Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]> wrote: This is just his internal measuring stick. >
I get it. I am just kidding. To be fair, he has to put some dollar value on a bet, and it happens to be $4.30. I think it is silly to say "this is the likelihood" expressed as a percent. He should simply say, "I would bet 4 or 5 bucks based on my gut feeling." There is nothing wrong with that. People with good intuition make a lot of money betting. - Jed

