David Roberson <[email protected]> wrote:

> I have a great concern that it is just too easy to make instrument errors
> which make a small apparent signal look real when in fact it is not. . . .


I strongly agree! Especially when you are talking about measuring energy
over the entire course of an experiment, and even more so when you are
using potential chemical energy as the divisor. I think it is difficult to
know exactly how much potential chemical energy there is in the system.
Input electric power, on the other hand, can be measured with high
precision, as McKubre often points out.



> In my opinion, a COP of 1.1 is likely to be measurement error.  It may be
> real, but I would not bet on it.
>

That is just what I said. With most calorimeters, I would not trust a COP
of 1.1 no matter how you define COP: power out/in, energy out/in, or
energy/potential chemical energy.

If a ratio of 1.1 were reported by Fleischmann, Miles or McKubre, I might
believe it. With most other calorimeters a result of 1.1 is too close to
the margin for confidence.

Actually, when you look at this last definition, energy/potential chemical
energy, in most experiments you can expect the ratio to go far over 1.0. I
mean by a factor of 10, or 100 or in some cases 10,000 or more. There is
essentially no limit and no reason why it would barely exceed 1.

I would be very suspicious if the experiment petered out just at 1.1. I
would assume this was actually ~1. If the researcher deliberately stopped
the experiment soon after it passed 1.1, I would say that is crazy. Why not
let it run for several more hours, or days?

- Jed

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