On Tue, Jul 9, 2013 at 12:58 PM, blaze spinnaker <[email protected]>wrote:
> I was always willing to take a bet that eCat existed. Didn't you ever > make a market on Intrade? ***Yes. It had to do with Cold Fusion, as I posted earlier. But it was not me, the market maker, who changed his tune. It was all the naysayers on Intrade who talked big and loud, but didn't put their money down until it was barely worth it for me. Market makers are not supposed to change their tune by 700% within a week. The End of *Snide Remarks* Against *Cold Fusion* - Free Republic http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/2265914/posts Free Republic, Gravitronics.net and Intrade ^ | 6/5/09 | *kevmo*, et al. Posted on 06/05/2009 5:56:08 PM PDT *.* > > And, yes, I've gone from 5% to 17% probability of eCat existing. > ***You said 0%, now your tune changes again. You aren't making much sense as you backtrack. > > Things are moving quickly right now before ICCF / NI-WEEK. We live in > exciting times. > ***Again, backtracking. This time with a classic fallacy attached, which is the argument from silence (in this case the silence is from the future). At the rate you're currently going, you'll be taking 2:1 FOR Rossi within a month. > > > On Tue, Jul 9, 2013 at 12:44 PM, Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]>wrote: > >> >> >>> blaze >>> spinnaker<http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]&q=from:%22blaze+spinnaker%22> >>> Mon, >>> 08 Jul 2013 18:56:47 >>> -0700<http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]&q=date:20130708> >>> >>> Between this and the Pekka patent, very encouraging. I'd still give odds >>> the ecat doesn't exist, though. Maybe 3 to 1 and I'd take 10 to 1 >>> >>> >>> >>> ***So if I'm reading this right, and it isn't a typo... you've gone from >> OFFERING 10:1 against Rossi to wanting to take that bet yourself. In the >> short timespan of about a week. >> > >
