Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]> wrote:

This is just his internal measuring stick.
>

I get it. I am just kidding.

To be fair, he has to put some dollar value on a bet, and it happens to be
$4.30.

I think it is silly to say "this is the likelihood" expressed as a percent.
He should simply say, "I would bet 4 or 5 bucks based on my gut feeling."
There is nothing wrong with that. People with good intuition make a lot of
money betting.

- Jed

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