On Wed, Sep 20, 2023 at 10:19 AM Matt Mahoney <[email protected]>
wrote:

> Truth is whatever makes the best predictions. ...The problem is that
> different people have different evidence. If I flip a coin and peek at the
> outcome, then my p(heads) is different from your p(heads).
>

That counsel of despair works only up to the point that some folks,
otherwise ready to kill each other over their strongly held beliefs,
decided to agree on a set of data subject to the lossless compression
criterion for causal model selection.

At that point, even if those folks decide that their _real_ differences
aren't over what "IS" but over what "OUGHT" to be the case, they will have
more options to avoid negative sum conflict than do the rest of humanity.

At _that_ point, the "political" factions will, in fact, be the scientific
faction and the morons.

Guess who wins?

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