I wonder whether the time-bound promises that AGI systembuilders have made are
starting to wear thin – and too many have failed. AGI has made zero progress
whatsoever in terms of its stated goals.
As discussed before, “systems AGI” (building an AGI system) is an extremely
wild fantasy for now. My prediction is a more practical AGI – robot sub-AGI’s
capable of a general range of simple tasks without any programming, will be the
next, realistic focus.
From: Steve Richfield
Sent: Monday, September 24, 2012 7:45 PM
To: AGI
Subject: [agi] Waning activity
The [agi] forum activity gradually peaked in 2008, and the [singularity] forum
activity gradually peaked in 2009. Since then, we are now down to around half
the historical peaks in posting activity.
Has the shine now worn off of these areas? Do the newbies now go elsewhere? Are
the postings now more "on target" so fewer of them are needed? Have these
fields now "matured" as much as they are ever going to mature? Is this the
death knell for the Singularity University?
SOMETHING is sure (not) happening here.
Any thoughts?
Steve
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