I think there will be a gradual evolution from early-stage AGIs (that have, very roughly speaking, the human-like general intelligence of a child + specialized computational capability in certain domains), to advanced AGIs that can reprogram their code and autonomously have huge impact on the world....
Historically speaking, if this evolution takes 5-10 years it could still be continued "virtually instant.'" But from our perspective as humans, 5-10 years of this sort of "Semi-hard takeoff" could involve a lot of interesting dynamics -- Ben On Mon, Mar 24, 2014 at 10:05 AM, just camel <[email protected]> wrote: > Do you really believe that any AGI system would care to create revenues for > Google? You might end up being as disappointed as cockroaches are with us > for not hanging out with them behind the refrigerator? > > Apparently you expect there to be a reasonably long timespan between > arriving at true AGI and AGI developing consciousness/spirituality? Can you > explain your train of though? How is the AGI supposed to solve our problems > (in a general way) while at the same time being incapable of reasoning about > what it is doing? That sounds very AI to me. > > > > On 03/23/2014 11:37 PM, Matt Mahoney wrote: >> >> The obvious application of AGI is automating human labor. The ROI over >> 15 years of world GDP should be about $1 quadrillion. I find it >> curious that companies investing heavily in AI like Google, Facebook, >> and IBM won't even invest $1 million in OpenCog. Are they really >> setting odds of success at a billion to one against? > > > > > ------------------------------------------- > AGI > Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now > RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/212726-deec6279 > Modify Your Subscription: > https://www.listbox.com/member/?&; > Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com -- Ben Goertzel, PhD http://goertzel.org "In an insane world, the sane man must appear to be insane". -- Capt. James T. Kirk "Emancipate yourself from mental slavery / None but ourselves can free our minds" -- Robert Nesta Marley ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
