The odds of shooting substantially below your handicap.

http://www.usga.org/handicapping/articles_resources/Odds-of-Shooting-an-Exceptional-Tournament-Score/

The chart says you had a 1 in 7246 chance of this happening.

Given your 'cap and your scores you should have spent the night after the tourney celebrating a once in a lifetime achievement.

sean


On 6-Aug-09, at 8:39 AM, Eric Schoonmaker wrote:

From: "Childers, Tedd A" <[email protected]>


If someone shoots more than 2-3 strokes lower than their handicap in 2
consecutive tournament rounds, they are 100% a sandbagger.

Well, this is sort of extreme. Also, if you are playing a set of tees where the course rating is substantially lower than par then you will shoot your course hdcp or better probably a fair amount of the time. Conversely if you play the tips, and that course rating is say 6 strokes higher than par then you might NEVER shoot your hdcp (relative to par).

In 2000, at a major tournament at my club, i shot 79-77 for the weekend as a 14 hdcp. Par 71, course rating was 70.2 at the time. I would be ok if you said i was 99% chance sandbagger based on that but at least in my case - it wasnt 100%.

BTW - i came in 2nd.  A 9 hdcp shot 76-74 that weekend....



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