ability to solve any number of very
 difficult problems in case the machine worked, or just by being 2000
 years old. But after you do manage to convince everybody, you would
 shortly find yourself in a very lonely universe, so I guess that even
 if you could prove QTI it would be in your best interest to keep it a
 secret.

QTI predicts that you will survive from a 1st person POV only. If there  is a 
2000 y.o. man in the 
world discovered today that would therefore not be evidence for the theory: it 
is no more likely 
to happen if QTI is true than if it is false, from a 3rd person POV.

There is one situation in which you could prove it to other people, by linking 
them to your own 
fate so that they see things from a similar 1st person POV. This is likely to 
happen practically if 
QTI is true even if you don't deliberately set it up that way. Your survival to 
extreme old ageis much 
more likely to happen because an anti-ageing technology mind uploading, for 
example, are discovered 
in your lifeltime than as a result of some biological fluke. Perhaps you are 
already reaping the benefits 
of this effect, as life expectancies are greater now than they used to be in 
previous centuries. 
Perhaps the entire history of the universe, with evolution of life on Earth, 
culminating in your birth, is 
just an incredibly unlikely coincidence selected out by your consciousness so 
that you can continue 
living. QTI can thus be seen as a restatement of the Anthropic Principle.

Stathis Papaioannou
_
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-17 Thread Brent Meeker

Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
 Periklis Akritidis writes:
 
 
Why would you care about the opinion of those observers left forever
behind...


from the possibility that all this MWI stuff is just wrong, of course). Even 
in my scheme where
there is just a possibility of death some calculations I have done suggest 
that if you could
demonstrate that your success rate after many bets was better than chance to 
a statistically
significant extent, your chance of dying would also have to be statistically 
significant. It's
as if the multiverse is conspiring against us to prevent us from proving its 
existence!

No, it should be easy to make yourself experience a universe in which
you have convinced others using the ability to solve any number of very
difficult problems in case the machine worked, or just by being 2000
years old. But after you do manage to convince everybody, you would
shortly find yourself in a very lonely universe, so I guess that even
if you could prove QTI it would be in your best interest to keep it a
secret.
 
 
 QTI predicts that you will survive from a 1st person POV only. If there  is a 
 2000 y.o. man in the 
 world discovered today that would therefore not be evidence for the theory: 
 it is no more likely 
 to happen if QTI is true than if it is false, from a 3rd person POV.
 
 There is one situation in which you could prove it to other people, by 
 linking them to your own 
 fate so that they see things from a similar 1st person POV. This is likely to 
 happen practically if 
 QTI is true even if you don't deliberately set it up that way. Your survival 
 to extreme old ageis much 
 more likely to happen because an anti-ageing technology mind uploading, for 
 example, are discovered 
 in your lifeltime than as a result of some biological fluke. 

Isn't it even more likely to be due to their discovery in previous generations. 
 Is 
there an AP explanation for why we don't see very old people now.

Perhaps you are already reaping the benefits 
 of this effect, as life expectancies are greater now than they used to be in 
 previous centuries. 

Not really.  Medicine, sanitation, and security have greatly increased life 
expectancy at birth, but they haven't done very much for extending the maximum 
age. 
In the meantime a lot of people have (apparently) died.

 Perhaps the entire history of the universe, with evolution of life on Earth, 
 culminating in your birth, is 
 just an incredibly unlikely coincidence selected out by your consciousness so 
 that you can continue 
 living. QTI can thus be seen as a restatement of the Anthropic Principle.

Brent Meeker
What doesn't kill me only postpones the inevitable.
--- Nietzsche's older brother

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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-16 Thread Periklis Akritidis

Stathis Papaioannou wrote:

 This is the most immediate response of people to the QTI idea: even if it's 
 true,
 what do I care if other versions of me survive in the multiverse if I'm going 
 to die?

According to QTI you are not going to die in any universe because there
are no dead ends in the branching.

 The problem is, you can arbitrarily divide up the moments of your life and 
 say that,
 for example, you were alive from 2:50 PM to 2:51 PM, then suddenly vanished
 from the universe (i.e. you were instantly and painlessly killed), then a 
 perfect copy
 of you suddenly appeared at 2:51 PM and lived another minute. What would you 
 notice
 if this happened? Would you worry about dying? I put it to you that this is 
 precisely

I wouldn't mind being in the branch that experiences an uninterrupted
stream of consciousness, but I worry that instances of me in the
branches where I am supposed to commit suicide would be biased towards
not doing it, given enough time to think about it. As for the factoring
machine, it simply wouldn't work. You would experience just the
miraculous escape after the gun shot without having a solution to the
computationally hard problem.

 You would still end up dead in most worlds from a third person POV though, 
 wouldn't
 you? That seems the main impediment to actually conducting a QS-type 
 experiment (aside

Why would you care about the opinion of those observers left forever
behind...

 from the possibility that all this MWI stuff is just wrong, of course). Even 
 in my scheme where
 there is just a possibility of death some calculations I have done suggest 
 that if you could
 demonstrate that your success rate after many bets was better than chance to 
 a statistically
 significant extent, your chance of dying would also have to be statistically 
 significant. It's
 as if the multiverse is conspiring against us to prevent us from proving its 
 existence!

No, it should be easy to make yourself experience a universe in which
you have convinced others using the ability to solve any number of very
difficult problems in case the machine worked, or just by being 2000
years old. But after you do manage to convince everybody, you would
shortly find yourself in a very lonely universe, so I guess that even
if you could prove QTI it would be in your best interest to keep it a
secret.

 Stathis Papaioannou
 _
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-16 Thread Periklis Akritidis

David Nyman wrote:
 Some of us may recall the tontine, invented in the 17th century by a
 Neapolitan banker called Lorenzo de Tonti as an investment scheme, but
 now illegal, in the US and UK at least. The only beneficiary is the
 last survivor, who scoops the pool. A QTI tontine would presumably make
 winners of *all* its members (makes you wonder about about a
 conservation principle for money). There's still an incentive to bump
 the others off to speed the process, however, even though they would
 still end up as beneficiaries themselves on other branches. Rationally,
 they should draw lots, with a single winner being the only one who
 doesn't commit suicide (this should of course be automated).  I doubt
 this method would be any more popular with the authorities though.

That is reasonable. Even if they accept QTI, they would still have to
manage the resulting social mess in their POVs.

What about the possibility to end up through QTI in a universe of
eternal pain? If the outcome depends on your state of mind at the time
of death (death from other's POVs of course), we may have Quantum
Heaven and Hell theories:)


 
 David


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RE: Russell's book

2006-09-15 Thread Stathis Papaioannou

Tom Caylor writes:

 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
  Tom Caylor writes:
 
   After many life-expectancy-spans worth of narrow escapes, after
   thousands or millions of years, wouldn't the probability be pretty high
   for my personality/memory etc. to change so much that I wouldn't
   recognize myself, or that I could be more like another person than my
   original self, and so for all practical purposes wouldn't I be another
   person?  How do I know this hasn't happened already?  If it has, what
   difference does it make?  Isn't it true that the only realities that
   matter are the ones that make any difference to my reality?  (almost a
   tautology)
 
  The only guarantee fom QTI is that you will experience a next moment:
  that there exists an observer moment in the universe which considers your
  present moment to be its predecessor.
 
 And this guarantee of a next experience is based on what?

It's based on every possible event, including every possible mental state that 
you 
or I could experience, actually occurring somewhere in the multiverse. If there 
is no 
multiverse, or only a limited multiverse, then there is no guarantee.

 Also, if an observer moment can consider, this must be a very special
 observer moment.

I don't understand observer moments to be anything magical. They are just 
arbitrarily 
small units of experience. We could say there is just one non-branching reality 
and talk 
of observer seconds: if you have one second of experience today, and your brain 
is 
snap-frozen so that your next observer second occurs when it is thawed out in a 
thousand 
years from now, then (technical limitations aside) you would have experienced a 
continuous 
two seconds of consciousness despite the intervening gap. Computers do this 
sort of thing 
all the time, time-sharing computations or spreading them across a network. 
From the 
computations' point of view it's all seamless, unless you actually include data 
informing it 
that it has been chopped up into pieces.
 
  This leads to difficulties with partial
  memory loss, which are not unique to QTI but might actually occur in real 
  life.
  For example, if you are in a car crash and end up in a vegetative state, 
  this
  is usually taken as being effectively the same as ending up dead. If you 
  wake
  up after the accident mentally intact except you have forgotten what you had
  for breakfast that morning then you have survived in much the same way you
  would have if you had never had the accident. If you consider that the world
  splits and there are only these two outcomes, or if you consider a 
  teleportation
  experiment in which you are reconstituted in these two states at separate
  receiving stations, the conclusion seems straightforward enough: you will 
  survive
  the ordeal having lost only your memory of what you had for breakfast.
 
  Now, consider a situation where there are 10 possible outcomes, or 10 
  possible
  teleportation destinations, ranging from #1 vegetative state (or headless 
  corpse)
  to #10 intact except for memory of breakfast. In this scheme, #8 might be 
  intact
  except you have forgotten 10% of what you have done in the past year, while
  #3 might be you have forgotten everything except what you learned before the
  age of two years. What is your expectation of survival in this situation?

Stathis Papaiaonnou
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RE: Russell's book

2006-09-15 Thread Stathis Papaioannou

Periklis Akritidis writes:

 QTI apparently implies a very efficient machine to compute the solution
 to any well defined problem. Suppose you want to factor a large number.
 The machine simply generates some random numbers using thermal noise,
 computes their product, compares it with the number to factor, and in
 case they do not match triggers a gun pointing to your head.
 
 Every time you use the machine, you would find yourself experiencing a
 universe where the machine either gave you the right answer or you
 miraculously escaped death, perhaps with injuries. It may take some
 tuning to make the machine robustly lethal so you can get the right
 answer most of the time and avoid injuries.
 
 This doesn't just give you immortality, but it also solves your
 financial problems so you don't have to speculate on financial planning.

Yet another QTI money-making scheme, this one rather less frightening 
than standard QS: you find a gambling game which is completely fair (easier 
said than done) and take with you the means of instant death, like a strong 
poison which you keep in your pocket. You place your bet all the while 
repeating, 
if I lose I'll kill myself. You're not crazy and you probably won't kill 
yourself if 
you lose, but if it's a perfectly fair game, the non-zero chance that you 
*might* 
kill yourself (because you say it to yourself and because you have the means) 
should, over many bets, swing the odds in your favour in the universes in which 
you survive.

Stathis Papaioannou
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-15 Thread Periklis Akritidis

Stathis Papaioannou wrote:

 Yet another QTI money-making scheme, this one rather less frightening
 than standard QS: you find a gambling game which is completely fair (easier
 said than done) and take with you the means of instant death, like a strong
 poison which you keep in your pocket. You place your bet all the while 
 repeating,
 if I lose I'll kill myself. You're not crazy and you probably won't kill 
 yourself if
 you lose, but if it's a perfectly fair game, the non-zero chance that you 
 *might*
 kill yourself (because you say it to yourself and because you have the means)
 should, over many bets, swing the odds in your favour in the universes in 
 which
 you survive.

Then merely the small probability of commiting suicide in an
unfavourable universe because of psychological reasons would swing the
odds towards being in a favourable one. In addition, weak persons,
likely to commit suicide under harsh conditions, would have higher
probability of experiencing favourable histories.

However, you would not want to experience the suicide part. Otherwise,
what would any instance of you gain from actually doing it? Why would
it care for other instances of you reaping the benefits? Itself would
still suffer death. It might as well avoid all risk taking confort in
the idea that other instances are using the QTI money-making scheme or
are just being lucky. For the idea to make sense, it is key to avoid
experiencing anything after the dice are thrown.

In the factoring scheme you need some time to check the solution, so
you would end up checking the solution and by the time you find that
you have a wrong answer it is too late, bang and, if QTI holds,
miraculous escape. For the scheme to work, the solution being wrong
must be equivallent to you not existing. With original QTI and death
that is already the case.


 Stathis Papaioannou
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-15 Thread Periklis Akritidis


Periklis Akritidis wrote:
 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
 
  Yet another QTI money-making scheme, this one rather less frightening
  than standard QS: you find a gambling game which is completely fair (easier
  said than done) and take with you the means of instant death, like a strong
  poison which you keep in your pocket. You place your bet all the while 
  repeating,
  if I lose I'll kill myself. You're not crazy and you probably won't kill 
  yourself if
  you lose, but if it's a perfectly fair game, the non-zero chance that you 
  *might*
  kill yourself (because you say it to yourself and because you have the 
  means)
  should, over many bets, swing the odds in your favour in the universes in 
  which
  you survive.

 Then merely the small probability of commiting suicide in an
 unfavourable universe because of psychological reasons would swing the
 odds towards being in a favourable one. In addition, weak persons,
 likely to commit suicide under harsh conditions, would have higher
 probability of experiencing favourable histories.

 However, you would not want to experience the suicide part. Otherwise,
 what would any instance of you gain from actually doing it? Why would
 it care for other instances of you reaping the benefits? Itself would
 still suffer death. It might as well avoid all risk taking confort in
 the idea that other instances are using the QTI money-making scheme or
 are just being lucky. For the idea to make sense, it is key to avoid
 experiencing anything after the dice are thrown.

In unfavourable branches that is.


 In the factoring scheme you need some time to check the solution, so
 you would end up checking the solution and by the time you find that
 you have a wrong answer it is too late, bang and, if QTI holds,
 miraculous escape. For the scheme to work, the solution being wrong
 must be equivallent to you not existing. With original QTI and death
 that is already the case.

 
  Stathis Papaioannou
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-15 Thread David Nyman

Some of us may recall the tontine, invented in the 17th century by a
Neapolitan banker called Lorenzo de Tonti as an investment scheme, but
now illegal, in the US and UK at least. The only beneficiary is the
last survivor, who scoops the pool. A QTI tontine would presumably make
winners of *all* its members (makes you wonder about about a
conservation principle for money). There's still an incentive to bump
the others off to speed the process, however, even though they would
still end up as beneficiaries themselves on other branches. Rationally,
they should draw lots, with a single winner being the only one who
doesn't commit suicide (this should of course be automated).  I doubt
this method would be any more popular with the authorities though.

David


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-14 Thread Russell Standish

On Wed, Sep 13, 2006 at 02:56:30PM -, David Nyman wrote:
 
 Russell Standish wrote:
 
  If you can demonstrate this as a theorem, or even as a moderately
  convincing argument why this should be so, I'd be most grateful for a
  presentation. I'm all for eliminating unnecessary hypotheses.
 
 'Fraid I don't have a theorem! However, as to 'moderately convincing
 arguments', I think the problem with thinking coherently about temporal
 experience seems to be with mentally flip-flopping between structural
 and implicitly dynamic mental models of 'time'.  I had an exchange with
 Barbour about this because I was convinced that he just introduced
 'time' back into his static Platonia by what I called 'sleight of
 intuition' - i.e. the implicit temporality of our language. He didn't
 disagree, but just felt he wanted to de-emphasise this aspect within
 his project of taking the static function maximally seriously.
 
 However, I'm not so certain about the intuition now. It seems plausible
 that the content of 1st-person experience is represented structurally
 within time capsules - including those aspects that would appear as 'in
 relation to' the content of other capsules. This by itself would yield
 a 'picture' of time from the pov of any capsule (i.e. 'time' as
 information, and particularly as defined by information 'horizons') if
 only we could account for the experience of dynamism. Here I'm much
 less clear, but I have a sort of 'intuition pump'. It seems to me that
 we must consider who or what is the 'experiencer'.  For dynamism one
 needs contrast, and such contrast is to be found between the 0-person
 'pov' of the multiverse and individual 1st-person capsules. So if the
 multiverse is the experiencer, the dynamism of time may emerge simply
 from the global/ local contrast of its 0-person/ 1st-person povs.
 
 Clear as mud.
 
 David
 

If you note in sect. 9.2 of my book, I am quite clear that time must
emerge from a timeless underlying reality somehow - whether by Barbour's
time capsules, or by some completely different mechanism, I don't think
is all that pertinent.

That the experience of time is necessarily experienced by all conscious
points of view is to my knowledge not even addressed by other
philosophers. Even Bruno seems to skirt the issue, although there is
an appearance of temporality with the S4Grz logic.

So I've simply made a conjecture that experience of time is necessary
for consciousness, and tried to dilute the strength of that conjecture
as far as possible.

Hopefully some bright spark will either prove the conjecture (in some
form), or even more interestingly disprove it. But I won't hold my
breath.

Cheers

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RE: Russell's book

2006-09-14 Thread Stathis Papaioannou


Johnathan Corgan writes: 

 David Nyman wrote:
 
 [re: QTI]
  This has obvious
  implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
  more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
  outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
  from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
  in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
  situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
  9/11 re-runs on TV last night.
 
 It's the cul-de-sac situations that interest me.  Are there truly any?
 Are there moments of consciousness which have no logically possible
 continuation (while remaining conscious?)
 
 It seems the canonical example is surviving a nearby nuclear detonation.
  One logical possibility is that all your constituent particles
 quantum-tunnel away from the blast in time.

Don't forget the Omega Point possibility, which sees you vapourised today 
but resurrected in simulation in the far future. Or perhaps at the moment of 
detonation it will be revealed to you that you are already living in a 
simulation, 
and the disaster is averted at the last moment by the programmers. It doesn't 
matter whether you are currently in the simulation or in the real world since 
the 
only thing that matters is where your *next moment* comes from. Your stream 
of consciousness would be the same if all the separate moments of your life 
were completely disconnected and mixed up in time, space or across separate 
real and simulated universes. 
 
 This would be of extremely low measure in absolute terms, but what about
 an aside, it wasn't always so. Apparently, in the early years of Christianity 
 the proportion of continuations that contain you as a conscious entity?
 
 This also touches on a recent thread about how being of low measure
 feels. If QTI is true, and I'm subject to a nuclear detonation, does it
 matter if my possible continuations are of such a low relative measure?
 Once I'm in them, would I feel any different and should I care?
 
 These questions may reduce to something like, Is there a lower limit to
 the amplitude of the SWE?
 
 If measure is infinitely divisible, then is there any natural scale to
 its absolute value?
 
 I raised a similar question on the list a few months ago when Tookie
 Wiliams was in the headlines and was eventually executed by the State of
 California.  What possible continuations exist in this situation?
 
  In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
  everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
  behaviour in any way?
 
 A very interesting question.
 
 If my expectation is that QTI is true and I'll be living for a very long
 time, I may adjust my financial planning accordingly.  But QTI only
 applies to my own first-person view; I'll be constantly shedding
 branches where I did indeed die.  If I have any financial dependents, do
 I provide for their welfare, even if they'll only exist forever outside
 my ability to interact with?

Don't discount force of habit and social conditioning. Christians believe that 
when they die they will go to heaven, so logically they should be pleased, or 
at least only minimally upset, at the prospect of an asteroid instantly and 
painlessly 
wiping out all life on Earth. However, all but the craziest Christians would 
hope 
that such a thing does not happen, and essentially live their lives as if death 
is a 
bad thing for them and the people they care about. Maybe it's just a question 
of faith, 
as the September 11 terrorists did not have such qualms.

Stathis Papaioannou

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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-14 Thread Tom Caylor

Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
 Tom Caylor writes:

  After many life-expectancy-spans worth of narrow escapes, after
  thousands or millions of years, wouldn't the probability be pretty high
  for my personality/memory etc. to change so much that I wouldn't
  recognize myself, or that I could be more like another person than my
  original self, and so for all practical purposes wouldn't I be another
  person?  How do I know this hasn't happened already?  If it has, what
  difference does it make?  Isn't it true that the only realities that
  matter are the ones that make any difference to my reality?  (almost a
  tautology)

 The only guarantee fom QTI is that you will experience a next moment:
 that there exists an observer moment in the universe which considers your
 present moment to be its predecessor.

And this guarantee of a next experience is based on what?

Also, if an observer moment can consider, this must be a very special
observer moment.

 This leads to difficulties with partial
 memory loss, which are not unique to QTI but might actually occur in real 
 life.
 For example, if you are in a car crash and end up in a vegetative state, this
 is usually taken as being effectively the same as ending up dead. If you wake
 up after the accident mentally intact except you have forgotten what you had
 for breakfast that morning then you have survived in much the same way you
 would have if you had never had the accident. If you consider that the world
 splits and there are only these two outcomes, or if you consider a 
 teleportation
 experiment in which you are reconstituted in these two states at separate
 receiving stations, the conclusion seems straightforward enough: you will 
 survive
 the ordeal having lost only your memory of what you had for breakfast.

 Now, consider a situation where there are 10 possible outcomes, or 10 possible
 teleportation destinations, ranging from #1 vegetative state (or headless 
 corpse)
 to #10 intact except for memory of breakfast. In this scheme, #8 might be 
 intact
 except you have forgotten 10% of what you have done in the past year, while
 #3 might be you have forgotten everything except what you learned before the
 age of two years. What is your expectation of survival in this situation?

 Stathis Papaioannou
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-13 Thread David Nyman

Russell Standish wrote:

  2) RSSA vs ASSA - Isn't it the case that all 'absolute' self samples
  will appear to be 'relative' (i.e. to their own content) and hence
  1st-person experience can be 'time-like' without the need for
  'objective' sequencing of observer moments? If the 'pov' is that of the
  multiverse can't we simply treat all 1st-person experience as the
  'absolute sampling' of all povs compresently?
 
  David
 

 I've lost you here. Maybe you need to expand a bit.

Why do we need to assume TIME as an ordering process for 'successive'
moments under the RSSA assumption? Isn't it the case that, under the
ASSA assumption, 1st-person experience would continue to appear
'time-like' (because of its 'relative' internal structure within each
'time capsule') without the need for a TIME postulate (i.e. Barbour's
position)?

David

 On Tue, Sep 12, 2006 at 12:52:25PM -, David Nyman wrote:
 
  Hi Russell
 
  I just received the book and have swiftly perused it (one of many
  iterations I expect). I find it to be a clear presentation of your own
  approach as well as a fine exposition of many topics from the list that
  had me baffled. A couple of things immediately occur:
 
  1) QTI - I must say until reading your remarks (e.g. re pension plans)
  the possible personal consequences of QTI hadn't really struck me. If
  QTI is true, there is a fundamental assymetry between the 1st and
  3rd-person povs vis-a-vis personal longevity (at least the longevity of
  consciousness), and this seems to imply that one should take seriously
  the prospect of being around in some form far longer than generally
  assumed from a purely 3rd-person perspective. This has obvious
  implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
  more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
  outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
  from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
  in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
  situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
  9/11 re-runs on TV last night.
 
  In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
  everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
  behaviour in any way?

 I mentioned two examples in my book - retirement savings planning - I
 will be looking wherever possible for lifetime pension options. Of
 course from a QTI perspective, the value of these are limited by the
 estimated lifetime of the superannuation company.

 The second example is my attitude to euthanasia has changed.

 Beyond that, I suppose I no longer fear death. What I do fear is
 incapacitation, and so I weigh my risks of bodily damage in any
 action against the risks to personal liberty etc. by inaction. It
 probably does not change the decision matrix very much at all, however
 I can't see suicide bombing as a useful strategy under QTI.


 
  2) RSSA vs ASSA - Isn't it the case that all 'absolute' self samples
  will appear to be 'relative' (i.e. to their own content) and hence
  1st-person experience can be 'time-like' without the need for
  'objective' sequencing of observer moments? If the 'pov' is that of the
  multiverse can't we simply treat all 1st-person experience as the
  'absolute sampling' of all povs compresently?
 
  David
 

 I've lost you here. Maybe you need to expand a bit.


 --
 *PS: A number of people ask me about the attachment to my email, which
 is of type application/pgp-signature. Don't worry, it is not a
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 email came from me if you have PGP or GPG installed. Otherwise, you
 may safely ignore this attachment.

 
 A/Prof Russell Standish  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
 Mathematics
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-13 Thread Russell Standish

On Wed, Sep 13, 2006 at 07:40:06AM -, David Nyman wrote:
 
 Why do we need to assume TIME as an ordering process for 'successive'
 moments under the RSSA assumption? Isn't it the case that, under the
 ASSA assumption, 1st-person experience would continue to appear
 'time-like' (because of its 'relative' internal structure within each
 'time capsule') without the need for a TIME postulate (i.e. Barbour's
 position)?
 
 David
 

If you can demonstrate this as a theorem, or even as a moderately
convincing argument why this should be so, I'd be most grateful for a
presentation. I'm all for eliminating unnecessary hypotheses.

I haven't read Barbour's work, but from everything I've read about it,
his approach simply skirts the issue without facing it head on.

Cheers

-- 
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is of type application/pgp-signature. Don't worry, it is not a
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email came from me if you have PGP or GPG installed. Otherwise, you
may safely ignore this attachment.


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Mathematics  
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-13 Thread David Nyman

Russell Standish wrote:

 If you can demonstrate this as a theorem, or even as a moderately
 convincing argument why this should be so, I'd be most grateful for a
 presentation. I'm all for eliminating unnecessary hypotheses.

'Fraid I don't have a theorem! However, as to 'moderately convincing
arguments', I think the problem with thinking coherently about temporal
experience seems to be with mentally flip-flopping between structural
and implicitly dynamic mental models of 'time'.  I had an exchange with
Barbour about this because I was convinced that he just introduced
'time' back into his static Platonia by what I called 'sleight of
intuition' - i.e. the implicit temporality of our language. He didn't
disagree, but just felt he wanted to de-emphasise this aspect within
his project of taking the static function maximally seriously.

However, I'm not so certain about the intuition now. It seems plausible
that the content of 1st-person experience is represented structurally
within time capsules - including those aspects that would appear as 'in
relation to' the content of other capsules. This by itself would yield
a 'picture' of time from the pov of any capsule (i.e. 'time' as
information, and particularly as defined by information 'horizons') if
only we could account for the experience of dynamism. Here I'm much
less clear, but I have a sort of 'intuition pump'. It seems to me that
we must consider who or what is the 'experiencer'.  For dynamism one
needs contrast, and such contrast is to be found between the 0-person
'pov' of the multiverse and individual 1st-person capsules. So if the
multiverse is the experiencer, the dynamism of time may emerge simply
from the global/ local contrast of its 0-person/ 1st-person povs.

Clear as mud.

David

 On Wed, Sep 13, 2006 at 07:40:06AM -, David Nyman wrote:
 
  Why do we need to assume TIME as an ordering process for 'successive'
  moments under the RSSA assumption? Isn't it the case that, under the
  ASSA assumption, 1st-person experience would continue to appear
  'time-like' (because of its 'relative' internal structure within each
  'time capsule') without the need for a TIME postulate (i.e. Barbour's
  position)?
 
  David
 

 If you can demonstrate this as a theorem, or even as a moderately
 convincing argument why this should be so, I'd be most grateful for a
 presentation. I'm all for eliminating unnecessary hypotheses.

 I haven't read Barbour's work, but from everything I've read about it,
 his approach simply skirts the issue without facing it head on.

 Cheers

 --
 *PS: A number of people ask me about the attachment to my email, which
 is of type application/pgp-signature. Don't worry, it is not a
 virus. It is an electronic signature, that may be used to verify this
 email came from me if you have PGP or GPG installed. Otherwise, you
 may safely ignore this attachment.

 
 A/Prof Russell Standish  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
 Mathematics
 UNSW SYDNEY 2052   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Australiahttp://parallel.hpc.unsw.edu.au/rks
 International prefix  +612, Interstate prefix 02
 


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Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread David Nyman

Hi Russell

I just received the book and have swiftly perused it (one of many
iterations I expect). I find it to be a clear presentation of your own
approach as well as a fine exposition of many topics from the list that
had me baffled. A couple of things immediately occur:

1) QTI - I must say until reading your remarks (e.g. re pension plans)
the possible personal consequences of QTI hadn't really struck me. If
QTI is true, there is a fundamental assymetry between the 1st and
3rd-person povs vis-a-vis personal longevity (at least the longevity of
consciousness), and this seems to imply that one should take seriously
the prospect of being around in some form far longer than generally
assumed from a purely 3rd-person perspective. This has obvious
implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
9/11 re-runs on TV last night.

In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
behaviour in any way?

2) RSSA vs ASSA - Isn't it the case that all 'absolute' self samples
will appear to be 'relative' (i.e. to their own content) and hence
1st-person experience can be 'time-like' without the need for
'objective' sequencing of observer moments? If the 'pov' is that of the
multiverse can't we simply treat all 1st-person experience as the
'absolute sampling' of all povs compresently?

David


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Johnathan Corgan

David Nyman wrote:

[re: QTI]
 This has obvious
 implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
 more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
 outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
 from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
 in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
 situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
 9/11 re-runs on TV last night.

It's the cul-de-sac situations that interest me.  Are there truly any?
Are there moments of consciousness which have no logically possible
continuation (while remaining conscious?)

It seems the canonical example is surviving a nearby nuclear detonation.
 One logical possibility is that all your constituent particles
quantum-tunnel away from the blast in time.

This would be of extremely low measure in absolute terms, but what about
the proportion of continuations that contain you as a conscious entity?

This also touches on a recent thread about how being of low measure
feels. If QTI is true, and I'm subject to a nuclear detonation, does it
matter if my possible continuations are of such a low relative measure?
Once I'm in them, would I feel any different and should I care?

These questions may reduce to something like, Is there a lower limit to
the amplitude of the SWE?

If measure is infinitely divisible, then is there any natural scale to
its absolute value?

I raised a similar question on the list a few months ago when Tookie
Wiliams was in the headlines and was eventually executed by the State of
California.  What possible continuations exist in this situation?

 In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
 everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
 behaviour in any way?

A very interesting question.

If my expectation is that QTI is true and I'll be living for a very long
time, I may adjust my financial planning accordingly.  But QTI only
applies to my own first-person view; I'll be constantly shedding
branches where I did indeed die.  If I have any financial dependents, do
I provide for their welfare, even if they'll only exist forever outside
my ability to interact with?

-Johnathan

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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread David Nyman

Johnathan Corgan wrote:

 If my expectation is that QTI is true and I'll be living for a very long
 time, I may adjust my financial planning accordingly.  But QTI only
 applies to my own first-person view; I'll be constantly shedding
 branches where I did indeed die.  If I have any financial dependents, do
 I provide for their welfare, even if they'll only exist forever outside
 my ability to interact with?

Is this in fact your expectation? And do you so plan? Forgive me if
this seems overly personal, but I'm fascinated to discover if anyone
actually acts on these beliefs.

David

 David Nyman wrote:

 [re: QTI]
  This has obvious
  implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
  more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
  outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
  from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
  in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
  situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
  9/11 re-runs on TV last night.

 It's the cul-de-sac situations that interest me.  Are there truly any?
 Are there moments of consciousness which have no logically possible
 continuation (while remaining conscious?)

 It seems the canonical example is surviving a nearby nuclear detonation.
  One logical possibility is that all your constituent particles
 quantum-tunnel away from the blast in time.

 This would be of extremely low measure in absolute terms, but what about
 the proportion of continuations that contain you as a conscious entity?

 This also touches on a recent thread about how being of low measure
 feels. If QTI is true, and I'm subject to a nuclear detonation, does it
 matter if my possible continuations are of such a low relative measure?
 Once I'm in them, would I feel any different and should I care?

 These questions may reduce to something like, Is there a lower limit to
 the amplitude of the SWE?

 If measure is infinitely divisible, then is there any natural scale to
 its absolute value?

 I raised a similar question on the list a few months ago when Tookie
 Wiliams was in the headlines and was eventually executed by the State of
 California.  What possible continuations exist in this situation?

  In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
  everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
  behaviour in any way?

 A very interesting question.

 If my expectation is that QTI is true and I'll be living for a very long
 time, I may adjust my financial planning accordingly.  But QTI only
 applies to my own first-person view; I'll be constantly shedding
 branches where I did indeed die.  If I have any financial dependents, do
 I provide for their welfare, even if they'll only exist forever outside
 my ability to interact with?
 
 -Johnathan


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Johnathan Corgan

David Nyman wrote:

 Is this in fact your expectation? And do you so plan? Forgive me if
 this seems overly personal, but I'm fascinated to discover if anyone
 actually acts on these beliefs.

It's not overly personal; I brought it up in fact.

But personally, no, I don't act on these beliefs because they are not
mine.  That is, I've not established to my satisfaction that QTI is
correct.  However, I do have an intense interest and must admit I want
it to be true.  Alas, I may only find out when I look around and wonder
why I'm the only 150 year old person :-)

It does seem to me the theory hinges on whether cul-de-sac's exist or
not, hence my earlier questioning.  I've already accepted the essential
underlying MWI explanation.

-Johnathan

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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread David Nyman

Johnathan Corgan wrote:

 It does seem to me the theory hinges on whether cul-de-sac's exist or
 not, hence my earlier questioning.  I've already accepted the essential
 underlying MWI explanation.

Yes, the question of cul-de-sacs is indeed interesting.  However, it
seems to me that they need only exist in a relative sense for it still
to be worthwhile to make a 'bet' (in the spirit of 'yes doctor') -
hence my point about avoiding 'insane' risks - perhaps like nuclear
blasts (incidentally this is strongly reminiscent of the 'infinite
improbability drive' for Douglas Adams fans). So long as there seemed
to be some plausible (even if very small) number of 'escape routes'
then it might be worth a punt. Your speculation re extremely small
measure is interesting in this context. Personally, I would expect some
sort of consciousness to survive in a non-zero branch, but in what
company?

David

 David Nyman wrote:

  Is this in fact your expectation? And do you so plan? Forgive me if
  this seems overly personal, but I'm fascinated to discover if anyone
  actually acts on these beliefs.

 It's not overly personal; I brought it up in fact.

 But personally, no, I don't act on these beliefs because they are not
 mine.  That is, I've not established to my satisfaction that QTI is
 correct.  However, I do have an intense interest and must admit I want
 it to be true.  Alas, I may only find out when I look around and wonder
 why I'm the only 150 year old person :-)

 It does seem to me the theory hinges on whether cul-de-sac's exist or
 not, hence my earlier questioning.  I've already accepted the essential
 underlying MWI explanation.
 
 -Johnathan


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Brent Meeker

Johnathan Corgan wrote:
 David Nyman wrote:
 
 [re: QTI]
 
This has obvious
implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
9/11 re-runs on TV last night.
 
 
 It's the cul-de-sac situations that interest me.  Are there truly any?
 Are there moments of consciousness which have no logically possible
 continuation (while remaining conscious?)
 
 It seems the canonical example is surviving a nearby nuclear detonation.
  One logical possibility is that all your constituent particles
 quantum-tunnel away from the blast in time.
 
 This would be of extremely low measure in absolute terms, but what about
 the proportion of continuations that contain you as a conscious entity?
 
 This also touches on a recent thread about how being of low measure
 feels. If QTI is true, and I'm subject to a nuclear detonation, does it
 matter if my possible continuations are of such a low relative measure?
 Once I'm in them, would I feel any different and should I care?
 
 These questions may reduce to something like, Is there a lower limit to
 the amplitude of the SWE?
 
 If measure is infinitely divisible, then is there any natural scale to
 its absolute value?

I think it is not and there is a lower limit below which cross terms in the 
density 
matrix must be strictly (not just FAPP) zero.  The Planck scale provides a 
lower 
bound on fundamental physical values.  So it makes sense to me that treating 
probability measures as a continuum is no more than a convenient approximation. 
 But 
I have no idea how to make that precise and testable.

Brent Meeker


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread David Nyman

Johnathan Corgan wrote:

 QTI makes a big twist on this by removing from the numerator *and*
 denominator those outcomes where consciousness ceases.

Precisely. And this is what should bias one's choices in the case that
one is prepared to bet on the validity of QTI.

 Not sure what the question is.  Do you mean, what would things be like
 afterward?  Would it be worth it?

Yes, because this should also be taken into account before 'betting'
(at least in certain near-cul-de-sac circumstances). Any thoughts?

David

 David Nyman wrote:

  So long as there seemed
  to be some plausible (even if very small) number of 'escape routes'
  then it might be worth a punt.

 From a 'yes doctor' bet point of view, this introduces the idea of
 relative expectation of different future outcomes, an idea hashed out
 here many many times.

 Personally I think it's rational to base one's current actions on the
 probability of expected outcome*value (maximum utility theory).  And I
 also think subjective probability should equate to proportion of
 measure.  (Others disagree with this way of measuring future expectation.)

 QTI makes a big twist on this by removing from the numerator *and*
 denominator those outcomes where consciousness ceases.

  Your speculation re extremely small
  measure is interesting in this context. Personally, I would expect some
  sort of consciousness to survive in a non-zero branch, but in what
  company?

 Not sure what the question is.  Do you mean, what would things be like
 afterward?  Would it be worth it?
 
 -Johnathan


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread David Nyman

(This is the original post that seems somehow to have gone missing)

Hi Russell

I just received the book and have swiftly perused it (one of many
iterations I expect). I find it to be a clear presentation of your own
approach as well as a fine exposition of many topics from the list that
had me baffled. A couple of things immediately occur:

1) QTI - I must say until reading your remarks (e.g. re pension plans)
the possible personal consequences of QTI hadn't really struck me. If
QTI is true, there is a fundamental assymetry between the 1st and
3rd-person povs vis-a-vis personal longevity (at least the longevity of
consciousness), and this seems to imply that one should take seriously
the prospect of being around in some form far longer than generally
assumed from a purely 3rd-person perspective. This has obvious
implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
9/11 re-runs on TV last night.

In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
behaviour in any way?

2) RSSA vs ASSA - Isn't it the case that all 'absolute' self samples
will appear to be 'relative' (i.e. to their own content) and hence
1st-person experience can be 'time-like' without the need for
'objective' sequencing of observer moments? If the 'pov' is that of the
multiverse can't we simply treat all 1st-person experience as the
'absolute sampling' of all povs compresently?

David


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Johnathan Corgan

Brent Meeker wrote:

 Everett who originated the MWI thought about QTI.  Although he never 
 explicitly said 
 he believed it, he led a very unhealthy life style smoking, drinking, eating 
 to 
 excees, never exercising and he died young, of a heart attack IIRC.  So some 
 of his 
 acquaintences have speculated that he did really believe in QTI.

Well, that's not quite rational--what is the quality of life (utility)
that succeeds surviving a heart attack?

If QTI is true, and I'm going to live a very long time, it would not
only motivate me to plan for the long term, but also to be much more
careful about my health--I'll be living in this body for much longer
than ~73 years!

-Johnathan

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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Brent Meeker

Johnathan Corgan wrote:
 Brent Meeker wrote:
 
 
These questions may reduce to something like, Is there a lower limit to
the amplitude of the SWE?

If measure is infinitely divisible, then is there any natural scale to
its absolute value?

I think it is not and there is a lower limit below which cross terms in the 
density 
matrix must be strictly (not just FAPP) zero.  The Planck scale provides a 
lower 
bound on fundamental physical values.  So it makes sense to me that treating 
probability measures as a continuum is no more than a convenient 
approximation.  But 
I have no idea how to make that precise and testable.
 
 
 Having measure ultimately having a fixed lower limit would I think be
 fatal to QTI.  But, consider the following:
 
 At every successive moment our measure is decreasing, possibly by a very
 large fraction, depending on how you count it. Every moment we branch
 into only one of a huge number of possibilities.  A moment here is on
 the order a Planck time unit.

First, it may not be such a large factor.  All nearby trajectories in 
configuration 
space constructively interfere to produce quasi-classical evolution in certain 
bases. 
So if we are essentially classical and I think we are (c.f. Tegmark's paper on 
the 
brain) then we are not decreasing in measure by MWI splitting on a Planckian 
or 
even millisecond time scale.  The evolution of our world is mostly 
deterministic.

Second, if there is a lower limit on the interference terms in the SE of the 
universe, then the density matrix gets diagonalized.  Then the MWI goes away.  
QM is, 
as Omnes' says, a probabilistic theory and it predicts probabilities.  
Probabilities 
mean something happens and other things don't.  So we don't risk vanishing.  
The fact 
that our probability seems to become vanishingly small is only a artifact of 
what we 
take as the domain of possibilities and it is no different than our 
improbability pre-QM.

But undoubtedly there are mathematical difficulties with assuming a lower bound 
on 
probabilities.  All our mathematics and theory has been built around continuous 
variables for the very good reason that it seems overwhelmingly difficult to do 
physics in discrete variables - just look at how messy numerical solution of 
partial 
differential equations is compared to the equations themselves.

Brent Meeker

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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Saibal Mitra

I think I can prove that QTI as intepreted in this list is false, I'll post
the proof in a new thread.

The only version of QTI that makes sense to me is this:
All possible states exist out there in the multiverse. The observer
moments are timeless objects so, in a certain sense, QTI is true. But then
you must consider surviving with memory loss.

E.g., if I'm diagnosed with a terminal illness, then there is still a branch
in which I haven't  been diagnosed with that illness. If I'm 100 years old,
then I still have copies that are only 20 years old etc. etc.

Saibal

- Original Message - 
From: Johnathan Corgan [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, September 12, 2006 7:43 PM
Subject: Re: Russell's book



 David Nyman wrote:

 [re: QTI]
  This has obvious
  implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
  more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
  outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
  from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
  in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
  situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
  9/11 re-runs on TV last night.

 It's the cul-de-sac situations that interest me.  Are there truly any?
 Are there moments of consciousness which have no logically possible
 continuation (while remaining conscious?)

 It seems the canonical example is surviving a nearby nuclear detonation.
  One logical possibility is that all your constituent particles
 quantum-tunnel away from the blast in time.

 This would be of extremely low measure in absolute terms, but what about
 the proportion of continuations that contain you as a conscious entity?

 This also touches on a recent thread about how being of low measure
 feels. If QTI is true, and I'm subject to a nuclear detonation, does it
 matter if my possible continuations are of such a low relative measure?
 Once I'm in them, would I feel any different and should I care?

 These questions may reduce to something like, Is there a lower limit to
 the amplitude of the SWE?

 If measure is infinitely divisible, then is there any natural scale to
 its absolute value?

 I raised a similar question on the list a few months ago when Tookie
 Wiliams was in the headlines and was eventually executed by the State of
 California.  What possible continuations exist in this situation?

  In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
  everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
  behaviour in any way?

 A very interesting question.

 If my expectation is that QTI is true and I'll be living for a very long
 time, I may adjust my financial planning accordingly.  But QTI only
 applies to my own first-person view; I'll be constantly shedding
 branches where I did indeed die.  If I have any financial dependents, do
 I provide for their welfare, even if they'll only exist forever outside
 my ability to interact with?

 -Johnathan

 


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Tom Caylor

After many life-expectancy-spans worth of narrow escapes, after
thousands or millions of years, wouldn't the probability be pretty high
for my personality/memory etc. to change so much that I wouldn't
recognize myself, or that I could be more like another person than my
original self, and so for all practical purposes wouldn't I be another
person?  How do I know this hasn't happened already?  If it has, what
difference does it make?  Isn't it true that the only realities that
matter are the ones that make any difference to my reality?  (almost a
tautology)

Johnathan Corgan wrote:
 Brent Meeker wrote:

  These questions may reduce to something like, Is there a lower limit to
  the amplitude of the SWE?
 
  If measure is infinitely divisible, then is there any natural scale to
  its absolute value?
 
  I think it is not and there is a lower limit below which cross terms in the 
  density
  matrix must be strictly (not just FAPP) zero.  The Planck scale provides a 
  lower
  bound on fundamental physical values.  So it makes sense to me that treating
  probability measures as a continuum is no more than a convenient 
  approximation.  But
  I have no idea how to make that precise and testable.

 Having measure ultimately having a fixed lower limit would I think be
 fatal to QTI.  But, consider the following:

 At every successive moment our measure is decreasing, possibly by a very
 large fraction, depending on how you count it.  Every moment we branch
 into only one of a huge number of possibilities.  A moment here is on
 the order a Planck time unit.

 So does this mean we run the risk of suddenly ceasing to exist, if our
 measure decreases past a lower limit simple due to the evolution of the SWE?
 
 -Johnathan


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-12 Thread Russell Standish

On Tue, Sep 12, 2006 at 12:52:25PM -, David Nyman wrote:
 
 Hi Russell
 
 I just received the book and have swiftly perused it (one of many
 iterations I expect). I find it to be a clear presentation of your own
 approach as well as a fine exposition of many topics from the list that
 had me baffled. A couple of things immediately occur:
 
 1) QTI - I must say until reading your remarks (e.g. re pension plans)
 the possible personal consequences of QTI hadn't really struck me. If
 QTI is true, there is a fundamental assymetry between the 1st and
 3rd-person povs vis-a-vis personal longevity (at least the longevity of
 consciousness), and this seems to imply that one should take seriously
 the prospect of being around in some form far longer than generally
 assumed from a purely 3rd-person perspective. This has obvious
 implications for retirement planning in general and avoidance of the
 more egregious cul-de-sac situations. On the other hand, short of
 outright lunacy vis-a-vis personal safety, it also seems to imply that
 from the 1st-person pov we are likely to come through (albeit possibly
 in less-than-perfect shape) even apparently minimally survivable
 situations. This struck me particularly forcibly while watching the
 9/11 re-runs on TV last night.
 
 In effect, we are being presented with a kind of 'yes doctor' in
 everyday life. Do you find that these considerations affect your own
 behaviour in any way?

I mentioned two examples in my book - retirement savings planning - I
will be looking wherever possible for lifetime pension options. Of
course from a QTI perspective, the value of these are limited by the
estimated lifetime of the superannuation company.

The second example is my attitude to euthanasia has changed.

Beyond that, I suppose I no longer fear death. What I do fear is
incapacitation, and so I weigh my risks of bodily damage in any
action against the risks to personal liberty etc. by inaction. It
probably does not change the decision matrix very much at all, however
I can't see suicide bombing as a useful strategy under QTI.


 
 2) RSSA vs ASSA - Isn't it the case that all 'absolute' self samples
 will appear to be 'relative' (i.e. to their own content) and hence
 1st-person experience can be 'time-like' without the need for
 'objective' sequencing of observer moments? If the 'pov' is that of the
 multiverse can't we simply treat all 1st-person experience as the
 'absolute sampling' of all povs compresently?
 
 David
 

I've lost you here. Maybe you need to expand a bit.


-- 
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virus. It is an electronic signature, that may be used to verify this
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may safely ignore this attachment.


A/Prof Russell Standish  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
Mathematics  
UNSW SYDNEY 2052 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Australiahttp://parallel.hpc.unsw.edu.au/rks
International prefix  +612, Interstate prefix 02



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