Do you know which users were among these 534? Would it be possible to
randomly approach 20-30 of them and ask why they didn't vote? It would be
helpful to learn, I guess. This is, assuming such a mini-survey was not
attempted yet.

Best,
Lodewijk

2014-10-06 8:46 GMT+02:00 James Alexander <[email protected]>:

> On Sun, Oct 5, 2014 at 5:12 AM, James Alexander <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
> > A completely un deduped (and so is double+ counting anyone who is
> eligible
> > on multiple wikis because of activity there) number is 207911 for 2013.
> >
> > Caveats:
> >
> > This number is quick and dirty and 'reasonable' as a starting point but
> > far from perfect, among other things:
> >
> >    - It doesn't include 100% of the staff or developers, only the staff
> >    who had staff rights or asked and developers who asked because they
> >    couldn't vote in other ways). This is a relatively small amount of
> missing
> >    people.
> >    - It still includes bots and blocked users, because that was checked
> >    later in the process. I, again, think this is a relatively small
> amount
> >    given number of bots + blocked users with more then 300 edits
> relative to
> >    the total. It is possible some of the bots are very active across the
> board
> >    though which will be helped by the de dupping.
> >    - It is not de dupped meaning it double+ counts people who were active
> >    on many wikis or accounts, sometimes a lot (for example there are 7
> entries
> >    for my personal account, 7 for my work account, and 69 for the steward
> >    DerHexer given global work). Sorting through the crap that the script
> spat
> >    out is more then I'm willing to do at 5am but I will try to do this
> later
> >    today and get this number down. My guess is this is in the 10k range.
> >
> >
> >
>
> So I was wrong about the extent of the de duplication. In the end there
> were about *50124* unique people marked off on the voter list (again, like
> above, that does still include some bots/blocked on multiple wiki users but
> they are only counted once each)  so call it 50k.
>
> Using that number:
>
>    - With a total of 1809 valid votes that is about a 3.6% turnout.
>    - We know that another 534 people authenticated to vote but did not
>    actually cast a valid vote (and so most likely left after seeing the
>    ballot)[1]. That would account for an additional 1%
>
>
> [1]
>
> https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections_2013/Post_mortem#Voter_participation
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